Chargers vs Packers Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Nov 17, 2023

The AFC West meets the NFC North when the Los Angeles Chargers travel to Wisconsin for a matchup with the Green Bay Packers.

Los Angeles is fighting to keep its dwindling playoff hopes alive and desperately needs a victory. Meanwhile, Green Bay is struggling to score points and, as a result, has dropped four of its previous five contests.

Please join me as I take a closer look at this contest and share my NFL Week 11 best bets for Sunday’s Chargers vs Packers matchup.

Chargers vs Packers Odds

NFL odds used for this Los Angeles vs Green Bay preview were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Wednesday, Nov. 15, at 4:50 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Chargers (-162) • Packers (+136)
  • Spread: Chargers -3 (-110) • Packers +3 (-110)
  • Total Points: Over 44 (-110) • Under 44 (-110)
  • Implied Score: Chargers 25, Packers 19

Chargers vs Packers Predictions

Score Pick: Chargers 28, Packers 14

This isn’t a perfect score bet for this game, but despite the numerous injuries to the Chargers’ offense, they have enough weapons to get past Green Bay. Los Angeles has posted 27 or more points in its previous three matchups, while Green Bay has scored 19 or fewer in four of its last five.

The Packers’ defense allows a paltry 187.6 passing yards per game, but their rushing defense is one of the worst in the NFL. Chargers running back Austin Ekeler should run the show for Los Angeles, while quarterback Justin Herbert has just enough weapons to finish off Green Bay.

Green Bay has been good enough on defense to win a few contests. The problem with the Packers is they average 19.9 points per game, and quarterback Jordan Love has nearly as many TD passes (14) as interceptions (10).

Los Angeles has scored 20 or more just once over its past five matchups, and its defense isn’t going to be able to make up the difference.

Chargers vs Packers Best Bets & Props

Chargers -3 (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

The Chargers are 2-2-0 ATS on the road this season. The Packers are 2-2-0 ATS at home. That doesn’t give us much confidence either way.

I’m laying the points as Los Angeles opened -3.5 and have been bet down since Chargers wideout Keenan Allen is on the injury report. That put the number on the key number three, and since I don’t have much confidence in Green Bay winning or even covering the spread, we’ll take our chance for our NFL bet of the day on Herbert and the Chargers covering.

Austin Ekeler Over 34.5 receiving yards (-110)

bet365 Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

This is a good number for this receiving prop. Ekeler has become a trusted receiver and, with all of the injuries, a heavily relied upon one, as well.

Ekeler has been targeted 23 times over the previous three games and has exceeded this prop in four of his six games. We know Green Bay has a stout passing defense, but the targets for Ekeler will be plentiful, and now we hope he delivers for us.

Packers Under 20.5 (-110)

Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Replacing a legend is difficult, as Love is well aware. Green Bay has scored 20-plus four times this season but only once over its previous five matchups. L.A. can be beaten defensively through the air, but Love and the offense just can’t get it together.

Love threw two interceptions last week at Pittsburgh and has thrown seven over his past five. The offense stalls due to this, so I am taking the Under on Green Bay’s team total.

Chargers vs Packers Same Game Parlay

Chargers vs Packers SGP (+390)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.1 Units

  • Chargers -3 (-110)
  • Ekeler Over 34.5 receiving yards (-115)
  • Packers Under 19.5 (+110)

This SGP correlates nicely with our main bets for this game. We went to DraftKings as the SGP there, unlike other shops, was much better.

The Chargers will cover since they are the better team with more dependable weapons. Ekeler catching the ball out of the backfield will be the catalyst.

The Packers offense is hard to trust, and I would have played Under 19.5 on the Packers team total if offered since I don’t see Green Bay scoring more than two TDs on Sunday.

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