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NFL Wild Card Prop Bets

Sam WagmanSports Content Editor
@swagman95
Last Updated: Jan 11, 2024

The NFL regular season might be over, but all of the sportsbooks are still giving out props. That means there’s some money to be won!

In this article, we’ll track down some of my favorite prop bets for the NFL Wild Card round, but you can also check out our Wild Card Predictions if you’re looking for other playoff NFL content.

NFL Wild Card Player Props

NFL Wild Card odds used for prop bets are from DraftKings Sportsbook (unless otherwise noted) and current as of Wednesday, Jan. 10, at noon ET.

David Njoku: Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at Texans

WAGER: 1 Unit

Njoku has been on fire since Joe Flacco took the offensive reins in Week 13, averaging nearly 80 receiving yards per game in the five games that Flacco has been throwing to him. The Browns have been an extremely pass-heavy offense in the meantime, and I don’t expect that to change with Houston being a pass-funnel defense lately.

When the Browns played the Texans in Week 16, Njoku caught six passes for 44 yards, but Amari Cooper exploded for 265 yards against Houston’s secondary. This time around, I expect a more even distribution of yards share between the two targets and for Njoku to live more towards that 65-yard mark.

NFL Wild Card Predictions

  • NFL Wild Card Parlays

  • The Sun God goes up against the Rams this week, who have allowed the fourth-highest rate of 20+ yard passes this season at 14.7%. Their cornerbacks are solid, but Jared Goff has always been willing to sling the ball in a dome setting and now potentially will be without his next best target in Sam LaPorta, which puts a higher need on St. Brown to be their guy.

    Tyreek Hill Longest Reception Over 25.5 Yards (-115) at Chiefs

    WAGER: 1 Unit

    Despite the fact that Hill hasn’t crested this number in the last four games (he’s had a 25-yard catch twice), he has still hit the over in nine of 16 games on the season. I’m also not as worried about the extremely low projected temperatures in this game, given that Mike McDaniel should have his team prepared for the cold.

    Also, don’t forget that Hill played in Kansas City for many years, and he knows what to expect from the weather when the year gets into January. To beat the Chiefs, Miami will have to throw the football and make some chunk plays down the field.

    We’re getting the benefit of a lower number than usual with Hill here, you should take advantage of it and trust that the speedster will get loose downfield. I think there are more points scored in this game than people think, and Miami will inevitably have some of them.

    George Pickens Under 39.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Bills

    WAGER: 1 Unit

    This is definitely a lower number, but I feel like there is a definite disadvantage to thinking Pickens goes off here.

    For starters, the weather narrative surrounding this game is that it’s going to be extremely windy, with frigid wind chills all throughout the game, and there is a possibility of snow. Pickens, who has made his nut on the deep ball, might not see as many of those against a Bills’ secondary that has tightened the screws lately, allowing the lowest percentage of deep ball attempts in the NFL at 8.9%.

    I think that both teams are going to rely heavily on the run game in this showdown, and the over/under of 35.5 definitely reflects that.

    NFL Wild Card Prop Bets

    Lions vs Rams: LAR Over 24.5 Total Points (-110)

    WAGER: 2 Units

    The Rams and Matthew Stafford stomp into Ford Field for the Lions’ first home playoff game in what feels like a millennium, kind of because it has. Despite playing for the Lions’ franchise from 2009 till 2020, Stafford never had a home playoff game, and now he plays in one at his former stadium as a member of the opposing team.

    Coming along with Stafford is a pretty formidable offense, helmed by two great receivers in, Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, as well as running back Kyren Williams. The Rams have been able to put up points with ease at times, and now they they’re in a dome for this game, I see them able to score at will.

    The Rams have played in a dome 11 times this season, and they’ve averaged 25.2 points per game despite losing several of those games. I think that Stafford is going to feel right at home here, and the offense will feast against a Lions’ secondary that has been susceptible to big plays this season.


    Before reading more picks, toggle with the widget below for our full list of NFL Wild Card player props:

    Author

    Sam Wagman

    Sam is the Sports Content Editor for The Game Day. He has been in the sports media industry for 4 years, with stints at VegasInsider, Footballguys, and Fantasy Points. Sam specializes in fantasy football content creation and strategy as well as sports betting content strategy with an NFL and PGA focus. Originally from Philadelphia, he enjoys all Philly sports despite now living in Florida. He enjoys playing tennis, pickleball, and golf -- while constantly struggling to break 80 on the course.

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