PGA Tour Picks & Prop Bets | TOUR Championship

Sam WagmanSports Content Editor
Last Updated: Aug 23, 2023

The final week. The last hurrah.

Everything comes into play for the season-ending TOUR Championship. The top 30 players in the FedExCup points standings have converged on East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta for one final tournament to decide who wins the coveted title of FedExCup Champion, as well as the $18 million that gets allotted to first place.

This is the smallest field of the season, but there is plenty of course history to draw upon so that we can have a solid week of preparation. Last week, that didn’t really matter to me, as I had every single one of the five golfers that I picked for an outright place in the top 10, which was nice for the bankroll.

East Lake is definitely more of a straightforward handicap. As a Donald Ross-designed course, it puts a hard emphasis on long-term putting success while also rewarding the most consistent tee-to-green players.

Let’s dive into my favorite picks and props for this week’s playoff event.

Best TOUR Championship Prop Bets

Xander Schauffele to Win Outright with Starting Strokes (+3000)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

We’re going right back to the well here on Xander Schauffele. We missed out last week, though he played well enough to garner a top-10 finish at the BMW Championship and sneak his way to a guaranteed Ryder Cup pick.

Arriving at East Lake, though, Schauffele will feel right at home. In his six attempts at playing this course, he has never finished outside the top seven, while he also has two runner-up finishes and a win from his first appearance. It’s not so easy to have that level of dominance on a course.

Now, he is starting seven shots back of current FEC points leader Scottie Scheffler, which is why he draws long odds like this. However, Schauffele is capable of going low here, with eight rounds of 66 or better in his career at this course.

I also like Schauffele to be the outright winner WITHOUT starting strokes, which you can find at +900 on DraftKings as well.

For these reasons, this bet makes the most sense as my golf betting pick of the day.

Max Homa Top 10 Finish With Starting Strokes (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 2 Units

Max Homa is one of my favorite players this week. In his only appearance at East Lake last season, he shot two 66s on the weekend — in addition to a 62 second round — to finish in a tie for fifth place with Justin Thomas.

In my opinion, Homa is the most improved golfer this season, especially with regard to putting, gaining strokes on the greens in his last four events and in eight of his last 10.

He’s also gained strokes off the tee in his last seven events, which is another key to playing well at East Lake. I have high hopes for him this week and even think a win is in the cards.

TOUR Championship Winner Odds

Golf betting odds to win the TOUR Championship are current as of Tuesday, Aug. 22, at 10 a.m. ET and can be found at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Here’s how the top golfers rank (with starting strokes applied):

  • Scottie Scheffler (+140)
  • Rory McIlroy (+330)
  • Viktor Hovland (+500)
  • Jon Rahm (+800)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+1600)
  • Max Homa (+2800)
  • Xander Schauffele (+3000)
  • Lucas Glover (+4000)
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (+4000)
  • Wyndham Clark (+4500)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+4500)
  • Brian Harman (+4500)
  • Rickie Fowler (+7000)
  • Russell Henley (+7500)

All other golfers sit at (+10000) odds or longer.

How Golf Prop Betting Works

Golf is great to watch, and it’s even better to win big by betting on tournaments.

But predicting the outright winner is hard, which is why betting on props — with their shorter odds and quirky options — is a great way to cash in while enjoying the sights and sounds of golf’s best tournaments.

But there are a plethora of golf markets to gamble on, so choosing which one can be overwhelming. Our Pat Pickens takes a look at how to figure out which is right for you.

Prop bets are any wagers that don’t necessarily rely on the overall outcome. There are a ton of prop bets for each golf tournament, with bettors able to pick who they think will be the leader after each round, or who will be the top finisher from various countries — including the United States. You can also predict which golfer will have a bogey-free round or a hole-in-one.

There are markets for betting on a player to finish with the lowest score in a threesome in a round, or for a player to finish in the top five, top 10, top 20 or even top 40 at a given tournament. There will be even more options depending on which site/app you choose to gamble with.

