USA vs Canada Predictions: Best Bets for Olympic Women’s Hockey Gold Medal Game

Frank AmmiranteSenior Sports Writer
@FAmmiranteTFJ
Last Updated: 5 hours ago

Team USA will take on Team Canada in the women’s hockey gold medal game on Thursday, Feb. 19, at 1:10 p.m. ET from Santagiulia Arena in Milan, Italy.

It’s a rematch of the round robin game, which saw the U.S. beat Canada 5-0 in a convincing performance.

Can Canada keep the rematch close? Let’s dive into the women’s hockey odds for the gold medal game and make our USA vs Canada predictions.

USA vs Canada Odds

All women’s hockey odds used for these USA vs Canada best bets are current as of Thursday, Feb. 19, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Moneyline: USA (-470) vs Canada (+360)
  • Puck Line: USA -1.5 (-155) vs Canada +1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (+114) / Under 5.5 (-135)

USA vs Canada Prediction

Score Prediction: USA 4, Canada 1

Team USA has been unbelievably dominant throughout this tournament:

  • W 5-1 vs Czechia
  • W 5-0 vs Finland
  • W 5-0 vs Switzerland
  • W 5-0 vs Canada
  • W 6-0 vs Italy
  • W 5-0 vs Sweden

They’ve scored at least five goals in every game while only conceding one goal.

It’s hard to see a scenario where Canada pulls off the upset here, especially since they already lost convincingly to the U.S. earlier in this tournament.

If Canada were to only lose by one goal, it would still be a shocking result. I think Canada will do much better this time around than in their earlier matchup, but it still won’t be enough to keep it close.

USA vs Canada Best Bets

USA vs Canada: Under 5.5 Goals (-135)

My hockey bet of the day for the gold medal game is under 5.5 goals.

USA games have gone under this number in four of six matchups at these Olympics. It’s just so tough to score on this team.

Opponents have managed 15 or fewer shots on goal in three of six games against the USA, with only Czechia scoring against goaltender Aerin Frankel. It’s tough to score when you barely generate any chances.

The risk here is that the USA scores five goals, which would force them to get a shutout for us to win this bet. But I’ll take my chances that we see a slightly closer, low-scoring contest with the gold medal on the line.

USA -1.5 vs Canada (-155)

I’ve spent this entire column hyping up Team USA. This team deserves every bit of praise so far.

Therefore, it’s no surprise to see that I like USA -1.5, even at a juiced price of -155. This team has been too dominant to go against right now.

Even though Canada has rebounded after its 5-0 loss to the Americans, knocking off Finland (5-0), Germany (5-1), and Switzerland (2-1), Team USA is in its own tier right now.

We’ll ride with the USA to win by two or more goals in the gold medal game.

Consider this wager with our top sportsbook promotions for 2026.

Author

Frank Ammirante

Frank Ammirante is a Contributor at The Game Day. You will also see his work at RotoBaller, FantasyPros, ProFootballNetwork, and much more. Frank is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association while maintaining an active presence within the community. He has competed in industry contests like the Tout Wars, Scott Fish Bowl, The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, and more. He's got a diverse sporting background, but specializes in football and baseball.

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