Game 5 of the 2022 NBA Finals was a mixed bag for my prop bet picks. Stephen Curry‘s lackluster shooting performance was my downfall in taking the Over on his points, rebounds, and assists prop, and surprisingly, the Golden State Warriors finally failed to cover a third-quarter spread.
On the other hand, I nailed the Over on Klay Thompson‘s three-pointers prop at plus-odds, and the Boston Celtics team total Under easily hit. It wasn’t a perfect showing for me, but I’ll take it.
Entering Game 6, we have more information on this series available to us than ever before. And in a game where the series could end, I have to think that each team’s stars will show up and do what they can to either prolong the series or close it out.
Here are my best prop bets for Game 6 of the NBA Finals.
All NBA Finals odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook and are current as of Tuesday, June 14, at 11 a.m. ET.
Warriors vs Celtics NBA Finals Game 6 Player Props
Andrew Wiggins, Warriors: Records a Double-Double (+200)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Andrew Wiggins has a legitimate shot at winning Finals MVP, and it starts with how well he’s been playing on both ends of the floor. He’s not afraid to take shots in big moments on offense, and on defense, his on-ball coverage has been excellent. He’s pulling down boards at a high rate as well, which brings us to this prop.
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Wiggins — who averaged 4.5 boards per game during the regular season — has double-doubled in each of his last two games and four of his last eight. During that eight-game stretch, he’s averaging 18.8 points and 9.1 rebounds per game, and he’s hauled in as many as 16 in a single contest.
He was the best player on the floor in Game 5, and he’s been Golden State’s second-best in the series. He’ll play a massive role in Game 6, and if the previous two contests are any indication of what we should expect, then he could certainly be in line for another double-double, making this our NBA bet of the day.
Jaylen Brown, Celtics: OVER 34.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-115)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Jaylen Brown is known primarily for his ability as a scorer, but he’s put his versatility on display throughout the postseason as well. On top of averaging 22.6 points per game, he’s hauled in 6+ boards 17 times, and dished out 4+ assists in another 12.
He’ll need to be a little better than average across the board for this prop to hit, but with Jayson Tatum struggling, and an all-important Game 6 ahead, I can see him stepping up and doing a little bit of everything to try and help his team force a Game 7.
Warriors vs Celtics NBA Finals Game 6 Game Props
Warriors Cover +1.5 2H Spread (Inc. OT) (-130)
WAGER: 2 Units
The Warriors finally looked vulnerable in the third quarter for the first time in this series, so I’m going with a different bet here in Game 6. This time, I’m looking for Golden State to cover a +1.5 spread in the second half.
Looking for more ways to bet this NBA Finals series?
- Read our Warriors vs Celtics Game 6 Predictions.
- Check out our Warriors vs Celtics Game 6 Parlay Bets.
The Warriors did their damage in the fourth quarter of Game 5, outscoring Boston 29-20 down the stretch en route to their 104-94 victory. Even if they don’t win the third quarter in Game 6, they’ve looked capable of closing games out in the final frame in this series.
Celtics UNDER 107.5 Points (-120)
WAGER: 1 Unit
I have the Warriors winning Game 6, and so far in this series, they’re winning games on the defensive end of the floor. The Celtics are averaging a mere 93 points per game in losses, so I’m in love with this line.
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107.5 points is a tough bar for the Celtics to clear, even on their home floor. They’ve done it in less than half of their playoff games so far, and a majority of those have come on the road. I understand why this total is as high as it is, but the Under looks like the much safer bet in this case.
PREVIOUSLY: Warriors vs Celtics Game 5 Props
Game 4 of the 2022 NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics was another successful outing for my prop bets. Marcus Smart hit the Over on his scoring prop, Jayson Tatum cleared the bar on his assists prop, and the Warriors once again dominated in the third quarter.
Unfortunately, I didn’t take the Over on Stephen Curry‘s scoring prop, which he easily hit. The superstar guard went off for 43 points in the win, and as such, his total for Game 5 has been bumped up a few notches.
Entering Game 5, I’ll be following a similar strategy with my prop bets. I’ve been lucky enough to hit a majority of them so far, so there’s no need to fix something that’s working.
With that said, here are my best prop bets and predictions for Game 5 of the 2022 NBA Finals.
