My hot streak cooled off in Week 6, winning only 0.37 units. Parlays were a struggle (-1.25 units), so it’s time to bounce back.
Read on for my best bet, longshot, and same-game parlay for Week 7. Check out my X account @FAmmiranteTFJ to see my full betting card.
We’ll go for our sixth consecutive profitable week with my NFL Week 7 parlays.
Best NFL Week 7 Parlay
Frank Ammirante 2023 Betting Record: 73-79 (+11.31 units)
All NFL gameday odds are current as of Thursday, Oct. 19, at 6 p.m. ET from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Week 7 Top Parlay (+180)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.6 Units
- Browns ML (-155) at Colts
- Raiders ML (-142) at Bears
The top parlay features two moneylines on road teams in favorable spots.
I’ll start off with the Browns (3-2), who are coming off an upset win over the 49ers (5-1) despite playing without Deshaun Watson (shoulder).
The Browns’ starting quarterback has returned to practice, which bodes well for his availability, but the real edge comes from Cleveland’s stellar defense.
Cleveland has by far the best pass defense in the NFL, ranking first in pass EPA, per RBSDM.com. Jim Schwartz‘s defense has also been stout versus the run, ranking eighth in rush EPA.
That’s bad news for Colts quarterback Gardner Minshew, who has really struggled this season – putting up a 54.3 PFF Passing Grade, which is 39th among quarterbacks.
I’ll finish it off with the Raiders (3-3), who should be able to knock off the Bears (1-5) with Tyson Bagent at quarterback.
The undrafted rookie didn’t inspire much confidence while filling in for the injured Justin Fields (thumb) last week, putting up a 54.0 PFF Passing Grade, which is good for 40th on the year.
While Brian Hoyer is starting for the injured Jimmy Garoppolo (back), at least the veteran has some NFL experience.
The Raiders have more weapons on offense, giving them the edge in this one.
Target these two moneylines in our NFL bet of the day.
Longshot NFL Week 7 Parlay
Week 7 Longshot Parlay (+264)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.37 Units
- Cardinals +7.5 (-112) at Seahawks
- Steelers +3 (-108) at Rams
The longshot parlay features two underdogs who look poised to cover the point spread.
We’ll start with an NFC West divisional clash between the Cardinals (1-5) and Seahawks (3-2).
Arizona’s new head coach Jonathan Gannon has his team playing hard, as highlighted by a 3-3 record against the spread and an impressive win over the Cowboys.
The fact is, I don’t trust this Seahawks team to cover 7.5 against a divisional opponent. We saw them lay an egg in Week 1 as six-point home favorites against the Rams.
Arizona had a 9-3 lead at halftime versus the Rams last week before collapsing in the second half, but don’t be surprised to see the Cardinals put a scare into the Seahawks here.
- See the full list of NFL Week 7 odds.
I’ll conclude this parlay with the Steelers +3 against the Rams.
Pittsburgh is coming off the bye and could be getting top wideout Diontae Johnson back for this game.
The Rams may struggle to run the ball with Kyren Williams now out with an ankle injury.
While Matthew Stafford is playing at a high level, we’ve seen the Steelers pull off a couple upsets this year, including wins over the Browns and Ravens.
I’m projecting this game to come down to the wire, which makes me feel more comfortable taking the points with Pittsburgh.
NFL Week 7 Same-Game Parlay
Commanders vs Giants Same-Game Parlay (+284)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.36 Units
- Commanders/Giants: Under 37.5 (-110)
- Saquon Barkley: Over 63.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
My Week 7 same-game parlay will target an NFC East divisional clash between the Commanders and Giants.
New York continues to deal with injuries on the offensive line, including left tackle Andrew Thomas (hamstring) and center John Michael Schmitz (shoulder).
That’s bad news against the Commanders’ pass rush, which includes studs like Chase Young and Montez Sweat.
Daniel Jones has returned to limited practice for the Giants following a neck injury, so he should be able to return for this game. Expect him to struggle to move the ball through the air while under duress from this Commanders front-seven.
Not only does that bode well for the Under, but it could also result in Saquon Barkley getting fed on the ground.
We saw the stud running back look good in his return last week, where he rushed for 93 yards on 24 carries.
Expect similar heavy volume for Barkley in this one as the Giants try to ease the pressure off Jones.
