2021 NFL Survivor Pool Picks Week 16 | Who To Pick In Knockout Pool Week 16

Congratulations if you’re still in your Survivor Pool. It’s Week 16 and you’ve picked 15 consecutive winners straight up. With so many ridiculous upsets this year, that’s a huge accomplishment.

However, you still have three more weeks to go. It’s no time to celebrate.

I’ve been out of my pool for quite a while now, but I’m here to help those who are still in theirs. I’m not worried about teams I’ve already selected at this point. I’m giving you guys the best picks possible and hoping you have one or two of these teams I’ve selected left for your pool.

All NFL Week 16 odds and lines are current as of 10:30 a.m. ET on Wednesday, December 22.

2021 NFL Survivor Pool Grid Week 16

Road TeamHome TeamOpening LineCurrent LineProb HmTm WProb RdTmWProb HmTmCvProb RdTmCv
Kansas CityDenver-3-100.32780.67220.57550.4245
Green BayDetroit-11-20.23250.76750.33650.6635
WashingtonN.Y. Giants-4-70.4680.5320.61910.3809
New OrleansAtlanta-3.5-4.50.37170.62830.49860.5014
N.Y. JetsBuffalo+17+170.88950.11050.51990.4801
San FranciscoLA Rams+6.5+40.61360.38640.49940.5006
New EnglandMiami-2.5-6.50.33750.66250.51120.4888
CarolinaTampa Bay+16.5+80.8350.1650.61740.3826
LA ChargersLas Vegas-2.5-30.47760.52240.54550.4545

The above survivor pool grid, created by Todd Beck of “The Prediction Tracker,” uses the average of the top computer ratings in the sports betting industry including computer systems like Sagarin, ESPN FPI, Massey Ratings, Stat Fox, and many, many more.

To read this grid properly, the opening line and current line are based on the road team.

Keep in mind that when this article is posted, current lines can change and probability for teams can also change based on breaking news.

2021 NFL Survivor Pool: Best Picks to Win in Week 16

Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears

For the most part, if you’re still alive in your pool, there’s a good chance you haven’t selected the Seahawks yet. I certainly haven’t brought up their name in my articles this season.

However, the Seahawks are set to play the Chicago Bears this week, who just continue to lose games. The Bears are struggling to protect Justin Fields and continue to lack development as a program.

Fields has thrown for seven touchdowns and 10 interceptions in 12 games this season. To be honest, he’s the best quarterback out of the draft so far, but he’s just not getting any help from his offensive line and playmakers.

Meanwhile, the Seahawks won two games in a row against the 49ers and Texans before losing on Tuesday night to the Rams. They’re not officially out of the playoffs yet, per our NFL gameday odds, and a win here would help their case.

Betting Pick: Seahawks -6.5 (-110) at Caesars



Seahawks: Cover -6.5 Spread vs Bears

CHI @ SEA | 12/26, 4:05 PM ET

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Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans

The Los Angeles Chargers are starting to catch fire again. The Chargers are currently 8-6 on the year and lost to the Chiefs in overtime last week, 34-28. It was a tough game to lose, but they proved that they can stick around against any team in the NFL.

Now, the Chargers really need to rally for some wins to make the postseason. A game against the 3-11 Houston Texans should be just what the doctor ordered.

The Chargers are averaging 401 yards per game on offense, while the Texans are averaging just 285.4 yards per game. That’s a big difference, especially knowing the Texans’ defense is also one of the worst in the NFL.

This deep into a survivor pool, I’d be more confident with a home team, but if you’re going to select a road team, the Chargers are the play for our NFL bet of the day.

Betting Pick: Chargers -9.5 (-110) at Caesars



Chargers: Cover -9.5 Spread @ Texans

LAC @ HOU | 12/26, 1:00 PM ET

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2021 NFL Survivor Pools: Sleeper Team To Win

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles

The Giants already defeated the Eagles earlier this season, holding them to just seven points in the process. I’m not saying the Giants are going to win this game, but I’m also not saying they won’t.

If the Giants start Jake Fromm and he manages the game well and gets some help from the defense, this one could get interesting. If Mike Glennon gets the start, however, I’d back the Eagles.

Be careful if Fromm gets the start.

2021 NFL Survivor Pools: Chalk Pick That Could Lose

Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions

The Detroit Lions just knocked off the Arizona Cardinals, 30-12 last week, at home. The Lions have some serious momentum and seem to have a certain belief within the team that they can do anything.

I’m not a Lions homer, but I do think the Lions will play well as the season approaches its end. The first pick doesn’t really matter this year. There’s no clear first overall pick in this year’s draft.

The Lions have to go build on this win and start a winning streak, and it’s truly possible against a Falcons team that just can’t protect its quarterback anymore.

Thanks for reading our Week 16 Survivor Pool Picks! For more NFL betting tips, read our NFL Week 16 Best Bets and NFL Week 16 Parlays.

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Schedule & Odds

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NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page