All NBA Finals odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook and are current as of Saturday, June 11, at 12 p.m. ET.
Warriors vs Celtics NBA Finals Game 5 Player Props
Stephen Curry, Warriors: OVER 41.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-115)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Yes, this is a sky-high total, but Curry is clearly capable of reaching the Over. To be quite honest, I’m surprised that the line hasn’t been set higher than this. After all, Curry cleared this total with points alone in Game 4.
In the series, Curry is averaging 34.3 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game — an average total of 44.4 points, rebounds, and assists. He has only hit this total twice in this series, but given how well he’s been scoring the ball, taking the Under on this prop would be a huge risk.
Boston simply doesn’t have an answer for Curry. Even if he doesn’t have another 40-point performance, he should be able to earn enough assists and rebounds to clear the Over on this prop, making this our NBA bet of the day.
Klay Thompson, Warriors: OVER 3.5 Three-Pointers (+100)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Klay Thompson is one of the deadliest three-point shooters of our generation. Although he’s struggled at times throughout the playoffs, it’s still rarely wise to bet against him when it comes to knocking down shots from beyond the arc. That’s why it’s almost impossible to ignore the value we get here at (+100) odds.
Thompson is averaging 3.5 makes from deep per game this postseason, and he’s hit at least four in eight of his 20 appearances. With that said, he’s done it in three of his last five games, two of which came in Games 3 and 4 of this series.
The attempts will always be there for Thompson. He’s averaging over nine per game in the playoffs. All we’re asking is that he sinks a little less than half of those, which isn’t a big ask.
Warriors vs Celtics NBA Finals Game 5 Game Props
Warriors Cover -1.5 3Q Spread (+100)
WAGER: 2 Units
If you thought I was going away from this prop in Game 5, you were dead wrong. I’ve hit it in each of the first four games of this series, and there’s no reason to stop now with how well the Warriors have been playing in third quarters this year.
Looking for more ways to bet this NBA Finals series?
- Read our Warriors vs Celtics Game 5 Predictions.
- Check out our Warriors vs Celtics Game 5 Parlay Bets.
Golden State won the frame again in Game 4, outscoring Boston 30-24 in a frame that essentially turned the tables in the Warriors’ favor. At (+100) odds, this is the easiest way to make money on Game 5.
Celtics UNDER 104.5 Points (-110)
WAGER: 1 Unit
I’m leaning Warriors in Game 5 and based on what we’ve seen so far in this series, that’s meant that the Celtics will struggle offensively. They’re averaging just 92.5 points per game in losses in the Finals, which is well below the line that’s been set for them ahead of Monday night’s action.
Golden State needs its defense to shut down Boston in Game 5, and at home, I believe it will happen. Back the Warriors to apply consistent pressure all night and hold the Celtics Under 104.5 points.
PREVIOUSLY: Warriors vs Celtics Game 4 Props
Game 3 between the Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics was a great one for Over bettors. Jaylen Brown, Marcus Smart, and Klay Thompson all surpassed the Over on their respective scoring props, making it a terrific get-back spot for each player.
The Warriors also dominated the third quarter once again. They’ve now won the frame by a significant margin in each game of the series, following suit with the pattern they established throughout the regular season and playoffs.
Will Game 4 of the 2022 NBA Finals go the same way? Let’s take a look at our best prop bets ahead of Friday night’s action.
All NBA Finals odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook and are current as of Friday, June 10, at 3 p.m. ET.
Warriors vs Celtics NBA Finals Game 4 Player Props
Marcus Smart, Celtics: OVER 14.5 Points (-110)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Smart has been an all-or-nothing option in this series so far. In Game 1, he scored 18 points and was an efficient 4-of-7 from three-point range. He followed that up by logging just two points in Game 2 and going 1-of-6 from the field.
Game 3 was a return to form that fell more in line with what we’ve seen from Smart throughout the duration of the postseason. The 28-year-old guard logged 24 points on 8-of-17 shooting overall, which marked his sixth time scoring 20+ points in the 2022 playoffs.
Smart is averaging 15.4 points per game in his 18 postseason appearances, and he’s scored at least 15 points in 10 of them. He’s also shooting 41.2% from beyond the arc in this series against the Warriors, which is fantastic for Boston considering he’s a career 32.1.% shooter from deep.