Best PGA Tour Prop Betting Sites

DraftKings Sportsbook

DraftKings has loads of terrific prop-betting markets for golf, including Futures props. You can find odds for specific players winning a major, or specific golfers in head-to-head matchups, as well as odds on each player to have a bogey-free round. Prospective gamblers may also wager on an individual player to have a hole-in-one or for there to be a hole-in-one during four-day action.

Plus, DraftKings has great odds and a great user interface, and it offers great promos and boosts that make betting on golf props a breeze.

FanDuel Sportsbook

FanDuel is the No. 1 sportsbook in America, and it’s no surprise when you spend some time on its app. The FanDuel Online Sportsbook has loads of great props for golf bettors, including the top finisher from each country — including the United States — the top European finisher and many others.

Plus, FanDuel provides Same-Game Parlays, which golf bettors can use to combine multiple prop markets from the same tournament. FanDuel upped the ante in 2022 by offering Same-Game Parlay+, which golf bettors can use to combine multiple markets from multiple tournaments for an even bigger payout.

Caesars Sportsbook

Caesars Sportsbook is one of the best sportsbooks in the United States, with dozens of prop-betting markets that are perfect for prospective golf bettors. Gamblers can bet on the margin of victory or which player will have the best score in a threesome, as well as much more.

The Caesars app also enables users to cash in on Caesars rewards, which allow users to earn hotel and dining credits and much more simply by using its service. Every wager gives users Caesars rewards, win or lose.

bet365 Sportsbook

Bet365 has perhaps the best selection of golf-betting markets of any online sportsbook, and its website and app are so easy to navigate, making it the ideal option for golf prop betting. The bet365 app enables golf bettors to find props from the LPGA Tour, Champions Tour, and even the Korn Ferry Tour, as well as Futures for each major and even the Ryder Cup.

The bet365 Online Sportsbook and app makes perusing these markets simple, and betting is a breeze.

BetMGM Sportbook

BetMGM has a partnership with the PGA Tour, which means they offer a spectacular line of prop bets for each pro golf tournament each week. BetMGM has one of the most robust selections of golf-betting props, including boosted specials like whether multiple players will make the cut and head-to-head player props.

The BetMGM app is one of the easiest sportsbook apps to navigate and even offers a live stream option for marquee golf events, so bettors who may not have a cable subscription can follow along live.

How To Pick the Best Golf Prop Betting Sites

Choosing your golf prop betting site is a matter of preference. Here are some ways to decide which one is best for you.

  • Odds: We bet on sports to win money, right? We do that by finding the best odds. Great bets are the ones we win, but the best bets are the ones we win that have the best odds. Shopping around for the best odds is a great way to determine which is the best for you.
  • Markets: You’ll never regret placing a bet you love. But what if you can’t find it at the sportsbook you have become accustomed to using? Look somewhere else. There’s no shortage of online betting apps, especially if you’re in a state where betting has been legal for some time. Search around to find the best bet that will help you cash in.
  • Boosts: See the “odds" description above. The best odds have the best payouts. Sometimes sportsbooks will boost odds on things like a player making the cut or one finishing in the top 10. Other sportsbooks will offer profit boosts of a certain percentage periodically. Finding those and cashing in will make winning even sweeter.
  • Welcome offer: Welcome offers are basically free money to try a new sportsbook, and every sportsbook has one that is good. Maybe it’s a risk-free bet. Maybe it’s a new-deposit bonus. Whatever the case, cash in on the best ones and let that be your guide.

PGA Tour Prop Betting Promotions

Some apps and sites will boost props during specific tournaments, like for whether a player will make the cut or if multiple players make the cut. Some sportsbooks will offer bet-and-gets about players making the cut — where a $5 wager on any of Dustin Johnson, Sergio Garcia or Jon Rahm to make the cut will net $200 in free bets — or boost a player’s odds of finishing in the top 10 or top 20 to motivate gamblers into putting down their money.

