Frank Ammirante is here with your MLB Betting Props of the Day for October 12, 2021. Which props make up the Best Baseball Prop Picks Today 10/12/21. All odds were obtained from BetMGM and are current as of 12 PM EST.
MLB Props of the Day: Best Baseball Props Today 10/12/21
Carlos Rodon: Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+110) at BetMGM
Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros, 2:07 ET
Carlos Rodon was one of the premier strikeout pitchers in baseball this year with 185 punchouts in just 132 2/3 innings (12.6 K/9). He also notched at least five strikeouts in 21 of his 24 outings this season, averaging 7.7 whiffs per start.
Rodon dominated the Astros in both of his starts against them this season, allowing just one earned run over 14 innings while racking up 18 strikeouts. I’m surprised to see his prop set at 4.5 with plus odds — it should be 5.5 at least.
While Houston’s bats are red-hot and managers have a quick hook in the playoffs, it’s tough to bet against these trends with Rodon today. Look for the talented lefty to hit the Over here, making this our MLB bet of the day.
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Carlos Rodon: Over 13.5 Outs (-105) at BetMGM
Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros, 2:07 ET
One of the best ways to be successful at props is to take two props that have strong correlations. I project Rodon to have a strong outing against the Astros today with the White Sox facing elimination, which means he’ll probably go more than four innings.
If Rodon’s strikeout prop hits, this one likely will as well. This is also a good hedge in case Rodon pitches well but doesn’t get enough strikeouts. Look for Rodon to flourish today, especially with the way he’s dominated Houston this season.
- Read our full Astros vs White Sox ALDS Game 4 Predictions.
Lance McCullers Jr. Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110) at BetMGM
Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox, 4:07 ET
Lance McCullers Jr. managed just four strikeouts in Game 1 despite pitching 6 2/3 shutout innings against the White Sox. He has now recorded fewer than six punchouts in each of his last three outings.
McCullers is also unlikely to pitch that deep into Game 4 due to his control problems, which produced an MLB-high 76 walks during the regular season. If Chicago can drive up his pitch count and force him from the game early, he’s going to have a hard time registering 6+ whiffs. Bet the Under here.
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