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CFP National Championship Odds 2025

Last Updated: Dec 10, 2024

After a grueling regular season, the College Football Playoff is here.

For the first time ever, 12 teams will duke it out in the single-elimination bracket for a chance to win the CFP National Championship.

Will one of the top-four seeds reign supreme? Or will a team that didn’t win its conference make a run from the first round to the title game?

Below, I’ll assess the latest betting odds to make my 2025 CFP National Championship predictions.

CFP National Championship Odds 2025

College football odds used for these National Championship predictions are current as of Tuesday, Dec. 10, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Texas (+360)
  • Oregon (+360)
  • Georgia (+450)
  • Ohio State (+475)
  • Penn State (+600)
  • Notre Dame (+800)
  • Tennessee (+2500)
  • Indiana (+4000)
  • SMU (+4500)
  • Clemson (+5500)
  • Arizona State (+6000)
  • Boise State (+6500)

Stay on top of all the college football betting markets throughout the season with our odds comparison tool.

Who Will Win the 2025 College Football National Championship?

Georgia (+450)

The Bulldogs have won two of the last three National Championships, so taking them at the third-best odds feels like a steal. Sure, Carson Beck hasn’t lived up to preseason expectations, but Georgia rallied to go 11-2 and win the SEC Championship.

Kirby Smart’s squad will have a bye before a quarterfinal matchup in nearby New Orleans against either Notre Dame or Indiana on New Year’s Day. If the Dawgs get through that, they will take on one of Penn State, SMU, or Boise State in the semis.

If that draw wasn’t favorable enough, the National Championship Game will take place in Atlanta, giving Georgia a de facto home-field advantage should it get that far. Back the Bulldogs to win the National Championship as one of your best college football bets today.

CFP National Championship Favorites

Oregon (+360)

It’s hard to pick against the Ducks, the lone remaining unbeaten team in college football. However, Oregon’s defense has looked vulnerable in its three victories over playoff teams, allowing 30-plus points to Boise State, Ohio State, and Penn State.

Despite getting the No. 1 seed, the path forward for the Big Ten champions isn’t ideal, as their quarterfinal matchup could be a rematch against the Buckeyes at the Rose Bowl. Can Dillon Gabriel lead this team to consecutive wins against Ohio State, Texas, and Georgia?

That feels like a tall task, especially at such short odds.

Texas (+360)

As the No. 5 seed, Texas arguably has the most favorable draw to the National Championship.

In the first round, the Longhorns will host ACC champion Clemson, the only three-loss team in the field. Should they advance to the quarterfinals, they will take on No. 4 Arizona State in Atlanta, where they just played Georgia in the SEC Championship. At DraftKings Sportsbook, Steve Sarkisian’s squad is favored by 11 points in both games.

Quinn Ewers and Co. still need to take care of business, but this team has CFP experience after losing to Washington last year and a clear path to the semifinals. Texas could meet a 14-0 Oregon at the Orange Bowl, but that location would favor the Longhorns.

If I’m betting on one of the two favorites, I’m taking Texas to win the National Championship.

CFP National Championship Contender

Penn State (+600)

The Nittany Lions always seem to fall short in the biggest moments, so backing James Franklin’s team at this price feels like a bad idea. However, Penn State’s path to the semifinals is appealing.

The Big Ten runner-up will host SMU at Beaver Stadium in the first round before a potential quarterfinal date against Boise State at the Fiesta Bowl. As was the case with Texas, Penn State is favored by more than a touchdown against both of their potential opponents.

A potential semifinal against Georgia, Notre Dame, or Indiana will provide more of a challenge, but PSU would be in prime position to capitalize should the Bulldogs slip. Ultimately, I don’t think Drew Allar and Co. lift the trophy, but you could hedge out of this ticket if they make a run.

CFP National Championship Sleeper

Boise State (+6500)

Speaking of tickets I would consider buying to hedge out of, Boise State is an intriguing bet at this price. The Broncos have a first-round bye and will face the winner of Penn State and SMU in the quarterfinals.

Heisman finalist Ashton Jeanty and Co. will be underdogs against either opponent, but I wouldn’t be shocked if they pulled off an upset to reach the semifinals. Both of their potential opponents have flaws, and there is a lot of variance at play here since we’ve never seen the impact of a bye in the College Football Playoff.

Depending on the size of your wager, you could buy your way out in the semifinals and final should the Broncos get that far.

Past CFP National Championship Winners

2024: Michigan

2023: Georgia

2022: Georgia

2021: Alabama

2020: LSU

2019: Clemson

2018: Alabama

2017: Clemson

2016: Alabama

2015: Ohio State

Author

John Arlia

Before joining The Game Day, John served as the National Writer for the United Soccer League, where he primarily covered the USL Championship out of the league’s headquarters in Tampa, FL. A devout soccer fan, John attended the men’s World Cups in Brazil and Russia and can’t wait for the 2026 edition to come to North America. Having also written for Sporting News Canada since getting his master’s from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at ASU, John has acquired a diverse sporting background, but considers football, golf, and soccer his three strong suits.

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