2021 NFL Survivor Pool Picks Week 14 | Who To Pick In Knockout Pool Week 14

If you bet against the Lions last week, you’re officially out of the Survivor Pool. Isn’t that something?

Detroit, after losing or tying in their first 11 games, finally picked up a win last week against the Vikings. Outside of that, though, there weren’t any other massive upsets around the league.

I’ve been out of my pool since Week 8 but am here to provide analysis on the best selections each week for those who are still competing for the grand prize in their pools.

Without further ado, let’s get right to it.

All NFL gameday odds and lines are current as of Wednesday, December 8, at 11:00 a.m. ET.

2021 NFL Survivor Pool Grid Week 14

Road TeamHome TeamOpening LineCurrent LineProb HmTm WProb RdTmWProb HmTmCvProb RdTmCv
Kansas CityDenver-3-100.32780.67220.57550.4245
DallasPhiladelphia-3.5-70.490.510.63250.3675
PittsburghBaltimore+6.5+4.50.62720.37280.50.5
CincinnatiCleveland+1.5+30.44270.55730.39890.6011
Green BayDetroit-11-20.23250.76750.33650.6635
TennesseeHouston-10-10.50.2510.7490.52310.4769
IndianapolisJacksonville-8.5-15.50.17110.82890.53730.4627
ChicagoMinnesota+6+30.63750.36250.5380.462
WashingtonN.Y. Giants-4-70.4680.5320.61910.3809
SeattleArizona+5+6.50.65220.34780.48850.5115
New OrleansAtlanta-3.5-4.50.37170.62830.49860.5014
N.Y. JetsBuffalo+17+170.88950.11050.51990.4801
San FranciscoLA Rams+6.5+40.61360.38640.49940.5006
New EnglandMiami-2.5-6.50.33750.66250.51120.4888
CarolinaTampa Bay+16.5+80.8350.1650.61740.3826
LA ChargersLas Vegas-2.5-30.47760.52240.54550.4545

The above survivor pool grid, created by Todd Beck of “The Prediction Tracker,” uses the average of the top computer ratings in the sports betting industry including computer systems like Sagarin, ESPN FPI, Massey Ratings, Stat Fox, and many, many more.

To read this grid properly, the opening line and current line are based on the road team.

Keep in mind that when this article is posted, current lines can change and probability for teams can also change based on breaking news.

2021 NFL Survivor Pool: Best Picks to Win in Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

As it stands, rookie quarterback Justin Fields is considered questionable for this game. However, head coach Matt Nagy confirmed that the team won’t him at risk.

With the Bears playing Sunday Night Football at Lambeau Field, it’s hard to imagine Fields would actually get the start, under more spotlight, as he continues to recover.

The Packers, on the other hand, are 9-3 on the season and coming off of a bye week. Green Bay’s offense is only averaging 23.6 points per game, but in the last two weeks, they’ve scored a combined 67 points.

The Prediction Tracker has the Packers’ win probability at 79.40 percent. As a 12.5 point favorite, the Packers, if still available, would be the play for your NFL bet of the day.

Betting Pick: Packers -12.5 (-110) at Caesars

spread

-110

Packers To Cover -12.5 Spread vs Bears (CHI @ GB, NFL Week 14)

CHI @ GB | 12/12, 8:20 PM ET

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Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

I know what you’re thinking. The Titans already lost to the Texans and Jets this season. Why would we take the Titans now?

The Jaguars are 2-10 on the year while the Titans are 8-4. The better team is clearly the Titans, and while they didn’t play well in those two games and can fall in weird spots, being home will absolutely help their case.

No. 1 pick Trevor Lawrence has thrown more interceptions than touchdown passes this season, while the defense has allowed 26.7 points per game. The Jaguars have also scored 17 or fewer points in each of their last five games, and while they did take down the Bills, Jacksonville still only scored nine points in the win.

I’m confident in the Titans, and so is the Prediction Tracker, which has the Titans winning 82.13 percent at home.

Betting Pick: Titans -8.5 (-110) at Caesars

spread

-110

Titans To Cover -8.5 Spread vs Jaguars (JAC @ TEN, NFL Week 14)

JAC @ TEN | 12/12, 1:00 PM ET

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Ryan Tannehill, QB, Tennessee Titans

The Tennessee Titans are slumping, but they should be more than capable of taking down the Jacksonville Jaguars following a bye week. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)


2021 NFL Survivor Pools: Sleeper Team To Win

New Orleans Saints @ New York Jets

Some of you might’ve taken the Saints earlier, but if you didn’t roll with them when Jameis Winston was under center, you’ve likely stayed away from them throughout the year.

This is the perfect spot for the Saints to pull out a win. While Taysom Hill isn’t your typical quarterback, he can really help be a spark to this Saints offense, even with a jammed middle finger.

The Jets are allowing over 130 rushing yards per game. With Alvin Kamara questionable and Hill probable, I like New Orleans’ chances on the road. This is the perfect time to use the Saints if you haven’t already.

2021 NFL Survivor Pools: Future Team Value Pick to Save

San Francisco 49ers @ Cincinnati Bengals

The San Francisco 49ers will go on the road to take on the Cincinnati Bengals this week. Cincinnati has been extremely hard to figure out this year — one week they’re winning by double digits, and the next, they’re on the other side of a blowout.

However, at home, I wouldn’t bet against the Bengals here. The 49ers, on the other hand, have the Atlanta Falcons next week and will be a full touchdown favorite in that game.

We haven’t used the 49ers yet, and there’s a good chance we’ll use San Francisco next week instead.

2021 NFL Survivor Pools: Chalk Pick That Could Lose

Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Football Team

The Cowboys found success against the Saints last week, but before that game, Dallas had lost three of their last four games with the lone win coming against the Falcons.

Washington, on the other hand, has won four straight games and is 6-6 on the year. If Washington is able to defeat the Cowboys, at home, they’ll be one game out of first in the NFC East and still be in contention to win the division for the second year in a row.

The Cowboys are 8-4 on the year, but they’re sure as heck not playing like it right now.

Thanks for reading our Week 14 Survivor Pool Picks! For more NFL betting tips, read our NFL Week 14 Best Bets and NFL Week 14 Prop Bets.

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NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page