Week 6 of the NFL season taught me a few things.
For starters, betting on the Lions is a bad idea. Yes, I know.
It did not work well, even as we tried to navigate prop bets. Betting the Titans against the Bills, however, had much different results. We needed points, and goodness did we get them.
Looking ahead, we have a mix of big point spreads and a few competitive games to pick from in Week 7. The Kansas City Chiefs and Tennessee Titans are unquestionably the highlight, although there are plenty of opportunities in other places.
Need a reason to watch the Carolina Panthers play the New York Giants? You have come to the right online watering hole.
Let’s dive in. Here are the prop bets I like for Week 7.
NFL Player Prop Bets to Make This Week
Check out the best player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool, including projections to help you make the best decisions. Click “Place Bet" to unlock the associated sportsbook’s welcome offer and place your bet.
Learn more about NFL prop bets and the best sportsbooks for prop betting.
NFL Week 7 Best Prop Bets
Philadelphia Eagles at Las Vegas Raiders
After losing three straight games against the spread, the Raiders beat Denver outright as a 5-point underdog. Given what has transpired since the departure of former head coach Jon Gruden, the performance is noteworthy.
Las Vegas is still 4-2, although the schedule has certainly helped out a great deal. (Translation: Let’s see what happens when the better teams come calling.)
The Eagles have the opposite record, although the schedule has been far more challenging. Jalen Hurts has had his moments at quarterback, although running back Miles Sanders needs to be more involved.
With the Total hovering around 50, one of the highest on the board, offense could be a theme in this game. Although the matchup isn’t loaded with star power, both units are plenty capable.
Philadelphia Eagles Over 3.5 First Quarter Points (+115) at DraftKings
Wager: 1 Unit
Give it to Sanders. No, really. Do this.
Hurts has shown flashes, and the Eagles offense did some pretty good things, at least in spurts, against the Tampa Bay Bucs last week. A few extra days to prepare after a Thursday night showcase certainly doesn’t hurt either.
Over 24 First Half Points (-110) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
On the other side of the field, I expect the Raiders to counter with points of their own. Putting up 34 in Denver is a nice leap forward after two difficult games against San Diego and Chicago. Both teams generate enough output to topple 24 first-half points.
Carolina Panthers at New York Giants
Although he flashed potential earlier in the season, Sam Darnold has looked like the quarterback who played for the Jets over the past few games. I know this because I have watched far too much Jets football over the years.
Losing Christian McCaffrey to a hamstring injury hasn’t helped matters, and Darnold’s inconsistencies have been magnified in recent weeks.
The New York Giants know what this feels like, and the injury to Saquon Barkley, who was just starting to look like himself, hasn’t helped, either. While it’s hard to replace that impact, Devontae Booker is poised to do a serviceable job.
The Giants’ defense has allowed 82 points in the last two weeks, although the scoreboard destruction came courtesy of the Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Rams. (That doesn’t excuse either performance, although it explains a lot).
While the Giants have struggled, this is a decent opportunity to momentarily get right. I can’t say the offense will come alive, although it will be better.
Carolina Panthers Under 10.5 First Half Points (-130) at DraftKings
Wager: 1 Unit
Without his star running back, Darnold is simply not the same player. That really isn’t meant to be a knock; it’s just a reality of a young quarterback thrust into another unique situation.
While the Giants might struggle to score, the defense will do its part to limit damage early.
Carolina Panthers Under 23.5 Total Points (-125) at DraftKings
Wager: 1 Unit
In many respects, I am doubling down on the first bet. While I was a fan of Chuba Hubbard at Oklahoma State, he simply can’t impact the game — at least not yet — the way the team’s star can.
Carolina can still win despite going under the point total, although the defense is going to have to really step up.
Carolina QB Sam Darnold hasn’t looked nearly as effective without Christian McCaffrey joining him behind the line of scrimmage. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)
Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans
Derrick Henry vs Patrick Mahomes is everything I look for in a football game.
A star QB vs a bulldozer running back doesn’t feel like a fair matchup in today’s NFL, although Henry’s impact on games seems to defy what running backs normally do.
In terms of momentum, the Titans have plenty of it. Tennessee just upended Buffalo in thrilling fashion, stopping Josh Allen at the goal line.
At 3-3, the Chiefs have not played to the standard established in recent years. Mahomes has been sloppy, the defense has had its issues and the results have not been what we thought we would get out of the team with the best quarterback on the planet.
Still, it’s Mahomes. Each interception seems to spread on social media more than it once did, but this offense remains a dynamic force.
Kansas City Chiefs First to Score (-140) at DraftKings
Wager: 1 Unit
Give me the more explosive of the two offenses.
This is not a hot take or even a strong take; I just believe Kansas City is poised to play a more polished game on the road against a team coming off of his best win of the year. The Chiefs start the scoring fest.
Kansas City Chiefs Over 30 Points (-150) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Yes, Mahomes has made a few bad decisions. And yes, the Chiefs defense has issues. But this offense can still roll, and it will against the Titans.
The defense really doesn’t matter when it comes to a bet like this. In fact, if it’s going to be bad, I would prefer it’s really bad.
Big plays, not long drives.
Even though the game is on the road, the Kansas City offense will deliver (as it usually does).
Best NFL Prop Bets Today
Indianapolis Colts at San Francisco 49ers
As a Jonathan Taylor fantasy football manager, I cannot implore the Colts enough to give him more touches. It took too long for that to happen last week, and it simply cannot happen again on the road against a better opponent. (Sorry, Texans fans.)
That is indeed selfish, although it’s also a winning formula considering the playmaking that was on display the past few weeks. While Indianapolis seems content to trot out multiple backs, Taylor is likely to be active against San Francisco on Sunday night. And that’s a good thing.
After winning two straight, the 49ers have now lost three straight. They will enter this game off a bye, which was ideally timed considering the lackluster 17-10 loss to the Cardinals their last time out.
Injuries to quarterbacks Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo have complicated matters in recent weeks, although Garoppolo’s presence at practice in recent days seems promising.
That said, the disjointed nature of both seasons could turn this into an ugly game.
San Francisco 49ers Under 2.5 Touchdowns (+100) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
The injuries and musical chairs at quarterback are concerning, and the Total of 44.5 points reflect that. The Colts’ schedule certainly hasn’t helped, although this is an opportunity for the defense to deliver its second stellar game in a row. Against the Texans last week, they allowed only a field goal.
Largest Lead of Game Under 14.5 Points (-120) at DraftKings
Wager: 1 Unit
I like this bet in this particular game, as I expect it to be lower-scoring and tight.
Indy would be wise to run the ball, as mentioned plenty, and the 49ers just don’t have the firepower to blowout a team as it stands right now. It might not be the most pleasant game to watch, but it will be competitive.
Thanks for reading our NFL Week 7 Prop Bets! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL Week 7 Best Bets and NFL Week 7 Parlay Picks.
