2021 NFL Survivor Pool Picks Week 15 | Who To Pick In Knockout Pool Week 15

If you’ve made it to Week 15 in your Survivor Pool, congratulations are in order. It’s not time to celebrate just yet, however. With an extra game on the schedule this year, there are still four more weeks to go (including this one).

Last week, our best survivor pick was the Green Bay Packers. While the first half was weird, Green Bay got the job done against the Chicago Bears on Sunday Night Football.

If you’re still alive in our survivor pool, here are a couple of matchups to consider.

All NFL Week 15 odds and lines are current as of 2 PM ET on Wednesday, December 15.

2021 NFL Survivor Pool Grid Week 15

Road TeamHome TeamOpening LineCurrent LineProb HmTm WProb RdTmWProb HmTmCvProb RdTmCv
Kansas CityDenver-3-100.32780.67220.57550.4245
DallasPhiladelphia-3.5-70.490.510.63250.3675
PittsburghBaltimore+6.5+4.50.62720.37280.50.5
CincinnatiCleveland+1.5+30.44270.55730.39890.6011
Green BayDetroit-11-20.23250.76750.33650.6635
TennesseeHouston-10-10.50.2510.7490.52310.4769
IndianapolisJacksonville-8.5-15.50.17110.82890.53730.4627
ChicagoMinnesota+6+30.63750.36250.5380.462
WashingtonN.Y. Giants-4-70.4680.5320.61910.3809
SeattleArizona+5+6.50.65220.34780.48850.5115
New OrleansAtlanta-3.5-4.50.37170.62830.49860.5014
N.Y. JetsBuffalo+17+170.88950.11050.51990.4801
San FranciscoLA Rams+6.5+40.61360.38640.49940.5006
New EnglandMiami-2.5-6.50.33750.66250.51120.4888
CarolinaTampa Bay+16.5+80.8350.1650.61740.3826
LA ChargersLas Vegas-2.5-30.47760.52240.54550.4545

The above survivor pool grid, created by Todd Beck of “The Prediction Tracker,” uses the average of the top computer ratings in the sports betting industry including computer systems like Sagarin, ESPN FPI, Massey Ratings, Stat Fox, and many, many more.

To read this grid properly, the opening line and current line are based on the road team.

Keep in mind that when this article is posted, current lines can change and probability for teams can also change based on breaking news.

2021 NFL Survivor Pool: Best Picks to Win in Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

Believe it or not, I’ve yet to recommend the San Francisco 49ers this season. While they’ve played a tough schedule thus far, I like their matchup this week.

The Falcons are somehow 6-7 despite ranking in the bottom seven in both points scored and points against. They’ve played much worse than their record suggests, as their expected record is 4-9.

Meanwhile, the 49ers have hit their stride after a bumpy start, winning five of their last seven. They’re still in the playoff hunt at 7-6 and should come with a big performance at home after taking down the Cincinnati Bengals in overtime last week.

With Atlanta getting outscored by an average of 8.4 points per game, their win probability is just 23.9% on the Prediction Tracker. Take the surging 49ers at home against the middling Falcons.

Betting Pick: 49ers -9 (-110) at Caesars

spread

-110

49ers to Cover -9 Spread vs Falcons (NFL Week 15)

ATL @ SF | 12/19, 4:05 PM ET

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Buffalo Bills vs Carolina Panthers

I know some people have probably already used the Buffalo Bills, but if you haven’t yet this is a great spot for them at home against the reeling Carolina Panthers.

The Panthers have lost eight of their last 10 games, fired their offensive coordinator, and can’t seem to figure out who they want at quarterback. Their offense has been a disaster lately, topping 21 points just once in their past seven games.

While Cam Newton will likely get the start on Sunday, Carolina is 0-3 in his starts this season and now faces one of the NFL’s best defenses on the road. Look for Buffalo to bounce back in a major way against the scuffling Panthers at home for our NFL bet of the day.

Betting Pick: Bills -10.5 (-110) at Caesars

spread

-110

Bills To Cover -10.5 Spread vs Panthers (NFL Week 15)

CAR @ BUF | 12/19, 1:00 PM ET

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2021 NFL Survivor Pools: Sleeper Team To Win

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

If you’re really looking to stand out this week, the Houston Texans are a slight road underdog against the Jacksonville Jaguars on our NFL gameday odds.

The Jaguars are a mess these days. In addition to losing five in a row, they finally (and mercifully) pulled the plug on Urban Meyer.

The Jaguars have scored a grand total of seven points over their last two games combined and haven’t tallied more than 17 points in a game since Week 6. Their offense is so broken right now that not even Trevor Lawrence can fix it.

While the Texans are equally bad, at least they’re not in complete disarray like Jacksonville.

2021 NFL Survivor Pools: Future Team Value Pick to Save

Now that we’re in the home stretch, your focus has to be on this week. Don’t worry about saving picks for future weeks at this point of the season.

2021 NFL Survivor Pools: Chalk Pick That Could Lose

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

I truly think the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win on Sunday Night Football, especially since the Prediction Tracker has them winning 74.2% of the time. However, it’s worth noting that New Orleans has beaten Tampa Bay in four of their last five meetings, including earlier this year.

While the Saints have been decimated by injuries since then, they still have a solid defense and a strong running game behind Alvin Kamara and Taysom Hill. If the Saints can force a turnover or two and keep the ball out of Tom Brady‘s hands, they’ll have a shot at a divisional upset.

I like the Bucs to win, but I wouldn’t bet on it.

Thanks for reading our Week 15 Survivor Pool Picks! For more NFL betting tips, read our NFL Week 15 Best Bets and NFL Week 15 Prop Bets.

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Schedule & Odds

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NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page