NFL Prop Bets Week 16

Last Updated: Dec 22, 2023

For the third consecutive week, a close loss prevented me from posting a winning record. In Week 15, I projected the Ravens to score 24.5 points and they finished with 23.

Going .500 gets old, but a few bad weeks are behind me as I look to improve on the 58-71 overall record. Two good weeks can get me back on the winning side.

For more ways to cash in, examine our NFL Week 16 Predictions and Best Bets.

Week 16 NFL Prop Bets

NFL Week 16 odds used for prop bets are current as of Friday, Dec. 22.

Dolphins vs Cowboys: MIA Over 24.5 Points (-112)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units

Miami averages 31.5 points per game, which leads the NFL, and Dallas is second at 30.8. We have a good chance of seeing a game script where these two offenses trade punches throughout the matchup.

The Dolphins haven’t scored fewer than 28 points in their last four games. The Cowboys have allowed 28-plus points in their three road games against teams with winning records. With both teams having endured difficulties against other top contenders, Miami should let loose on offense in pursuit of an important statement win.

Bengals @ Steelers: CIN To Score 1st/Moneyline (+170)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

I recommended the Bengals to score first and win last week, and after they pulled off an overtime victory against the Vikings, my inclination is to ride the wave and replicate the wager. The Steelers will be starting Mason Rudolph at quarterback, and I just don’t expect much from them after averaging 13.4 points with their other QBs over the last five games.

Eagles vs Giants: PHI To Win Both Halves (-125)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

The Eagles need to win against a beatable opponent to stop their three-game skid and remain in the running for one of the top seeds in the NFC. With the Giants being a familiar foe, Philadelphia should be able to dominate as the first step to getting back on track.

Back the Ravens to halt their stumbling in convincing fashion as your NFL bet of the day.

Ravens @ 49ers: Both Teams to Score 20+ Points (+100)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

This matchup features the third- and fourth-highest scoring teams in the NFL. The 49ers average 30.4 points per game, while the Ravens average 27.4.

San Francisco hasn’t scored fewer than 27 points in its last five games, and Baltimore has scored at least 20 points in its last nine games.

Check out more Ravens-49ers wagers in our Monday Night Football preview.

Jets vs Commanders: NYJ To Record First Sack (-120)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Units

The Jets have totaled 11 sacks in their past three games, most notably registering five in their last home game against Houston. The Commanders have allowed 59 sacks, which is the third most in the NFL, and they rank 26th in pass-blocking grade on Pro Football Focus entering Week 16.

Week 16 NFL Player Props

Stefon Diggs: Anytime TD Scorer (-105) @ Chargers

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Diggs has caught just one TD pass over his last five games. But this matchup against the Chargers should present him with a prime opportunity to revisit the end zone, as Los Angeles has allowed 18 TD passes to WRs, which is the most among AFC teams.

Garrett Wilson: Over 5.5 Receptions (-115) vs Commanders

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units

Wilson should soar past this reception total, even with the Jets down to Trevor Siemian at QB. New York’s only true receiving threat has seven-plus receptions in five of his last six home games, and Washington has the worst pass defense in the NFL.

DK Metcalf: Over 61.5 Receiving Yards (-125) @ Titans

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units

In four of the past six games, Metcalf has cleared this total, as he was only held below 75 yards in two matchups with the 49ers during that span. The Seahawks star has the fifth-best WR/CB matchup of any WR vs an opposing CB group on Pro Football Focus for Week 16, and the Titans rank 28th in receiving yards allowed to opposing wideouts.

D’Andre Swift: Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-115) vs Giants

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Swift rushed for 74 yards at Seattle last week, and he has exceeded this yardage total in three of his past five games. The Giants rank 30th in rushing yards allowed to RBs, and Philadelphia has the fourth-best run-blocking grade on Pro Football Focus for Week 16.

The Eagles should be able to run the ball effectively in what is a must-win game, so Swift also appears in my rundown of Week 16 fantasy football sleepers.

Baker Mayfield: Over 235.5 Passing Yards (-110) vs Jaguars

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Mayfield is doing his best to help lead the Buccaneers to the NFC South title. He has averaged 248.7 passing yards per game in wins this season, and his team is favored by three points here.

The Jaguars rank 29th in passing yards allowed per game, and their defense will spend a lot of time on the field against Mike Evans and Chris Godwin – especially if their own QB, Trevor Lawrence (concussion), is out this week. The Buccaneers should take advantage of an overworked and vulnerable pass defense.

Find Top NFL Props

Check out the best player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool. Click on a game below to see all of its prop bets.


Scott Engel

Scott Engel is a Senior Sports Writer at The Game Day. Previously he was at and The Athletic. His work is also featured at RotoBaller and on Scott is a host on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio. He is an inaugural member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Scott is a four-time FSWA award winner and a 13-time finalist. He was an Associate Editor and featured writer at and his career began at CBS SportsLine, where he was a Senior Writer and Managing Editor. Scott was the Managing Director at RotoExperts.

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