To close out the Sunday slate of Week 15 NFL action, the Dallas Cowboys are hosting the Minnesota Vikings.
While both teams technically have a shot at the postseason heading into Week 15, they both need ample things to go their way, which is unlikely to happen.
That said, that won’t stop us from looking at the best bets for Sunday Night Football, which we’ll do below.
Best Sunday Night Football Bets for Vikings vs Cowboys
All NFL odds used for these SNF best bets are current as of Friday, Dec. 12, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Vikings +5.5 (-108) @ Cowboys
Vikings quarterback J.J. McCarthy finally put on a good performance last week, and that’ll happen again against a Cowboys defense allowing a league-leading 272.54 passing yards and 2.23 passing touchdowns per game.
As a favorite this season, Dallas is just 2-4 against the spread, mostly because its defense struggles to slow opposing offenses.
I’m taking the Vikings to cover +5.5 as my NFL pick of the day.
Over 48.5 Total Points (-110)
I suspect we’re in for a shootout in this game.
In addition to Dallas’ defensive woes, Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott will face a Vikings defense that primarily plays Cover-2 and Cover-3.
Against those coverages this season, Prescott has completed 76.8% of his passes for 1,613 yards and has averaged 8.1 yards per attempt.
If McCarthy can get it going on his side, I feel confident the Cowboys offense will have no problem keeping pace in a back-and-forth game.
J.J. McCarthy: 200+ Passing Yards (-103)
One of my favorite Sunday Night Football prop bets is related to McCarthy’s passing.
It’s been a difficult and trying season for the University of Michigan product, but last week, he played well, completing 69.6% of his passes. He had only 163 passing yards, but threw for three touchdowns on only 23 attempts.
As noted, the Cowboys are allowing over 270 passing yards per game. Dallas’ offense will find ways to score, and McCarthy should need to throw to keep pace.
Justin Jefferson: Anytime TD (+185)
Jefferson has only scored twice this season and hasn’t found the end zone since Nov. 2, but he’s in a great spot here.
The Cowboys’ defense is not only terrible against quarterbacks, but wide receivers are the ones doing the damage.
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This season, opposing wide receivers are averaging a league-high 171.08 receiving yards and 1.69 touchdowns per game.
With McCarthy as his quarterback, Jefferson has nearly a 30% target share. He’ll get plenty of looks in this game, especially after a two-catch, 11-yard outing last week.
George Pickens: Over 5.5 Receptions (-102)
For the last of my SNF prop bets, I’m turning to Pickens.
While fellow wide receiver CeeDee Lamb will be back in the lineup after suffering a concussion, Pickens will continue to get plenty of targets. He’s had six or more receptions in five of his last six games.
Additionally, against Cover-2 and Cover-3, Pickens leads the Cowboys in target share at 23.7%.
He’s red-hot lately, and his quarterback is close to 77% on his passes against the coverages mentioned.
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