The Warriors have their hands full with Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. Some third option is bound to have a great showing against them each night, and so far, that’s usually been Smart. Look for him to do it again in Game 4 and make this your NBA bet of the day.
Jayson Tatum, Celtics: OVER 5.5 Assists (-145)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Tatum has made huge strides to improve as a facilitator since he first entered the league, and his efforts finally seem to be coming to fruition. After averaging 4.4 dimes per game during the regular season, Tatum is up to 6.2 per game during the playoffs and 8.3 in the NBA Finals.
Unfortunately for us, sportsbooks are beginning to catch on. Tatum’s line entering Game 4 has been set at 5.5, and it’ll take a little bit of juice to make this a worthwhile bet. However, there’s good reason to believer that he can hit the Over here.
Tatum has recorded 6+ assists in 11 of his 21 playoff games, and he’s finished with five assists in another four. He’s helped by the fact that Golden State is so adamant to slow him down as a scorer, which he’s used to his advantage to create better scoring opportunities for his teammates.
Warriors vs Celtics NBA Finals Game 4 Game Props
Warriors Cover +1.5 3Q Spread (-135)
WAGER: 2 Units
There’s simply no reason to go away from this prop at this point. Golden State has flat-out destroyed Boston in third quarters in this series, outscoring them 106-63 over the first three games.
Looking for more ways to bet this NBA Finals series?
- Read our Warriors vs Celtics Game 4 Predictions.
- Check out our Warriors vs Celtics Game 4 Parlay Bets.
More specifically, the Warriors have outscored them by 14, 21, and eight points, respectively, for an average margin of 14.3 points per game. Seeing as how Golden State gets a 1.5-point cushion here, this is a no-brainer.
Celtics: OVER 115.5 Points (+225)
WAGER: 1 Unit
I don’t love the standard team totals for this game, so we’re going for an alternate line instead. This way, we can get the Celtics to go Over 115.5 points — a line they’ve hit in both of their wins thus far — at (+225) odds.
This is a risky bet — Boston scored just 88 in Game 2 — but I’m backing the Celtics to win Game 4, and they did so in Games 1 and 3 with their offense. So long as they get another strong all-around performance from their stars and role players, this is a line we know they can reach.
PREVIOUSLY: Warriors vs Celtics Game 3 Props
Game 2 between the Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics was a low-scoring affair, but we still found some luck with our prop bets.
The Warriors easily covered the third-quarter spread, and the first-half total came in just below 105 points. However, Andrew Wiggins failed to hit the Over on his points prop, and we missed the Over on Stephen Curry‘s points, rebounds, and assists prop by the hook.
What a bummer.
Entering Game 3, I won’t be adjusting my strategy although the series is moving to TD Garden. Here are my best prop bets and predictions for Game 3 of the 2022 NBA Finals.
All NBA Finals odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook and are current as of Monday, June 6, at 1 p.m. ET.
Warriors vs Celtics NBA Finals Game 3 Player Props
Jaylen Brown, Celtics: UNDER 23.5 Points (-115)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Jaylen Brown is doing relatively well with his scoring totals in this series, but he’s struggled mightily with his efficiency. Through the first two games, Brown is averaging 20.5 points on just 37.5% shooting from the field and 29.4% from three-point range.
Despite that, Brown’s scoring prop has been set at a lofty 23.5 points ahead of Game 3. This is a total he’s reached in just nine of 20 games this postseason — eight of which came against the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat.
With that said, this bet may not be for the faint of heart. Brown has come within a bucket of hitting the Over at 23.5 points numerous times in the playoffs, scoring at least 22 points in 14 of his 20 games. The value is there, though, making this our NBA bet of the day.
Klay Thompson, Warriors: OVER 18.5 Points (-120)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Klay Thompson had his worst game of the playoffs so far in Game 2, scoring just 11 points on 4-of-19 shooting from the field. As such, we have another value bet on the docket here.
Thompson isn’t likely to shoot this poorly again in this series. After all, he’s averaging 19.1 points per game and shooting 38.6% from beyond the arc in the playoffs, and that’s more in line with what we should see from him moving forward.
Thompson is terrific at getting open looks, and he’s one of the most dangerous three-point shooters in the NBA. Look for him to get back on track with a strong performance in Game 3.
