NBA Christmas games are hyped for good reason. We’re getting potential playoff previews almost across the board.
However, that’s not the case here, as the Mavericks have been extremely disappointing. Dallas will take on the Warriors in a tough road game. With that said, there is no shortage of storylines, as it’s a battle of two former teammates: Klay Thompson vs. Stephen Curry.
So, without further ado, let’s get right into my Mavericks vs. Warriors predictions. Keep reading to see my NBA best bets for the point spread and game total.
Mavericks vs Warriors Odds
All NBA odds used for these Mavericks vs Warriors best bets are current as of Monday, Dec. 22, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: Mavericks (+240) vs Warriors (-298)
- Spread: Mavericks +7.5 (-112) vs Warriors -7.5 (-108)
- Over/Under: Over 226.5 (-110) / Under 226.5 (-110)
Mavericks vs Warriors Predictions
Score Prediction: Warriors 116, Mavericks 106
The Mavericks are a much better team now that Anthony Davis is back in the lineup, but Cooper Flagg is currently banged up with a back injury.
The first overall pick had put up 22, 42, 23, and 24 points in his previous four games, so if he’s at less than 100 percent, that could be a difference-maker in this matchup.
We also have to note that the Warriors are much better than their current record suggests, as they played several games without Curry. Now that their future Hall-of-Famer is back in the lineup and playing at top form, expect the Warriors to go on a run.
Back the Warriors to get it done in our NBA pick of the day.
Mavericks vs Warriors Best Bets for Christmas 2025
Warriors -7.5 (-108) vs Mavericks
I like Curry to get the better of Klay in this one, even at the relatively high number that comes with the 7.5-point spread.
The Warriors are 8-4 at home this season (6-11 on the road), and should be able to get it done against a disappointing Mavs squad.
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While some may go towards the Mavs because they’ve been playing better lately, including an upset over the Pistons, I like riding with the Warriors with all hands on deck.
This number was set at 7.5 for good reason, as oddsmakers are showing their confidence in the Warriors when Curry is in the lineup.
Under 226.5 Total Points (-110)
The Mavericks are averaging 113.0 points per game (26th), while the Warriors are putting up 114.0 points per game (22nd).
Each of these teams has done a good job keeping opposing offenses at bay. The Mavericks are 10th in Defensive Rating, while the Warriors are third.
When you put those factors together, you can see why the Under looks like an appealing wager. Even at a low bar at 226.5 points, the game environment is likely to be low-scoring, especially with Flagg banged up for the Mavs.
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