The NFL Playoffs are underway and we are on to the Divisional Round! We have four games on the slate this weekend, which means we still have plenty of DFS candidates to choose from. If you’re looking for a way to combine the fun of betting and fantasy football, ThriveFantasy may be the perfect site for you.
Unlike the typical salary cap lineup construction format that most DFS sites follow, ThriveFantasy has users pick Over or Under specific stat categories for players. Picking the more unlikely option rewards the user more points. You are competing with other users who have entered the contest to earn the most points. The user with the most points wins the most money.
There are other game formats on ThriveFantasy, including a touchdown-only contest, which is self-explanatory. For the sake of this article, we will be giving picks for the typical game format.
Now that you understand how ThriveFantasy works, let’s get into the DFS football predictions series for the Divisional Round! We’ll go over one pick for each game on the schedule.
Prop stats information for NFL DFS Divisional Round picks are current as of Thursday, January 20, at 8:30 p.m. ET.
AFC Championship DFS: Chiefs vs Bengals Picks
Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
OVER 70.5 Receiving Yards (100 Points)
Hill can accomplish this on one play, frankly. Cincy’s improved defense is one of the big reasons they’ve come this far in the NFL playoffs, but they ranked in the league’s bottom third by allowing 8.1 yards per target to wideouts in the regular season — so they can be beaten downfield.
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The Chiefs hold the advantage when pass-blocking, which should give Patrick Mahomes plenty of time to let plays develop for Hill, either for him to rely on yards after the catch or burn defenders downfield on a go route.
Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals
OVER 272.5 Passing Yards (95 Points)
It’s simple: Burrow and the Bengals will need to chuck the rock to keep up with Patrick Mahomes, whose receiving options Hill, Travis Kelce, and others will be difficult to contain.
- Read our full Bengals vs Chiefs pick.
There’s a reason the Over has the negative juice in this decision; it’s the easy take, but as part of a contest in which you pick 10 props, you need the gimmes, too.
NFC Championship DFS: 49ers vs Rams Picks
Cam Akers, RB, Los Angeles Rams
UNDER 80.5 Rushing Yards + Receiving Yards
Akers’ fumble issues from last week could affect his rushing chances, and he’s been running through mud since returning from a torn Achilles with just 2.5 yards per carry in his two playoff games.
We could see a bigger dose of Sony Michel, who filled in admirably at times over the season and has looked better between the tackles. Plus, the run game might be abandoned overall given that Matthew Stafford will likely put this team on his back for a “trip" to the Super Bowl in their home SoFi Stadium.
- Read our full 49ers vs Rams pick.
Akers is the fifth option at best in a loaded Rams pass game, and he’s not the preferred pass-blocker in this backfield. The 49ers also have been stingy against receiving running backs most of the season.
George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ers
OVER 0.5 Receiving Touchdowns
The Rams have given up just four touchdowns against tight ends this year. Of course, Kittle scored one of them in Week 10.
Per RotoWire, Kittle has averaged 0.8 red-zone targets per game in his past 12 contests, and he would have the advantage in coverage by the Rams’ middle linebackers and safeties.