Warriors vs Celtics NBA Finals Game 3 Game Props
Warriors Cover +1.5 3Q Spread (-135)
WAGER: 2 Units
Betting the Warriors against the spread in third quarters is essentially free money. They’re the best third-quarter team in the NBA, and that’s continued throughout the playoffs and into this series. Golden State outscored Boston in the frame by 14 in Game 1 and 21 in Game 2, for an average of 17.5 points per game.
Looking for more ways to bet this NBA Finals series?
- Read our Warriors vs Celtics Game 3 Predictions.
- Check out our Warriors vs Celtics Game 3 Parlay Bets.
Covering a +1.5 spread in Game 3 should be a cakewalk for the Warriors. I’m going with a hefty two-unit wager here.
Warriors OVER 104.5 Points (-115)
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Warriors have a low bar to clear here in Game 3 at 104.5 points. They’ve reached this mark in each of the first two games of the series, and that’s even with Curry sitting for the duration of the fourth quarter in Game 2.
Additionally, while the Celtics have a terrific defense, they’ve allowed their opponents to score at least 105 points in five of their nine home games this postseason.
Bank on the Warriors to hit the Over on this mark.
PREVIOUSLY: Warriors vs Celtics Game 2 Props
I picked the wrong winner in Game 1 between the Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics — falling in line with a majority of bettors — but fortunately, I had plenty more success with my prop bets.
Stephen Curry came one shy of cracking the Over on his assists prop, but otherwise, it was a perfect outing. Jaylen Brown barely finished Under 24.5 points, the Warriors easily covered the 1.5-point third-quarter spread, and the Celtics smashed the Over on their team points prop.
With the next contest approaching, I’ll look to keep the hot streak going. Here are my favorite prop bets and picks for Game 2 of the NBA Finals between the Warriors and Celtics.
All NBA Finals odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook and are current as of Friday, June 3, at 11 a.m. ET.
Warriors vs Celtics NBA Finals Game 2 Player Props
Andrew Wiggins, Warriors: OVER 16.5 Points (-125)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Andrew Wiggins has played some excellent basketball this postseason, and that continued in Game 1 of the NBA Finals. The All-Star forward logged 20 points, five rebounds, three blocks, and a steal in 35 minutes of action and made his presence felt on the defensive end of the floor.
Of course, what we’re concerned with here is how well he’s scoring the ball. He went 6-of-8 on twos and 2-of-7 from three-point range in Game 1, which is mostly consistent with how he’s performed in the playoffs. Wiggins has been great inside the arc, but he’s been less efficient from deep.
There’s no reason why Wiggins can’t keep this up. Boston has no choice but to focus on Curry and Klay Thompson, which often leaves Wiggins open for good looks.
He’ll keep making his mark as a scorer so long as he can continue to knock down high-percentage shots, making this our NBA bet of the day.
Stephen Curry, Warriors: OVER 39.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-115)
WAGER: 1 Unit
If one thing became clear after Game 1, it’s that the Warriors need as much of Curry as they can get. The superstar guard scored 21 points in the first quarter alone before finishing the night with 34 on 12-of-25 shooting from the field and 7-of-14 from beyond the arc.
He spent 38 minutes on the floor and sat for just four in the second half, but Golden State has to find more minutes for him wherever possible — especially if Boston is going to play him in drop coverage.
Curry totaled 44 points, rebounds, and assists in Game 1. He’ll need to have a similar performance in Game 2 if the Warriors want to win, and given his sky-high usage rate, this looks like the best way to bet Curry on Sunday night.
Warriors vs Celtics NBA Finals Game 2 Game Props
Warriors Cover -1.5 3Q Spread (+105)
WAGER: 1 Unit
For whatever reason, we continue to get plus-odds on this prop. Golden State dominated the third quarter during the regular season, each round of the playoffs thus far, and in Game 1. That’s no surprise, either — the Warriors posted the best third-quarter scoring margin in the NBA this year by a considerable gap.
Looking for more ways to bet this NBA Finals series?
- Read our Warriors vs Celtics Game 2 Predictions.
- Check out our Warriors vs Celtics Game 2 Parlay Bets.
The Warriors won the third quarter in Game 1 by 14 points. On the year, they’re winning third quarters at home by an average margin of 4.6 points per game. The Celtics have been great in this department as well, but even they couldn’t keep up in Game 1.