If any of these prop options sound alluring, seek them out and take them. Boosts happen frequently, but they vary from round-to-round and tournament-to-tournament. Take advantage if there’s one you love. Be sure to check out our Promotions page for all the top offers.

Best PGA Tour Prop Bets

It’s always fun to bet on a hole-in-one, especially at a tournament where there’s a short par 3, so that’s one of my favorite prop golf bets to wager on. The odds may be long at a tournament like The Masters, as there are no easy par 3s on the course, but that would lead to a bigger payday.

The best golf prop bets are the ones we love, though. Just like taking the field to record a hole-in-one is one of my preferred props, you might have a preferred prop-betting option that jumps out that you’ll want to take at an upcoming tournament as well.

Golf Prop Betting Strategy

There are a lot of prop betting options for each golf tournament, and even more for the four major tournaments. The best strategy for finding prop bets is to do your homework. Is there a hole on the course conducive to a hole-in-one — Hello, Sawgrass! — or does a specific player tend to play well in early rounds or at a specific course?

If the answer to those is yes, then search for a prop like a specific player to win his threesome or for there to be a hole-in-one in the tournament.

Maybe you like an upstart player to win but don’t want to lose if he is in second place. Take him to finish in the top five or top 10 at lower odds and put a smaller sprinkling on him to win as well.

The best strategy is to pick the market you love and choose it. We will rarely regret putting our money on those bets, even if they fall short.

Benefits of Golf Prop Betting Online

Prop betting on golf online is beneficial for so many reasons. For starters, you don’t even need to leave your house. You can monitor all the action from home and cash in while watching the action from your couch.

Another benefit of golf prop betting online is you can shop for the best odds for the markets you want to wager. For instance, if your preferred prop is +110 at one sportsbook but +140 in another, that is a substantial enough difference to warrant choosing one book over another.

How to Place a PGA Tour Prop Bet Online

Placing a prop bet online is as easy as logging into your preferred sportsbook, perusing the prop markets and placing the best one. Here is a look at the steps.

  • Register for a new account by clicking GET BONUS at your sportsbook of choice on the top menu
  • Be sure to take advantage of any new player offer
  • Click on the Golf or PGA Tour tab at the top of the screen
  • Click on the props tab at the top of the app or peruse the screen to find the best market to wager on
  • Click it, then enter the amount you wish to wager
  • Press ‘Place bet’
  • Watch your prop bet hit and collect the winnings

Where Can I Legally Golf Prop Bet Online?

  • Arizona
  • Colorado
  • Connecticut
  • Illinois
  • Indiana
  • Iowa
  • Louisiana
  • Michigan
  • Nevada
  • New Hampshire
  • New Jersey
  • Pennsylvania
  • Rhode Island
  • Tennessee
  • Virginia
  • Washington D.C.
  • West Virginia
  • Wyoming
  • Florida*
  • Maryland*
  • Nebraska*
  • South Dakota*
  • Washington*
  • Wisconsin*

*Those with asterisks are pending with online sports betting available in the near future

Choose More Than One PGA Tour Prop Betting Site

The best way to cash in on golf prop betting is by odds-shopping, and odds-shopping is only an option when you have money in multiple betting accounts. Plus, each sportsbook has a terrific welcome bonus that new bettors should absolutely cash in on, which means it is essential to have money in more than one gambling account.


Sam Wagman

Sam is the Sports Content Editor for The Game Day. He has been in the sports media industry for 3 years, with stints at VegasInsider, Footballguys, and Fantasy Points. Sam specializes in fantasy football content creation and strategy as well as sports betting content strategy with an NFL and PGA focus. Originally from Philadelphia, he enjoys all Philly sports despite now living in Florida. He enjoys playing tennis, pickleball, and golf -- while constantly struggling to break 80 on the course.

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