The Week 18 edition of Sunday Night Football is a true win-or-go-home game, with the Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) hosting the Baltimore Ravens (8-8).
The winner of this contest will claim the AFC North and secure the No. 4 seed in the AFC playoff picture.
With that on the line, I’ll list my five best bets for Sunday Night Football, including the spread, total, and three SNF prop bets.
Best Sunday Night Football Bets for Ravens vs Steelers
All NFL odds used for these SNF best bets are current as of Friday, Jan. 2, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Steelers +3.5 (-110) vs Ravens
The Ravens will have Lamar Jackson back under center in this game, but the Steelers will also have EDGE T.J. Watt back in the lineup.
Baltimore’s offense looked great last week, thanks to Derrick Henry rushing for 216 yards and four touchdowns on 36 carries, but it’s hard to imagine that happening again.
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I believe both offenses will struggle in this game, which could very well come down to a last-second field goal. Given the 3.5-point spread, that outcome would benefit the Steelers either way.
I’ll take the points with the home team as one of my best bets for Sunday Night Football.
Under 41.5 Total Points (-115)
This game has all the makings of a 20-17 finish, as it’s hard to trust either offense.
Jackson managed just a 54.3% completion rate, 219 yards, one touchdown, and one interception against the Steelers a few weeks ago in Baltimore.
Meanwhile, the Steelers are without wide receiver D.K. Metcalf and tight end Darnell Washington.
Jaylen Warren: 2+ Receptions (-132)
Warren has caught two or more passes in all but two games this season.
In the last game against the Ravens, Warren caught three passes for 49 yards and a touchdown.
Now, without Metcalf and Washington, he’ll be utilized more against a Ravens defense that allows the fourth-most receptions per game to the position (5.06).
I’m backing the Pittsburgh running back with my NFL pick of the day.
Pat Freiermuth: Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
While the Ravens allow 46.12 receiving yards per game to tight ends (23rd), there aren’t many reliable targets for Aaron Rodgers to find without Metcalf and Washington.
Freiermuth boasts a 14.3% target share in situations where both players aren’t on the field, and he averages 10.5 yards per target, which ranks second on the team.
Freiermuth is used much more than fellow tight end Jonnu Smith, running a route 80.4% of his quarterback’s dropbacks.
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Derrick Henry: Under 4.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Henry has finished with four receiving yards or fewer in seven of 16 games this season.
He hasn’t caught a pass or even seen a target in any of Baltimore’s last three games.
When Jackson is the Ravens’ quarterback, Henry has a 5.8% target share.
I’ll take the under on his receiving yards as one of my best Sunday Night Football prop bets.