I’m going to continue betting this prop until it fails me.
1H UNDER 105 Points (-110)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Game 1 saw much more scoring than was anticipated, as 110 points were scored in the first half and another 118 came in the second, giving us a combined total of 228 in a matchup that opened at 211.5. These two teams feature big-time offensive stars, but don’t get it twisted — they’re here because of how well they play defense.
Following such a high-scoring series-opener, I’m anticipating a lower-scoring output in Game 2, and that starts with the first half. At 105 points, I like the Under in this spot.
PREVIOUSLY: Warriors vs Celtics Game 1 Props
Game 1 of the 2022 NBA Finals is upon us, and there’s no shortage of prop betting options available for us to wager on. In a matchup featuring the Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics, there will be an abundance of star power on the floor at all times.
For the Warriors, you have to begin with Stephen Curry, who has gotten better with each round of the playoffs. The superstar guard is averaging a team-high 25.9 points per game for Golden State, and after struggling from deep against the Grizzlies, Curry found his stroke again in the Western Conference Finals.
Boston is led by Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, though Tatum is the alpha. He’s averaging 27 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game, while Brown isn’t too far behind at 22.9 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. Both players can get hot at a moment’s notice, making them an especially threatening duo.
With these players and more taking the floor in this series, there will be terrific prop bets available each night. Here are our favorites for Game 1.
All NBA Finals odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook and are current as of Tuesday, May 31, at 12 p.m. ET.
Warriors vs Celtics NBA Finals Game 1 Player Props
Stephen Curry, Warriors: OVER 5.5 Assists (-130)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Curry is primarily known for his ability as a scorer, but we can’t gloss over how capable a playmaker he is, too. He knows precisely how to use his gravity as a shooter to his advantage and often creates scoring opportunities for his teammates as a result of opponents over-helping or getting caught in between.
The Celtics love to switch, and with that much movement on defense, there’s bound to be a few miscommunications. With sharpshooters like Klay Thompson and Jordan Poole playing alongside him, Curry has several options he can look to when he’s able to take advantage of those miscues.
Curry is already averaging 6.2 assists per game this postseason. He’ll have to hit his average for this Over to hit and that isn’t asking much. Look for Curry to feed his teammates in our NBA bet of the day.
Jaylen Brown, Celtics: UNDER 24.5 Points (-120)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Brown is a phenomenal player, but this line is a bit too high for my liking. The Over/Under in this game is set at 211.5 points, meaning oddsmakers are expecting a lower-scoring contest, and Brown has only scored 25-plus points in five of his 18 games this postseason.
With that said, the Under here could very well be a sweat. Brown is averaging 22.9 points per game in the playoffs, and he’s scored 23-plus points 13 times. However, he’s played his best basketball in the middle of each series thus far, so perhaps we’ll check in with him again around Games 3 and 4.
Warriors vs Celtics NBA Finals Game 1 Game Props
Warriors Cover -1.5 3Q Spread (+100)
WAGER: 1 Unit
We milked this prop in the Western Conference Finals, and it worked out very well. The Warriors dominated the third quarter in nearly every game against the Mavericks, which fell in line with how they have performed in the frame all season long.
Looking for more ways to bet this NBA Finals series?
- Read our Warriors vs Celtics Game 1 Predictions.
- Check out our Warriors vs Celtics Game 1 Parlay Bets.
Boston will be a tougher challenge — they rank second only to Golden State in third-quarter scoring margin this season — but at plus-odds, it’s hard to ignore the value that’s presented here. The Celtics have also been streaky in the playoffs and have given up several huge runs, which only helps our cause here.
Celtics OVER 104.5 Points (-110)
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Celtics can clear this bar, but it could be close. We’ve seen them score as many as 127 points and as few as 89 this postseason, so there’s some potential for variance, combined with the already uncertain nature of this being the first game of a series.
However, it seems more likely that they reach the Over than not. They’ve done so in a majority of their playoff games so far, and Tatum and Brown can be relied upon to get you about 50 points, if not more. We’ve also seen some of Boston’s role players step up and score this postseason, including Marcus Smart and Al Horford.
As long as the Celtics are sinking their threes and can get scoring support outside of Tatum and Brown, they can hit the Over here.
