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Bears vs Falcons Predictions & Odds

Posted: Nov 17, 2022Last updated: Nov 17, 2022

The Bears and the Falcons are close to evenly matched. They are two teams with losing records that are not quite at the bottom of the league.

Atlanta is 4-6, but only one game behind Tampa Bay for first place in the NFC South. Chicago is 3-7, but has shown signs of life recently.

Continue on to find out my Chicago vs Atlanta predictions for this week.

Bears vs Falcons Odds

As of Wednesday night, PointsBet has Chicago at +3.5, while Betway has Atlanta at -3. By kickoff, I believe that most sportsbooks will be closer to the PointsBet line than the Betway line.

Take a look at the best Bears odds and Falcons odds for the 2022 NFL season.

Bears vs Falcons Implied Totals

Falcons 26, Bears 23

Bookmakers are expecting a high-scoring game that the Falcons will win by about a field goal.

Bears vs Falcons Pick of the Day

Read more on this Bears vs Falcons bet below.

Bears vs Falcons Prediction

Bears 24, Falcons 20

The key to picking the winner of Sunday’s game comes down to picking the better quarterback. Is it Chicago’s Justin Fields or Atlanta’s Marcus Mariota?

Both quarterbacks rank in the top third of NFL quarterbacks in QBR, but I believe that Mariota has peaked. Up until this season, the last time Mariota started was with Tennessee in 2019. As a backup, Mariota is solid. But as a regular starter, he has a low ceiling.

In ten starts this season, Mariota has recorded 200-plus passing yards three times. Even though Mariota has been consistent in completing his passes, he has lacked the explosion needed to be a truly dominant quarterback.

On the other hand, Fields has been a freak of nature lately. The sophomore quarterback is giving opposing defenses a run for their money (pun intended).

In his last two games, he has 325 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns. Before that hot stretch, he could be penciled in for 50-60 rushing yards a game. Passing-wise, Fields has a great arm, but he hasn’t fully developed that part of his game yet.

We should see a close game, but I believe that the Bears will pull off the slight upset on the road.

Bears vs Falcons Bet Tips

Here are a few Bears vs Falcons betting trends to consider before making your bets:

  • The Falcons are 6-4 against the spread, and 4-6 straight up.
  • The Bears are 4-5-1 against the spread, and 3-7 straight up.
  • Atlanta is 3-2 at home, while Chicago is 1-4 on the road.

Bears vs Falcons Best Bets

Bears +3.5 (-110) at PointsBet Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

I think the Bears are going to win, so why would I take the points instead of betting the moneyline?

Many NFL games are close, including the 23.2% of games that are decided by three points or less. Most notably, 15.1% of NFL games are decided by exactly three points.

Rather than waiting to see if the Bears drop to +3 or worse, I am betting on the Bears now as three is a key number when betting NFL spreads.

Before placing this bet, get the best Bears promo codes.

Falcons: Under 26.5 Points (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Besides betting on the Bears to win, another way to bet on Chicago is to fade the Falcons offense. Mariota has peaked this season, and the Bears should limit Atlanta’s ability to score.

It is rare for NFL teams to score 27 or more points, as 66.3% of NFL teams have scored 26 points or less since 2000. Even against a vulnerable Bears defense, Mariota and the Falcons will have trouble lighting up the scoreboard.

Before placing this bet, get the best Falcons promo codes.

Bears vs Falcons Props

Check out the best Bears vs Falcons player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool. Click on “Show More Games" below to find the Chicago vs Atlanta game and see all of its prop bets.

Author

Kevin Davis

Kevin Davis is a Betting Analyst at The Game Day residing in Hoboken, NJ. Previously a Bronx resident, Kevin got his start betting on sports at his local Bronx barbershop. When sports betting was legalized across the river in Jersey, Kevin was there on the ground floor making regular trips to the Hoboken PATH station or for soup dumplings in Fort Lee. Previously, Kevin has written for The Action Network, and Vegas Insider.

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