I am coming off a respectable showing as we head into Week 9. After a down start to the season, I hit on four of six NFL prop picks and ended the week up 4.5 units overall.
But there was still pain involved for the second consecutive week on a DraftKings weekly special. I suggested DeAndre Hopkins and Justin Jefferson to hit 100-plus yards at (+500), and Jefferson finished with 98 receiving yards.
In NFL Week 9, I target the Bears and Jets’ offenses while exploiting the Atlanta defense and honing in on the slow-starting Arizona offense.
Scott Engel 2022 NFL props betting: 32-66 (-44.5 units)
Before reading Scott’s picks, toggle with the widget below for our full list of NFL Week 9 player props:
NFL Player Props Week 9
NFL Week 9 odds used for prop bets are from DraftKings Sportsbook (unless otherwise noted) and are current as of Friday, Nov. 4.
Alvin Kamara: Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-115) vs Ravens
WAGER: 2 Units
Kamara has easily sailed over this projected total in three of his past four games. He has 28 receptions in his last four games, further illustrating his potential opportunities to smash this prop play.
Working with Andy Dalton as his QB, Kamara has regained his best form as a receiving RB. The Ravens rank 27th in receiving yards allowed to RBs.
Travis Etienne: Over 104.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-105) vs Raiders
WAGER: 2 Units
The electrifying Etienne has easily soared over this projected number as a rusher alone in the past two games. He has just 11 total receiving yards in those outings, but a matchup with Las Vegas’ defense will surely elevate his outlook as a pass-catcher in Week 9.
The Raiders have allowed the most receiving yards to running backs this season. Etienne’s versatility will be on full display this week, and you can also consider the daring move of wagering on him to score two TDs at (+370).
Justin Fields: Over 225.5 Passing + Rushing Yards (-115) vs Dolphins
WAGER: 1.5 Units
The Bears’ staff recently retooled the offense to play better to Fields’ strengths as an RPO threat, and Chicago has scored 62 points in its last two games. Fields has gone over this projected combined passing/rushing total twice in his past three games.
Miami ranks 23rd in total defense and 26th against the pass, and we cannot count on a major impact from Bradley Chubb just yet. I am expecting a high-scoring game after Fields led the Bears to 29 points against the Dallas defense, making this wager a quality NFL bet.
Gerald Everett: Anytime TD Scorer (+220) at Falcons
WAGER: 1 Unit
The wide receiver injuries for the Chargers will push Everett into a larger offensive role this week. He should be one of the top pass-catchers for Justin Herbert, as Everett has 10 receptions on 14 targets over his past two games.
Atlanta’s pass defense has allowed 14 TD receptions, which is tied for third-most in the league. The unit ranks last in the NFL in overall pass defense, so Everett will be able to potentially score from outside the goal line area, too.
Everett has scored twice this season, both times on receptions of 18 yards.
Tyler Lockett: Anytime TD Scorer (+150) at Cardinals
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Cardinals have always done an admirable job of defending DK Metcalf, as he has 198 yards and one TD reception against them in seven career games. Arizona will naturally continue to make sure that Metcalf is their primary defensive focus in the passing game.
Lockett was held to 17 yards on two receptions and did not score vs the Cardinals when the teams first met this season in Week 6. In his career vs Arizona, though, he has seven TD receptions in 15 games.
Historical stats vs an opponent are not always a firm gauge of what to expect, but Metcalf commands so much defensive attention from the Cardinals and they won’t go away from what has worked.
Lockett can be the one to deliver when Geno Smith needs to make a key strike.
Garrett Wilson: Over 4.5 Receptions (-105) vs Bills
WAGER: 1 Unit
There are two possible game scripts for the Jets in which Wilson will figure prominently. They will either be playing catch-up for a good portion of the game while padding passing/receiving totals, or Wilson can be a factor if New York hangs close.
Wilson had six receptions for 115 yards last week, and with Breece Hall out, he is New York’s most potentially dynamic playmaker. They must get the ball to him to stay in the game, or he will be busy while New York plays from behind.
NFL Prop Bets Week 9
Dolphins vs Bears: Both Score 20+ Points (+125)
WAGER: 2 Units
The current Miami offense is the most potent unit the team has featured since the best years of Marino/Duper/Clayton. For those who are not familiar with that portion of franchise history, simply do a search for the “Marx Brothers” of Dolphins’ fame.
This is a top pick for Week 9, as Miami features the No. 7 offense in the NFL, and the Bears have made significant strides on offense recently. Chicago has scored 62 points in their last two games, including 29 against Dallas’ third-ranked defense in points allowed per game.
The Dolphins’ defense ranks 22nd in points allowed per game, and Chicago’s 19th-ranked unit just lost its best player in Roquan Smith. The Miami defense should improve with the acquisition of Bradley Chubb, but this will be his first game with his new team, and you can’t bank on a major impact right away.
Eagles vs Texans: PHI Over 14.5 1H Points (-105)
WAGER: 1.5 Units
This matchup is naturally perceived to be one-sided, and the Houston defense will spend a lot of time on the field. The Eagles are the highest first-half-scoring team in the NFL at 21 points per game.
The Texans have not surrendered more than 10 points in a half in their last three games, but none of their opponents during that span ranked in the top 10 in scoring offense and two were not inside the top 20. Philadelphia averages the third-most points per game in the league.
Chargers vs Falcons: LA Over 26.5 Points (-115)
WAGER: 1.5 Units
The Chargers have scored 42 points in their past two games, but those matchups were against much better defensive teams than what they will see this week. Los Angeles faced Denver’s second-ranked defense and a Seattle defense that has averaged 15 points per game allowed in its last three games.
- Check out the latest NFL Week 9 Odds for more on the upcoming slate of games.
Atlanta ranks 29th in points per game allowed (25.6) and 31st in total defense. The Chargers have scored 30-plus points in two of their past three wins and should come out of their bye week ready to run up the points against the Falcons.
Seahawks vs Cardinals: ARI Under 2.5 1H TDs (+115)
WAGER: 1.5 Units
Arizona ranks 26th in first-half points per game, at an 8.4 clip. The Seattle defense has tightened up recently and held the Cardinals to a season-low nine points in Week 6.
Seattle has allowed eight first-half points per game in its last three games. We can often temper our expectations a bit on overall scoring in some divisional games, and this matchup fits the bill, especially from the Arizona perspective.
Vikings vs Commanders: MIN 21-30 Total Points Band (+155)
WAGER: 1 Unit
The seasonal trend for the Vikings indicates that they have a very good shot of landing in this territory for points scored in Week 9.
Minnesota has finished in the 21-30 point range in five of their six wins this season. Washington allows 21.5 points per game.
Bills vs Jets: NYJ 1st To Score And Lose (+250)
WAGER: 1 Unit
After flopping in what would have been a major emotional win over New England, the Jets get another divisional test at home, and this one is obviously an even bigger challenge.
New York is going to want to put the bad memory of Week 8 behind it and will be geared up to get on the board first while stressing to Zach Wilson that he takes care of the football this time.
Getting off to a good start in another rivalry game will be important to the Jets even if they certainly appear destined for ultimate defeat.
At the least, we can bet on a decent drive for a field goal for an early 3-0 Jets lead. They will either win the coin flip and put together a respectable series or possibly keep Buffalo off the board for one drive before scoring.
