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Jets vs Giants Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Oct 25, 2023

While we get to see the two teams that share New Jersey’s MetLife Stadium meet in the preseason every year, a regular-season matchup between the New York Jets and New York Giants is a rare treat, as it happens just once every four years.

This latest “Snoopy Bowl” comes at a critical moment for both the 3-3 Jets, who look to extend their winning streak in the series to three, and the 2-5 Giants, who look to salvage their season. The G-Men lead this intraconference rivalry by a count of eight wins to six, and the largest-ever margin of victory in the series was a 19-point win for the Jets back in 1981.

Hoping for another exciting installment of the rivalry, we give our best predictions and wagers.

Jets vs Giants Odds

NFL odds used for this New York Jets vs New York Giants preview were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Wednesday, Oct. 25, at 11:00 am ET.

  • Moneyline: Jets (-148) • Giants (+124)
  • Spread: Jets -3 (-110) • Giants +3 (-110)
  • Total Points: Over 36.5 (-110) • Under 36.5 (-110)
  • Implied Score: Jets 19.75, Giants 16.75

Jets vs Giants Predictions

Score Pick: Jets 16, Giants 9

Yes, this is a “road game” for the Jets, but it’s not a normal one. The Giants were able to sell tickets as if it were a home game, but rest assured that there will be plenty of green in the stands this Sunday.

Robert Saleh’s group has shown incredible poise and resilience in moving on from the loss of Aaron Rodgers, picking up some big wins along the way. The Jets have taken down contenders like the Bills and Eagles, and they were only a few snaps away from beating the defending-champion Chiefs in prime time.

Boasting one of the league’s best defenses, the Jets should have little trouble shutting down the league’s worst offense by DVOA. Year Two of the Brian Daboll project hasn’t gone as well as the first, as quarterback Daniel Jones has regressed to the point that he’s second to last in the league in EPA per play. However, his lingering neck injury has left Tyrod Taylor starting lately.

Jets signal-caller Zach Wilson is actually the one starter below Jones. But he has young, talented skill players around him in wideout Garrett Wilson and running back Breece Hall. They’ll look to attack a Giants defense that’s allowing almost 25 points per game.

It’ll be a gritty defensive duel, but expect the Jets to make enough key plays to move to 4-3 on the year.

Jets vs Giants Best Bets & Props

Jets -2.5 (-115)

BetMGM Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

This line is set at either 2.5 or 3, depending on your sportsbook of choice, so make sure to shop around and get under that key number in case the Jets win by a field goal. Since this game could be won on the margins, let’s take a look at how both sides have fared in the red zone.

These are actually the two worst teams in the NFL when it comes to converting offensive drives to touchdowns. But the Jets have the fourth-best red-zone defense, with only 36.84% of opponent trips ending in a touchdown. That number is 58.33% for the Giants, putting them 21st in the league.

The Jets should be able to finish more drives than the Giants do, which explains why this is my NFL bet of the day.

Giants Under 16.5 (+102)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

Even though Saquon Barkley is back, we should still be fading this Giants offense. With him averaging less than four yards per carry the past two games, the G-Men scored nine points against the Bills and 14 at home against the Commanders. Those defenses rank 12th and 26th by DVOA, respectively, and Buffalo’s has been worse than that recently due to some injuries.

The Jets own the seventh-best run-stopping unit by adjusted line yards, and they’re facing an offensive line that’s 31st in that statistic. Quinnen Williams and Bryce Huff should wreak havoc against a Giants front that ranks dead last in PFF’s pass- and run-blocking grades after playing six games without injured tackle Andrew Thomas.

Both Teams to Score 10+ Points: No (+225)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 unit

While we’ve already gone over the issues with the Giants’ offense, let’s talk about the other side of the ball. This bet backs up our stated positions at a great number. It could hit if we’re right and the Giants are completely stifled, or if we’re wrong and the Jets have a failure to launch.

The Jets’ passing game is so weak that it drags the entire offense down to 28th in EPA despite being above average in rushing. And while not the elite unit we’ve seen in some years, the Giants’ defense is 23rd in DVOA and a respectable 14th against the pass. If the Jets are made one-dimensional, it’s possible that the “other” defense is the one that has a dominant day.

Jets vs Giants Same Game Parlay

Jets vs Giants SGP (+260)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 unit

  • Jets Moneyline (-148)
  • Under 3.5 Total Touchdowns (-105)
  • Both Teams to Score 15+ Points: No (-170)

This parlay builds off of the principles we’ve discussed in the bets above, but with less risk on each individual leg. Taking the Jets on the moneyline is obviously safer than backing them on the spread, and bumping the threshold from 10+ points to 15+ on the third leg protects us against a field goal barrage from the lower-scoring team.

The under on 3.5 total touchdowns is also a great play given the horrid red-zone efficiency from both offenses.

Author

William Schwartz

As a former athlete and lifetime fan, sports have always been a huge part of my life. I've written about them for almost as long as I've been watching and playing them, from a blog I wrote with a friend in middle school, to journalism classes at the University of Michigan, to today. I hope to bring you entertaining coverage, strong analysis, and profitable betting picks on any and all sports, whether it's MLB baseball, college football, European soccer, or anything in between.

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