To close out the Week 11 Sunday slate, the Philadelphia Eagles, coming off a 10-7 win over the Green Bay Packers on Monday Night Football in Week 10, will host the Detroit Lions, who blew out the Washington Commanders 44-22 on Sunday.
This game marks the second time we’ll see Jaelan Phillips in an Eagles uniform and also the second time this season that Lions head coach Dan Campbell will be calling plays after leading an offensive outburst last week.
Continue reading below to find my SNF best bets for Week 11.
Best Sunday Night Football Bets for Lions vs Eagles
All NFL odds used for these SNF best bets are current as of Friday, Nov. 14, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Lions +2.5 (-102) @ Eagles
Leading off my best bets for Sunday Night Football, I’m taking the Lions +2.5 on the road.
While the Eagles showed out defensively against the Packers last week and have recorded 136 pressures (tied for sixth-most), I’m not sure they’ll have that same impact against a Lions offensive line that’s allowed the fourth-fewest pressures.
Additionally, I like the momentum the Lions have coming off their first game, with Campbell calling plays, while the Eagles’ offense has been up and down this season.
Back Detroit as your NFL pick of the day.
Under 46.5 Total Points (-105)
While the Lions exploded for 44 points last week, that was against a much weaker opponent, the Commanders.
I expect them to get the best of the Eagles in this game, but between some slight regression (you can’t expect them to score 44 every game) and the Eagles’ offense lacking explosion against a Lions defense that’s allowing the fifth-fewest yards per game over the last three (265.7), I’ll take the under.
I have the Lions winning this game 24-20.
Jalen Hurts: Under 1.5 Passing TDs (-104)
While Hurts threw seven touchdown passes across Week 7 and 8, he has thrown one or fewer in four of nine games this season, including in two of his last four.
Now, he’ll take on a Lions defense that primarily plays Cover-1 and Cover-3. Against these coverages, Hurts has just four touchdown passes all season, and on a game-by-game basis, he’s only thrown multiple touchdowns against these coverages one time.
Jared Goff: Under 0.5 INTs (-158)
For the penultimate pick in my series of best Sunday Night Football prop bets, I’ll take Goff to throw zero interceptions.
He has thrown just three all season, and if you look at the three coverages the Eagles play more than anything else — Cover-1, Cover-3, and Cover-6 — Goff hasn’t thrown an interception against those all year.
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DeVonta Smith 4+ Receptions (-240)
For the last of my SNF prop bets, I’m taking it easy and picking Smith to have four receptions or more.
He has caught four passes or more in seven of nine games this season. Additionally, over the last three games, fellow wide receiver A.J. Brown has been a non-factor, and Smith has seen a team target share of over 40%.
He’s getting plenty of targets and, therefore, four receptions should be more than doable.
