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Premier League Best Bets Matchweek 29

Last Updated: Mar 30, 2023

After a two-week international break, the English Premier League returns this weekend to kick off the final stretch of the 2022-23 campaign.

Manchester City will try to narrow the gap to league leaders Arsenal when they host Liverpool in the fixture of the round on Saturday morning, while the Gunners will look to maintain their winning run when they host Leeds United later in the day.

We’ve got two matches to look forward to on Sunday, including a clash between Top-4 challengers Manchester United and Newcastle.

The matchweek then wraps up on Monday when Tottenham take on Everton in their first game since sacking Antonio Conte.

Let’s dig into the EPL fixtures for Matchweek 29 and determine our best bets.

Premier League Matchweek 29 Predictions

Premier League Odds used below are current as of Thursday, March 30, at 10 a.m. ET, and courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.

Check out the latest soccer futures with our odds comparison tool.

Manchester City vs Liverpool Best Bet

Manchester City and Over 2.5 Goals Scored (+115) | BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

In recent years, this matchup has gone a long way toward deciding the Premier League winner. However, Liverpool have been miles off the pace this year, especially when it comes to their away form.

The Reds have lost seven of their 13 road fixtures this season, conceding 20 goals in the process. Meanwhile, Man City have won all but two of their 13 home matches (1 loss, 1 draw) and outscored opponents 43-13 in those games.

I’m sure Jurgen Klopp‘s men would relish a victory over the team that pipped them to the title by a point last season, but I’m not sure how they’ll be able to slow down Erling Haaland.

Nottingham Forest vs Wolves Best Bet

Draw No Bet: Nottingham Forest (-110) | BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Before the break, I backed Forest to get at least a point at home against Newcastle. Unfortunately, that bet lost after the hosts conceded a penalty in second-half stoppage time.

Still, I’m going back to the well with Steve Cooper‘s side for this relegation six-pointer against Wolves. The recently-promoted side has been able to stay above the relegation zone on the back of its home form, losing just four of 14 matches at the City Ground this season.

Meanwhile, Wolves are in this relegation dogfight because of their pitiful away form. The West Midlands side has won just twice away from home this season (14 games) and would have to do so again for this bet to fail.

I’m expecting a strong performance from the hosts here, especially since Wolves have some disciplinary issues after Jonny and Matheus Nunes were sent off in their previous match.

West Ham vs Southampton Best Bet

Under 2.5 Goals (-135) | BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

These two teams enter the weekend in the relegation zone and are currently separated by a single point.

They also have been two of the lowest-scoring teams in the league this season. West Ham have netted 24 times in 26 games, while Southampton have scored one fewer goal in two additional games.

West Ham’s games have seen Under 2.5 total goals 19 of 26 times (73%) this season and that percentage improves to 77% at London Stadium (10 of 13).

While both teams will be eager to pick up three precious points, I don’t see either side overwhelming the other.

Premier League Matchweek 29 Parlay

  • Manchester City Win (-165) vs Liverpool
  • Fulham Win (+185) at Bournemouth
  • Tottenham Win (+115) at Everton

(+884) | BetMGM Sportsbook

EPL Parlay Matchweek 29

Despite a historically difficult matchup, I think Man City is a pretty safe bet against Liverpool at home. Removing the total goals stipulation adds some juice to the equation, but that’s fine for the starter leg of our EPL parlay.

After that, I’m taking Fulham to defeat Bournemouth. The Cottagers have lost three straight matches across all competitions, but Marco Silva‘s side has been one of the pleasant surprises of the season so far. I like their chances to rebound against the 19th-placed Cherries after getting some time to regroup over the break.

If we make it through the first two legs, we’ll have to wait until Monday to close out our parlay. Everton have been much more organized since Sean Dyche took over as manager, but I’m expecting a reaction from a Tottenham squad that was called out publicly by their now former manager.

The new-manager bounce may not apply here as much as it would at Crystal Palace (+150 to defeat Leicester at home), who also could be an interesting play if you want to take this parlay up a notch.

Premier League Matchweek 29 Fixtures

Saturday, April 1

  • Manchester City vs Liverpool
  • Bournemouth vs Fulham
  • Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton
  • Crystal Palace vs Leicester City
  • Arsenal vs Leeds United
  • Brighton vs Brentford
  • Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Sunday, April 2

  • West Ham vs Southampton
  • Newcastle vs Manchester United

Monday, April 3

  • Everton vs Tottenham

Author

John Arlia

Before joining The Game Day, John served as the National Writer for the United Soccer League, where he primarily covered the USL Championship out of the league’s headquarters in Tampa, FL. A devout soccer fan, John attended the men’s World Cups in Brazil and Russia and can’t wait for the 2026 edition to come to North America. Having also written for Sporting News Canada since getting his master’s from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at ASU, John has acquired a diverse sporting background, but considers football, golf, and soccer his three strong suits.

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