The Buffalo Bills (12-5) face the Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4) in a matchup between two of the conference’s best teams in the AFC Wild Card Round. There’s a chance that the winner of this game could go on a deep playoff run.
With the Bills having a tough time stopping the run, it could set up as a good spot for the Jaguars’ rushing attack.
Below, I’ll dig into my favorite Bills vs Jaguars Wild Card props and look further at this intriguing matchup.
All NFL odds used for these Bills vs Jaguars player props are current as of Thursday, Jan. 8, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Bills vs Jaguars Player Props
Travis Etienne Jr.: Over 64.5 Rushing Yards (-109) vs Bills
Etienne has had a terrific bounce-back season for the Jaguars, rushing for 1,107 yards on 4.3 yards per carry. While he has failed to go over 64.5 rushing yards in three of his last four games, this looks like a good spot to back him.
The Bills rank 30th in yards per carry allowed this season. They’ve been gashed on the ground all year, most recently by TreVeyon Henderson, who went off for 148 yards on only 14 carries in Week 15.
I’m betting that Liam Coen will emphasize the run to exploit this weakness here, which is good news for Etienne.
Back the Jaguars’ running back as your NFL pick of the day.
Bhayshul Tuten: Over 17.5 Rushing Yards (-114) vs Bills
Tuten has shown flashes as a rookie, including rushing for 74 yards and a touchdown against the Chargers earlier this year.
We saw Tuten return from a finger injury in Week 18, putting up 23 rushing yards and a touchdown against the Titans, so he’s fully healthy and ready to go for Sunday.
- Prepare for this matchup with our Bills vs Jaguars predictions.
Tuten is more of a downhill, north-south runner than Etienne, which is perfect for playoff football. Don’t be surprised if he gets seven or more carries against this vulnerable Bills’ run defense.
If that happens, Tuten should have no problem going over 17.5 rushing yards.
Brian Thomas Jr.: Under 42.5 Receiving Yards (-110) vs Bills
Brian Thomas Jr. has been one of the most disappointing receivers in the NFL this year, falling behind both Jakobi Meyers and Parker Washington in the Jaguars’ pecking order.
The former LSU standout is basically the “sacrificial x-receiver,” running clearout routes on the perimeter to open up room for Meyers and Washington.
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Thomas has gone under this number in two of his last three games. In a likely run-heavy game plan, I’ll bet on that happening once again.
This play is one of my favorite Bills vs Jaguars props.
James Cook: Under 78.5 Rushing Yards (-110) @ Jaguars
Cook has had a terrific season, rushing for 1,621 yards while averaging 5.2 yards per carry. The Bills have a dominant running game, but this line is low at 78.5. Even with that, I’m fading Cook.
That’s because the Jaguars are elite against the run, tied for second in yards per carry allowed (3.9).
I’m betting Jacksonville can control the time of possession with its running game, making it more difficult for Cook to reach this number. I also like the Jags to win, which could mean a negative game script for Cook as the Bills play from behind.
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