The last remaining No. 1 seeds will meet in the men’s Final Four when Michigan squares off against Arizona on Saturday (8:49 p.m. ET, TBS/truTV/HBO Max) from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.
To get you ready for the big matchup, here are our Michigan vs Arizona predictions for the 2026 Final Four.
Michigan vs Arizona Odds
All college basketball odds used for these Michigan vs Arizona Final Four best bets are current as of Tuesday, March 31, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Michigan vs Arizona Prediction
Michigan vs Arizona Score Prediction: Michigan 78, Arizona 76
Michigan (35-3) rolled through the Midwest Regional, winning all four tournament games by at least 13 points. The top-seeded Wolverines were at their most dominant in their 95-62 Elite Eight rout of No. 6 Tennessee, in which they hit 10 3-pointers and shot 52%.
The Wolverines have arguably been the most impressive team outside of West Regional champion Arizona (36-2), which won its four games by an average of 20.5 points. That included a 79-64 Elite Eight triumph over No. 2 Purdue, in which the Wildcats dropped 48 points after halftime.
This one feels like a real toss-up, but I’m siding with the Wolverines, who have shown fewer vulnerabilities in March.
Michigan vs Arizona Best Bets
Michigan -1.5 (-112) vs Arizona
Both teams rank in the top five in both offensive and defensive efficiency, making this a heavyweight showdown of epic proportions. This one seems destined to be close down the stretch.
The spread opened at Michigan -1, and enough early money has come in on the Wolverines to nudge the line to -1.5 at the time of writing. It likely won’t move much more between now and tip-off, but you’d be wise to grab Michigan at that price.
- See where these teams sit in the latest March Madness winner odds.
While there’s very little separating these teams, the Wolverines are slightly older and have a coach in Dusty May who’s been on this stage before.
That’s enough reason to back Michigan as one of your best college basketball bets today.
Michigan vs Arizona: Under 157.5 Points (-110)
Sure, both offenses are elite. But these teams also know how to dial it up defensively, as we’ve seen throughout the tournament.
The Wolverines are the No. 1 rated defense, while the Wildcats are No. 2, according to KenPom.
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In a game this close, possessions will be at a premium late. Look for both defenses to buckle down and keep this below 157.5 points.
The current total is a shade too high for my liking.
