I had my best result of the season in Week 5, winning 6.7 units – including a hit on the same-game parlay within this article.
Here, you’ll find my top parlay, along with a long-shot and same-game parlay for Week 6. If you want to see my full NFL betting card, be sure to check me out on X, @FAmmiranteTFJ.
Let’s try to make it five consecutive winning weeks with my NFL Week 6 parlays.
Best NFL Week 6 Parlay
Frank Ammirante 2023 Betting Record: 64-64 (+10.94 units)
All NFL gameday odds are current as of Friday, Oct. 13, at 1 p.m. ET from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Week 6 Top Parlay (+261)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
- Colts +4 (-112) at Jaguars
- Jets +7 (-110) vs Eagles
The top parlay starts with the Indianapolis Colts (3-2) to keep it close against the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2).
Indianapolis +4 looks like a strong play against a Jacksonville team coming off two consecutive games in London. Following their impressive win over the Buffalo Bills, this sets up as a letdown spot for the Jags.
Here, we have a matchup of two top-15 teams, according to DVOA (via FTN Fantasy), with the Colts 15th and Jaguars 11th.
Indy will have to start Gardner Minshew with Anthony Richardson out with a shoulder injury, but the former Jag is one of the best backups in the NFL.
When these teams played in Week 1, the Colts had a 21-17 lead heading into the fourth quarter before the Jags scored 14 unanswered points en route to a 31-21 victory.
We’ve seen Jacksonville play down to its competition at times – look at the 37-17 loss to the Texans in Week 3.
I’m a big believer in the Colts’ first-year head coach, Shane Steichen, who looks like an offensive mastermind. Look for Minshew to put forth a strong performance against a pass-funnel Jaguars defense.
This game should come down to the wire, so give me the Colts +4.
I’ll finish it off with the New York Jets (2-3) to keep it close against the Philadelphia Eagles (5-0).
This feels like too high of a number, considering the Jets’ strength on defense. While they haven’t played up to par this year (15th in DVOA), there’s a lot of talent here, so they should get better as the season progresses.
We’ve seen the Jets play much better at home, where they’ve defeated the Bills and lost to the Kansas City Chiefs by only three points.
New York finally got its running game going against the Denver Broncos, as stud second-year back Breece Hall put up 177 yards on the ground.
Having an efficient running game with Hall can help mask Zach Wilson‘s deficiencies.
At the same time, we must give some credit to Wilson, who has completed 47-of-65 passes (72.3%) in his last two games.
Look for New York to keep this one close.
Target these two-point spreads in our NFL bet of the day.
Longshot NFL Week 6 Parlay
Week 6 Long-Shot Parlay (+401)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.2 Units
- Bears ML (+124) vs Vikings
- Patriots ML (+124) at Raiders
The long-shot parlay starts with the Chicago Bears (1-4) to beat the Minnesota Vikings (1-4) in a clash of NFC North bottom-feeders.
These are two teams headed in opposite directions. Chicago has found its groove on offense, with quarterback Justin Fields combining for 617 yards with eight touchdowns and one interception in his last two games.
If the Bears didn’t allow the Broncos to score 24 unanswered points in Week 4, they could be on a two-game winning streak.
It’s clear that allowing Fields to air it out with top wideout DJ Moore is the way to go for Chicago.
According to RBSDM.com, Minnesota ranks 25th in EPA versus the pass, so expect Fields to stay hot in this one.
The Vikings will also be playing without superstar wideout Justin Jefferson. That’s a major loss that should hurt this passing game.
- See the full list of NFL Week 6 odds.
I’ll finish the longshot parlay with the New England Patriots (1-4) to beat the Las Vegas Raiders (2-3).
This is a buy-low spot on a New England team that has lost its last two games by a combined score of 72-3.
The Patriots had a tough time against two good defenses in the Dallas Cowboys and New Orleans Saints, but they should be able to move the ball against the Raiders, who rank 22nd in DVOA.
While New England is definitely not a playoff contender, it is not as bad as it has looked in the last two weeks.
Look for the defense to put forth a much better effort against Jimmy Garoppolo and company.
Target these two underdogs in our long-shot parlay.
NFL Week 6 Same-Game Parlay
Seahawks vs Jets Same Game Parlay (+305)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
- Kenneth Walker: Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
- Seahawks/Bengals: Under 45 (-108)
The Same Game Parlay starts with Kenneth Walker to go Over 66.5 rushing yards.
Not only is the Seattle Seahawks’ dynamic back averaging 16 rush attempts and 70.8 yards per game on the ground, but this is a strong matchup.
The Cincinnati Bengals rank 28th in Rush EPA this season, allowing big games to Derrick Henry (122 yards) and Nick Chubb (106 yards).
Look for Walker to eclipse this number comfortably.
I’ll finish this parlay with the Under since this positively correlates with Walker’s rushing yards prop.
If the Seahawks are having success on the ground, that would take more time off the clock, which bodes well for the Under.
Look for this to be a close game with a 23-20 type of score line.
