NFL Survivor Week 11 Rankings

Last Updated: Nov 16, 2023

Rarely does the NFL produce so many robust point spreads in one offering.

For those in search of close games, and there were many of those last week, Week 11 might not produce the same kind of results.

In fact, it’s almost a little too good to be true. Well, at least when it comes to Survivor.

With ample games above or hovering around double-digit point spreads, this feels like a strange week overall. Although after Cincinnati and Buffalo took tumbles in Week 10, this is perhaps just the right time to take a breath.

Here’s a breakdown of NFL Week 11. As always, survive and advance.

Survivor Week 11 Best Picks

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

There were at least three games warranting consideration for the top spot, and all were worthy of discussion. In the end, however, the Lions were the pick.

That sentence still doesn’t compute quite right, although Detroit has gone from plucky underdog to an offensive force in a short period of time. The days of the Old Lions are long gone right now.

Last week, Detroit scored 41 points, clipping the Chargers on the road in Week 10. Quarterback Jared Goff was once again brilliant, which has become the norm.

Having played three of its last four games on the road, Detroit heads home to take on a team still struggling to score points. The Bears were able to get past the Panthers, although it wasn’t pretty.

This won’t be pretty, either. There are bigger point spreads on the board, but this one feels right.

Take the Lions to win by double digits.

Use our NFL Eliminator tips to place bets with the top NFL odds:

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

If Detroit isn’t the right fit, Miami might be.

The Dolphins were off last week after falling to the Chiefs, and the bye came at the perfect time. With the rest of the AFC East struggling, Miami is in position to take firm control of the division and likely never look back.

Sure, the Raiders have put up plenty of fight since Antonio Pierce took over as interim coach. The performance over the past few weeks is admirable.

The issue, however, is offense. Asking QB Aidan O’Connell to go toe-to-toe with Tua Tagovailoa is asking too much, which doesn’t need any further explanation. And while the Raiders are a good story, this outcome is likely to be far different.

Look for the Miami offense to get cooking quickly at home, which it has done against inferior teams all year long.

This one could get ugly.

Survivor Week 11 Rankings Grid

1Dallas Cowboys@ Washington CommandersA+
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers@ Carolina PanthersA
3Jacksonville Jaguars@ Tennessee TitansA
4Cincinnati BengalsCleveland BrownsA-
5Philadelphia Eagles@ New York GiantsA-
6Pittsburgh Steelers@ Baltimore RavensB+
7New Orleans SaintsAtlanta FalconsB+
8Detroit LionsMinnesota VikingsB+
9Los Angeles ChargersKansas City ChiefsB
10Buffalo Bills@ Miami DolphinsB
11Green Bay PackersChicago BearsB
12Seattle Seahawks@ Arizona CardinalsB
13San Francisco 49ersLos Angeles RamsB
14Denver Broncos@ Las Vegas RaidersB_
15Indianapolis ColtsHouston TexansB-
16New England PatriotsNew York JetsB-
17New York Jets@ New England PatriotsB-
18Houston Texans@ Indianapolis ColtsB-
19Las Vegas RaidersDenver Broncos
20Los Angeles Rams@ San Francisco 49ersC+
21Arizona CardinalsSeattle SeahawksC+
22Chicago Bears@ Green Bay PackersC+
23Miami DolphinsBuffalo BillsC+
24Kansas City Chiefs@ Los Angeles ChargersC
25Minnesota Vikings@ Detroit LionsC
26Atlanta Falcons@ New Orleans SaintsC-
27Baltimore RavensPittsburgh SteelersD+
28New York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesD
29Cleveland Browns@ Cincinnati BengalsD
30Tennessee TitansJacksonville JaguarsD-
31Carolina PanthersTampa Bay BuccaneersD-
32Washington CommandersDallas CowboysF

Survivor Week 11 Sleeper

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Originally, Cleveland was firmly penciled in this spot. The injury to Deshaun Watson, however, forced us to be creative. We’re staying in the division to do so.

Betting against Joe Burrow is never fun, although the Ravens are a solid play on a short week. Both teams head into this one off of disappointing losses, although the Bengals’ defeat against the Texans was the more jarring outcome.

Thursday night games have a knack for producing low-scoring, ugly scores. And in that instance, Baltimore is more inclined to milk the clock, let Lamar Jackson move and keep the ball away from Cincinnati’s offense.

In a week with so many fascinating options, there are better ways to go. But in a bind, backing a home team with an elite QB on little rest isn’t a bad option.

Survivor Week 11 Team to Save for the Future

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals

One could argue that the Texans and CJ Stroud are the biggest story (and surprise) in the NFL.

Stroud isn’t just a candidate for Rookie of the Year – he’s played his way into the MVP conversation. That conversation took on new life last week when Stroud and the Texans conquered the Bengals.

So, why pump the brakes?

Kyler Murray’s return provided the Cardinals a spark last week. While they were unable to get past the Falcons, the offense did show life.

Sure, the Texans feel more equipped to win this game. Stroud has been excellent, and the team has clearly improved.

But perhaps we should slow down expectations along the way. While the Texans are worthy of the utmost praise, a regression of some kind would not surprise.

Survivor Week 11 Chalk Team That Could Lose

Los Angeles Chargers at Green Bay Packers

Of course, the Chargers can lose. Such has become the theme under head coach Brandon Staley, who enters Week 11 squarely on the hot seat.

Despite the talent and the quarterback, Los Angeles remains a tremendous work in progress. It can beat any team; it can lose to any team. Such is life as a Charger in 2023.

This particular road trip feels problematic for a few reasons. For starters, Los Angeles is coming off another disappointing loss. The emotions of said loss could carry over.

Traveling to Green Bay won’t be easy, even if the Packers are a shell of what they once were. While Jordan Love vs Justin Herbert looks and feels like a tremendous mismatch, the oddsmakers don’t view it that way.

Like many games that came before it, don’t be surprised if the Chargers are in a nail-biter against an inferior opponent. We’re staying far away from this one.


Adam Kramer

Adam Kramer is an NFL, college football, and gambling analyst for The Game Day. While college football has long been his calling, he’s also covered sports such as boxing, horse racing, and baseball at The Game Day and in other places. He’s also written for Bleacher Report, VSiN, and various other outlets over the past decade-plus.

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