I racked up more profit in Week 13, winning 1.65 units, making it three positive results in a row. I’ll try to keep this hot streak going in Week 14.
Read on for my best bet, longshot, and same-game parlay for Week 14. Check out my X account, @FAmmiranteTFJ, to see my full betting card.
We’ll look to keep it rolling with my NFL Week 14 parlays.
Best NFL Week 14 Parlay
Frank Ammirante 2023 Betting Record: 201-247 (+11.41 units)
All NFL gameday odds are current as of Friday, Dec. 8, at 11 a.m. ET from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Week 14 Top Parlay (+253)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.4 Units
- Lions/Bears Under 43 (-115)
- Raiders +3 (-112) vs Vikings
The Week 14 top parlay starts off with Under 43 points between the Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears, since divisional games tend to be lower scoring in the second matchup of the season.
The Bears’ defense has looked much better since acquiring edge rusher Montez Sweat, holding opponents to 13 points or fewer in two of their last three games.
While the previous matchup vs Detroit was a 31-26 shootout, that was in an indoor environment, while this game could be affected by weather.
Forecasts call for rainy and windy conditions and Soldier Field in Chicago, which could result in a more run-heavy gameplan. This is a favorable spot for a low-scoring game, so we’ll roll with the Under here.
I’ll finish off the parlay with the Las Vegas Raiders +3 as home underdogs against a Minnesota Vikings team that is trending downward. Josh Dobbs has now turned the ball over six times in the last two games.
Vegas has been much more competitive under interim head coach Antonio Pierce, going 3-1 against the spread.
Look for a close game here with a reasonable chance for the Raiders to win outright.
Target these two plays in our NFL bet of the day.
Longshot NFL Week 14 Parlay
Week 14 Longshot Parlay (+1021)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.1 Units
- Seahawks ML (+455) at 49ers
- Bills ML (+102) at Chiefs
The longshot parlay features two underdogs. I already have straight wagers on these teams against the spread, so I’ll sprinkle on them to win outright in this parlay.
I’ll start off with the Seattle Seahawks (6-6), who looked much better on offense in a close loss to the Dallas Cowboys last week.
Geno Smith had his best game of the season, which directly coincides with the return of stud right tackle Abraham Lucas. It was the first game since Week 1 where the Seahawks had a fully healthy offensive line.
While it’s a tough spot against the best team in football in the San Francisco 49ers (9-3), this is a divisional game that could be closer than expected.
We could see San Francisco have a bit of a letdown following a statement win over the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles.
This is a desperate Seahawks team that needs to win to stay in contention within the NFC wild card race.
- See the full list of NFL Week 14 odds.
I’ll conclude this parlay by taking the Buffalo Bills (6-6) to upset the Kansas City Chiefs (8-4).
The Bills are coming off their bye and need to start winning games to avoid missing the playoffs. This offense has been more fast-paced and effective under new play-caller Joe Brady.
In fact, the Bills probably should have won that game against the Eagles back in Week 12.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs continue to struggle on offense, highlighting their deficiencies at wide receiver.
The defense has also regressed, fresh off getting picked apart by Jordan Love.
We’ve seen the Bills have success at Arrowhead during the regular season, winning there two years in a row, so let’s ride with Buffalo here.
NFL Week 14 Same-Game Parlay
Week 14 Longshot Parlay (+220)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units
- Cowboys ML (-180)
- Tony Pollard: Under 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
This week’s Same-Game Parlay focuses on a Sunday Night Football divisional tilt between the Eagles and Cowboys.
I prefer to take Dallas on the moneyline instead of on the spread at -3.5 to avoid losing my wager if the Cowboys only win by a field goal.
The Cowboys have four in a row and six of their last seven, with the one loss coming against these Eagles.
But that was a game that came down to the wire with Dallas having a chance to win on the road. Now, the Cowboys will be at home, where they’ve been completely dominant, winning 12 in a row with Dak Prescott under center.
On top of that, Jalen Hurts is banged up right now, which is bad news for Philly. Look for the Cowboys to avoid the sweep with a win here.
I’ll finish it off with Tony Pollard to stay Under 58.5 rushing yards, a number that he’s failed to eclipse in six of his last nine games.
This is a bad matchup vs the Eagles, who are allowing only 3.89 yards per carry, which ranks 11th in the NFL.
What’s great about adding this prop is that it has negative correlation with Cowboys moneyline, so we get better odds at (+220). If we took the Over here, this parlay would fall to (+150) odds.
But the thing is, the Cowboys are a pass-heavy team, so it’s not like it’s out of the realm of possibility to win while Pollard has a down game.
Target these two plays in our Week 14 Same-Game Parlay.
