Stefon Diggs was surprisingly quiet in Buffalo’s 47-17 victory over the New England Patriots on Wild Card Weekend, catching just three passes for 60 yards on an otherwise stellar night for the Bills offense.
In the Divisional Round, Diggs will likely see more opportunities against a Kansas City Chiefs defense that ranked 23rd in Pass DVOA during the regular season.
One of the lasting images of last season’s AFC Championship Game was Diggs watching the confetti fall in Kansas City as the Chiefs advanced to the Super Bowl.
I’d be willing to bet he’ll do everything he can to escape that same postseason fate on Sunday night.
Let’s dive into my favorite Stefon Diggs props for the Divisional Round.
All NFL gameday odds are updated as of 6 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 20.
Stefon Diggs Divisional Prop Bets
OVER 71.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Wager: 1 Unit
Considering his high standards, Diggs was generally held in check by Patriots corner J.C. Jackson. Buffalo absolutely torched the New England defense, scoring touchdowns on all seven of their offensive possessions before kneeling the clock out on their eighth drive of the evening.
Diggs has been quite good at bouncing back from mediocre performances, however, as he’s established a bit of a trend across his game logs over the last two months.
Dating back to Week 9, Diggs has gone Over this number and then Under this number in every alternating week, including going Under this total last Saturday against the Patriots.
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While this trend doesn’t particularly mean anything, I do expect Diggs to get used more in what should be a closer contest. He should have opportunities to beat one-on-one coverage as the Chiefs love to stick to their guns on the outside and send pressure to the quarterback.
Josh Allen should be able to find Diggs more on some quick slants as well as a few more shots down the field, as Joe Burrow and the Bengals laid out the formula for beating Kansas City in Week 17.
Diggs had six catches for 77 yards against the Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game last year and should be heavily involved again as the Bills look to exact postseason revenge in Kansas City.
Check out more of our Bills vs Chiefs Predictions
Longest Reception OVER 22.5 Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Wager: 0.5 Units
While the Bills have used Gabriel Davis as their primary deep threat this season, Diggs is certainly capable of making plays down the field.
Diggs had a 45-yard reception last week against New England and should see plenty of one-on-one opportunities against Steve Spagnuolo‘s defense.
Everyone knows that Chiefs safety Daniel Sorensen is a liability in coverage, so look for the Bills to try to take shots deep when he’s in the area.
- Read more of our NFL Divisional Round Player Prop Bets
In reality, all Diggs needs to do for this prop to hit is break a tackle on a 15-yard in route, something that we saw Bengals star Ja’Marr Chase do often in an electrifying Week 17 performance.
Allen and Diggs connected on a 61-yard pass play when the Bills and Chiefs met back in Week 5, so I’m confident they can find a 23-yard connection here for our NFL bet of the day.