At times last season, the AFC East appeared to be the most competitive division in football.
However, surprise upstarts in the Dolphins and Jets faded down the back half of the campaign, allowing the Buffalo Bills to run away with their third consecutive AFC East division title.
But who will win the AFC East this year?
Let’s dig into the latest AFC East winner odds to make a prediction and pick out our favorite sleeper bet.
AFC East Winner Betting Odds 2023
Note: These AFC East betting odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Thursday, June 29, at 2 p.m. ET. Be careful, as many of these NFL odds may shift as we get closer to the 2023 NFL season.
- Buffalo Bills (+120)
- New York Jets (+270)
- Miami Dolphins (+300)
- New England Patriots (+800)
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Unsurprisingly, the Bills are still far ahead as the betting favorites to win the AFC East. That makes plenty of sense since Buffalo has won 37 regular-season games over the past three years, and Josh Allen is perennially amongst the favorites in the NFL MVP odds.
What may come as more of a shock is that the Jets currently have the second-best odds after finishing last season with a 7-10 record. However, these odds reflect the team’s acquisition of quarterback Aaron Rodgers, a major upgrade from last year’s trio of Zach Wilson, Mike White, and Joe Flacco.
The same could be said for the Dolphins and Patriots, who round out the division, and both teams will have hope of dethroning the Bills in 2023. Miami needs quarterback Tua Tagovailoa to stay healthy after he suffered (at least) two concussions last season, while New England will be hoping that new OC Bill O’Brien can get more out of Mac Jones.
AFC East Winner Best Bet
Buffalo Bills (+120) | DraftKings Sportsbook
Let’s not get cute here.
Although the Bills came up short in the playoffs again last season, they truly have picked up the mantle that Tom Brady and the Patriots left behind by dominating the AFC East.
That looks to continue in 2023 as Allen is the best quarterback in the division, and Buffalo’s roster is primed for another run at the Super Bowl. Von Miller will return from a torn ACL to give this defense a much-needed boost, and with the team drafting TE/slot WR Dalton Kincaid to serve as another passing weapon, Allen should be right back to his solid numbers.
Even with Rodgers in New York, the AFC East runs through Buffalo. It may be worth waiting to see if this number drops slightly if that comes to fruition, but the Bills have plenty of value here at plus-money odds.
AFC East Winner Sleeper Pick
New York Jets (+270) | DraftKings Sportsbook
Now armed with Rodgers, this bet makes sense in case the Bills stumble as they did at times last season.
Garrett Wilson could blossom into a full-grown star WR this season coming off a terrific rookie year, and if fellow sophomore RB Breece Hall rebounds following ACL reconstruction surgery, this offense could be terrifying.
Meanwhile, the Jets return one of the NFL’s best defenses and added some help through the draft this year, so watch out on that end.
AFC East Winner By Year
Year | AFC East Winner | Record |
---|---|---|
2013 | New England Patriots | 12-4 |
2014 | New England Patriots | 12-4 |
2015 | New England Patriots | 12-4 |
2016 | New England Patriots | 14-2 |
2017 | New England Patriots | 13-3 |
2018 | New England Patriots | 11-5 |
2019 | New England Patriots | 12-4 |
2020 | Buffalo Bills | 13-3 |
2021 | Buffalo Bills | 11-6 |
2022 | Buffalo Bills | 13-3 |