Cowboys vs Giants Predictions Week 15 | NFL Pick of the Day

Week 15 features a divisional clash between the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants, who are at opposite ends of the NFC East standings. The 9-4 Cowboys have more or less locked up the division at this point with a three-game lead over Washington and Philadelphia, whereas the Giants are languishing in last place at 4-9.

The previous meeting between these two teams wasn’t much of a contest, as Dallas blew out New York in a 44-20 laugher. The Cowboys have since solidified themselves as one of the best teams in the NFL this year, led by an explosive offense and a surprisingly strong defense.

The Giants, on the other hand, have slogged through an injury-plagued campaign that’s already resulted in the firing of offensive coordinator Jason Garrett.

Will Dallas dominate New York again? Or will the Giants upset the Cowboys at home? Let’s dive deeper with our Cowboys vs Giants predictions and best bets.

Please note that all NFL Week 15 odds and lines are current as of 10:00 a.m. ET on Wednesday, December 15.

Cowboys vs Giants Prediction

Injuries have been the story for New York all season, and this week is no different. Daniel Jones is dealing with a neck injury and has not played since Week 12, leaving Mike Glennon to lead the Giants’ offense if he remains sidelined.

Rookie wideout Kadarius Toney is also questionable for Sunday’s contest, as he’s been hampered by an oblique issue and was just placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list Monday.

While injuries are largely to blame for New York’s poor play, they’re finally starting to get healthier with Saquon Barkley, Kenny Golladay, and Sterling Shepard back on the field. Their defense is also mostly intact and has played better lately, allowing 20 points or less in five of their last seven games.


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Regardless of whether Jones or Glennon is under center for New York, their defense should be able to keep things relatively close. Their unit has been especially effective at home, where they’ve surrendered just 18.0 points per contest at a modest 5.2 yards per play and only 331.5 yards per game.

The Cowboys have also been far less potent on the road, primarily because of Dak Prescott‘s pedestrian play away from home. He has an 8:8 TD/INT ratio when traveling and has thrown seven of his 10 interceptions this year in outdoor settings as well.

The G-Men have the secondary to make life difficult on Prescott and stall some drives, as New York has allowed the eighth-fewest passing yards per home game (207.2) and second-lowest yards per completion (8.9) at home. However, the G-Men will have to face Dallas without starting strong safety Xavier McKinney and starting cornerback Adoree’ Jackson with both players having been placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list Wednesday and Thursday, respectively.

With Dallas nowhere near as effective offensively on the road and mid-December northeast weather also potentially playing a factor here, this game should be much closer than their last matchup. Look for the Cowboys to prevail in a tough, low-scoring affair.

Prediction: Cowboys 26, Giants 17

New York Giants Defense

Can the New York Giants’ defense slow down Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys in Week 15? (Image: USA TODAY Sports)


Cowboys vs Giants Best Bets

Best Bet: Giants +10.5 (-110) at FOX Bet

While the Cowboys are clearly the better team, a double-digit spread is a lot for a road team to cover, especially in a divisional matchup. Between New York’s stingy home defense and an underperforming road offense for Dallas, this game should be closer than what’s being projected on our NFL gameday odds.

From a statistical trend perspective, it’s worth noting that although the Cowboys are 3-0 ATS as a road favorite this season, their average margin of victory in those games is 7.7 points — well short of this number.

Meanwhile, the Giants are 3-2 ATS as a home underdog and an NFL-best 7-2 versus the number in NFC East games since the arrival of head coach Joe Judge at the start of last season.

While I think Dallas still pulls off the win, I like New York to cover.

spread

-110

Giants To Cover +10.5 Spread vs Cowboys (NFL Week 15)

DAL @ NYG | 12/19, 1:00 PM ET

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Best Bet: Under 44.5 (-110) at FoxBet

The Cowboys are averaging nearly 12 points fewer per road game (23.9) than at home (35.5). The Giants are also allowing the fourth-fewest points per home contest (18.0) and have held two of their last three opponents there to single-digits.

The Under is also 5-0-1 in New York’s home games this season and 5-2 in Dallas’ away contests, making the Under our NFL bet of the day.

over-under

-110

Under 44.5 Total Points In Cowboys @ Giants (NFL Week 15)

DAL @ NYG | 12/19, 1:00 PM ET

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Bet $20, Payout $38

Thank you for reading our NFL Week 15 Cowboys vs Giants Predictions! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL Week 15 Best Bets and NFL Week 15 Parlays Picks.

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NFL Betting News

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  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

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