After a good start to the season and a few tough weeks to drag my overall record down, I moved back to respectability in Week 10. The results broke even overall, and I hit on three of five recommended game props.
Heading into Week 11, my record sits at 38-52, and I am confident about now being back on the winning track. My featured picks this week include the major Monday night showdown and another likely easy win for the Dallas Cowboys.
Finally, don’t forget to check out our NFL Week 11 Predictions and Best Bets.
Week 11 NFL Prop Bets
NFL Week 11 odds used for prop bets are current as of Friday, Nov. 17.
Broncos vs Vikings: DEN Last To Score (-120)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Vikings have won five consecutive games, but Denver is the team no one wants to play after the revived Broncos knocked off the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills in consecutive games. Russell Wilson recapturing a good portion of his past form is a significant reason the host team has won three straight games.
Joshua Dobbs’ brief stint of magic is no match for the Wilson touch late in games and on the primetime stage. Wison, the nine-time Pro Bowler, is second among active QBs in game-winning drives (38) and fourth-quarter comebacks (30) and can still get it done in the clutch, as he did on Monday night in Week 10 at Buffalo.
View more wagers for Broncos-Vikings in our Sunday Night Football preview.
Steelers @ Browns: PIT 1st To Score/Moneyline (+200)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Mike Tomlin should already be handed the Coach of The Year Award for guiding a seemingly mediocre Steelers team to a 6-3 record. His aggressive defensive front should feast against a rookie QB being pushed into action with Deshaun Watson out for the season.
Pittsburgh registered six sacks in the season’s first meeting with the Browns and sacked Tennessee rookie Will Levis four times in Week 9. Dorian Thompson-Robinson’s inexperience will lead to the Steelers keeping the Browns out of scoring range early on and for much of the day.
As another official pick for this game, I will also take Pittsburgh at -120 as the first team to record a sack at 1.5 Units.
Cowboys @ Panthers: DAL To Win Both Halves (+100)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
I am surprised that this wager is not at -100 instead of +100. The Cowboys have easily disposed of inferior opponents this season, dominating both New York football teams, the Los Angeles Rams and the New England Patriots.
Dallas leads the league in first-half points per game at a 19.7 clip, while Carolina ranks 26th at 8.8. The Panthers rank 25th in second-half points per game, averaging 8.2, and Carolina might not score eight points in at least one of the two halves against the Cowboys’ defense.
The Panthers allow 26.9 points per game, which ranks 30th in the NFL.
Back Dallas on the way to another romp as our NFL bet of the day.
Dolphins vs Raiders: MIA Over 3.5 Total Touchdowns (-115)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Miami will come roaring out of the bye week after losing two of its past three games. The Raiders’ defense will spend too much time on the field as they regularly go three-and-out behind Aidan ‘O Connell.
The Dolphins have dropped four-plus TDs in their last four wins against other lesser teams, namely the Patriots, Panthers, Giants, and Broncos.
Chiefs vs Eagles: Both Teams To Score 20+ Points (+110)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 2 Units
The offenses will not be limited enough by the defenses in this Super Bowl rematch. The Eagles average 28 points per game, and the Chiefs average 23.1. Both Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes will have to respond to scoring drives engineered by the opposing superstar QB.
View more winning wagers for this game in our Week 11 Monday Night Football preview.
- Read up on more of our favorite NFL Week 11 Bets.
Week 11 NFL Player Props
Rachaad White: Under 74.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115) @ 49ers
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
The Tampa Bay running back has totaled 90-plus yards from scrimmage in each of his past four games. But San Francisco came out of the bye week and performed at its best levels against Jacksonville, holding Travis Etienne to 39 scrimmage yards.
Etienne leads the AFC in scrimmage yards, so it is evident that White will not be able to surpass him by much, if at all, in the same matchup.
Jahan Dotson: Over 37.5 RushingYards (-115) vs Giants
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
The second-year Washington WR appears on my list of fantasy football sleepers for Week 11. Dotson was shut out by the tough Seattle secondary last week, but the Giants have allowed the second-most receiving yards to WRs this season.
In the two games prior to facing the Seahawks, Dotson totaled 177 receiving yards on 18 targets.
Rashee Rice: Anytime TD Scorer (+245) vs Eagles
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Rice has caught TD passes in two of his last three games. He is emerging as the best playmaker Mahomes has at WR and will be a crucial target in the major Monday night matchup.
The Eagles recently acquired All-Pro safety Kevin Byard to bolster the secondary, but Philadelphia has still allowed an NFL-high 14 TD receptions to WRs. The Chiefs may have worked on fixing some of their inconsistencies in the passing game during the bye week.
Ultimately, Mahomes will play at a high level in this marquee clash, and Rice will get his TD.
Rico Dowdle: Over 26.5 Rushing Yards (-115) @ Panthers
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
Dowdle led the Cowboys with 79 rushing yards in Week 10, and he was also involved early in the game, outplaying Tony Pollard in a very friendly matchup with the Giants. Even though Mike McCarthy has said he prefers to stick with his current RB usage, you cannot believe what a head coach says publicly, and Dowdle is clearly outplaying Pollard.
The Panthers rank 28th in rushing yards allowed to RBs. Dowdle can at least get some quality complementary carries early and should see more extensive work later in the game if the Cowboys coast against another lower-echelon opponent.
C.J. Stroud: Over 267.5 Passing Yards (-115) vs Cardinals
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
The phenomenal rookie has hurdled over this projected total five times this season. With Kyler Murray back at QB for Arizona, this matchup figures to be competitive and should assure that Stroud will have to gun the ball enough to help us cash out on this wager.
According to Pro Football Focus, Houston has the fifth-best pass-blocking advantage against any opposing defensive line for Week 11.
Find Top NFL Props
Check out the best player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool. Click on a game below to see all of its prop bets.
