I almost broke even in Week 11 after a respectable showing the previous week. But it was not to be, as I barely missed on a player prop in painful fashion.
I recommended Rico Dowdle to go Over 23.5 rushing yards, and he finished with 23. Finishing at 4-6 for the week caused my season record to drop to 38-52, but the toughest times are behind me heading into the Sunday and Monday games in Week 12.
Also, be sure to view our NFL Week 12 Predictions and Best Bets.
Week 12 NFL Prop Bets
NFL Week 12 odds used for prop bets are current as of Friday, Nov. 24.
Ravens @ Chargers: BAL Over 29.5 Points (+160)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Baltimore has won five of its last six, reaching the 30-point mark four times and knocking off better teams than the annually overrated and overhyped Chargers. The Ravens dropped 30-plus on the Lions, Seahawks, and Bengals.
The Chargers surrendered 41 points in a loss to the Lions in Week 10 and allowed 31 to the Chiefs in Week 7. They are vulnerable to giving up a lot of points to the best teams they face.
View more wagers for Ravens-Chargers in our Sunday Night Football preview.
Titans vs Panthers: TEN To Record First Sack (-130)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Carolina has allowed 39 sacks, which ranks fourth in the NFL. Tennessee registered nine total sacks in its two games prior to Week 11, and the Panthers rank 26th in pass blocking advantage rating on Pro Football Focus for Week 12.
Jaguars @ Texans: Both Teams Score 20+ Points (-120)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
This should be one of the most entertaining games on Sunday’s slate. The Texans are averaging 23.6 points per game and the Jaguars 23.0, plus the projected total is at 47.5, so I feel good about the chances of heading to the virtual pay window on this wager.
Jacksonville has surpassed this projected total in five of its past six games and will be primed to perform better than in its 31-17 loss to Houston in Week 3. The Texans have scored 20-plus points in four of their last five games.
Back the Jaguars and Texans in a divisional shootout as our NFL bet of the day.
Broncos vs Browns: DEN First To Score/Moneyline (+185)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Browns may have knocked off the Steelers with Dorian Thompson-Robinson at QB, but they will have less hope against a Denver defense that has forced 11 turnovers in its past three games.
- Read up on more of our favorite NFL Week 12 Bets.
The projected game total of 36 indicates a low-scoring matchup, but Russell Wilson is more likely to move his team into scoring position first, and the Broncos’ defense can set him up with good field position at any time.
Eagles vs Bills: BUF Last To Score (-125)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Buffalo may keep this one close and wants to show it still belongs in the conversation of being one of the better teams in the league. But as they did to the Chiefs, the Eagles will ultimately find the route to dispatch a feisty Bills team that may be destined to rank a level below the league’s elite.
Simply stated, the better team will win here when it counts. Philadelphia is coming off tight wins over Dallas and Kansas City and is in an apparent mode of pulling off victories in hotly-contested matchups.
See more winning wagers for this game in our Week 12 Monday Night Football preview.
Week 12 NFL Player Props
Rhamondre Stevenson: Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115) @ Giants
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
Stevenson has rushed for 80-plus yards in each of his last two games, including a long run of 64 yards. The Giants have allowed the second-most rushing yards in the NFL to RBs this season and rank 26th over the past four weeks.
Joshua Dobbs: Over 230.5 Passing Yards (+105) vs Bears
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Vikings’ QB appears on my list of fantasy football sleepers for Week 12. Why not join in on the best underdog story of the season and cash in on another inspiring Dobbs performance?
Minnesota has the best pass-blocking advantage rating of any team for Week 12 on Pro Football Focus. Dobbs passed for 268 yards against New Orleans’ sixth-ranked pass defense in Week 10, and Chicago ranks 26th in the league.
Michael Pittman Jr.: Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115) vs Buccaneers
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Pittman has been able to get past this projected number in three of his past five games, totaling 60-plus receiving yards in four of his last five. He also has eight receptions in each of his past three games on 33 total targets, so Indy’s No. 1 WR will stay busy in a favorable matchup.
The Buccaneers have allowed the most receiving yards to WRs over the past four weeks and the third-most on the season.
Stefon Diggs: Anytime TD Scorer (+120) @ Eagles
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
The Philadelphia defense frustrated Patrick Mahomes last week and might force Josh Allen into one turnover, but the Bills have much better weaponry than the Chiefs and will be able to make at least a few splash plays in this matchup.
The Eagles have allowed the second-most TDs to WRs (15), and Diggs has “Good" to “Excellent" PFF WR/CB grades against all three of the Philadelphia CBs he will face.
Joe Mixon: Over 17.5 Rushing Attempts (-120) vs Steelers
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Bengals will have to lean more heavily on their lead RB with Joe Burrow done for the season and Tee Higgins missing another game. The Steelers rank 26th in rushing yards allowed to RBs, so Cincinnati can effectively exploit the weakest part of the defense.
Running the ball frequently eases pressure on Jake Browning and attempts to further hold off an aggressive Pittsburgh pass rush as much as possible. Mixon is averaging 15.3 carries per game and should see a minor bump in usage without Burrow.
Find Top NFL Props
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