Dak Prescott and Daniel Jones will square off for the first time in 2021 this Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET when the Dallas Cowboys host the New York Giants.
One of the NFL’s timeless rivalries, Giants vs Cowboys games are not only packed with history, but they are also full of prop-betting action.
Now, let’s take a look at the top Giants vs Cowboys prop bets that are projected to be the most profitable in The Game Day’s NFL prop predictions and picks series.
Please note that all odds and lines are current as of Friday, October 8 at Caesars Sportsbook.
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Giants vs Cowboys Prop Bets: NFL Week 5 Prop Betting Picks
Ezekiel Elliott Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-160) at Caesars Sportsbook
Ezekiel Elliott has played in eight career games against the Giants. He’s scored a touchdown in five of them, with six total scores against his NFC East rivals. In fact, Elliott found the end zone in four of his past five games facing the Giants, including at least one touchdown in each of his past two games.
Through four games this season, Elliott looks like his old self. Although he was shut down in the season opener against the Buccaneers — a team most backs struggle against — Elliott is averaging 103 rushing yards over his last three games, scoring four times in that period.
Elliott will look to make it four consecutive games with a touchdown on Sunday against the Giants.
New York’s defense has only surrendered two scores to running backs this season, which happened in each of the first two games of the year.
However, in Week 4, the Giants did let Taysom Hill score twice, a quarterback normally utilized for his rushing ability. Both of Hill’s Week 4 scores came on eight-yard carries in the red zone. Alvin Kamara was not even in the game on those plays.
Under normal circumstances, you can make the case that those scoring opportunities will go to the back, especially a back of Elliott’s stature.
Zeke will score this week. If you want to get savvy, you can get (+310) odds if Elliott scores twice.
Tony Pollard Over 55.5 Total Yards (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
While Ezekiel Elliott very much remains the RB1 in Dallas, there are enough opportunities to go around for Tony Pollard to be more involved in the offense, which we’ve seen through the first quarter of the 2021 NFL season.
Pollard only went for 43 total yards on seven touches in the season opener against the Bucs. However, he has now recorded three consecutive games with 10+ touches and 65+ total yards.
New York’s defense is surrendering the 12th-most rushing yards to enemy backs (417) along with the 13th-most receiving yards (165) to the position. While the Giants’ defense was already a questionable unit defending the run, losing tackle-machine LB Blake Martinez for the year in Week 3’s loss to the Falcons created a massive hole.
Look for both Pollard and Elliott to rack up the yards on Sunday. Pollard has hit his 55.5 total yard mark in three consecutive games.
- Read our full Giants vs Cowboys predictions and best bets
Dalton Schultz Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+160) or Blake Jarwin (+340) at Caesars Sportsbook
The Giants are one of the worst teams at keeping enemy tight ends out of the end zone this season. Not only have they allowed a league-high four touchdowns to the position, but they’ve also let a tight end score a touchdown on them in each of their first four games.
On the other hand, Dallas’ tight ends have scored the second-most touchdowns in 2021 (4), tied with the Buccaneers and Bills. Three of Dallas’ tight end scores have come at the hands of Dalton Schultz — one of the league’s breakout stars at the position — while the other belongs to Blake Jarwin.
Although Schultz is the latest and greatest, let’s not overlook the fact that Jarwin owns the Giants. In four career games against them, Jarwin has 11 receptions for 200 yards and five touchdowns.
While I am not sure that both Schultz and Jarwin will both score, both Cowboys’ tight ends are getting plus odds. It might be wise to lay money on both Schultz (+160) and Jarwin (+340).
If you want to be savvy, go heavier on Jarwin. He has the greater odds (+340) as well as a history of dropping touchdowns on the Giants.
Daniel Jones Over 25.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
Daniel Jones has been one of the hottest quarterbacks in football. While he has only recorded one win this season, he is racking up production, especially on the ground. Jones has rushed for 26+ yards in all four games.
While he only attempted four rushes last week, he had 6+ attempts in each of the first three games of 2021. When Jones is threatening the enemy defense with his legs, the New York offense operates with greater efficiency.
Look for Jones to continue running in Week 5 against the Cowboys, whose defense has allowed a quarterback to rush for 35 yards on them in two straight games. The Cowboys were able to contain Tom Brady and Justin Herbert on the ground in the first two games of the year, but both Jalen Hurts and Sam Darnold scampered for 35 apiece in Weeks 3 and 4, respectively.
Giants vs Cowboys Week 5 Prop Bets
Cowboys Winning Margin 7-12 Points (+350) at Caesars Sportsbook
Dak Prescott has won seven starts in a row against the Giants. In five of those games, the Cowboys have won by 7+ points.
You can make the case that if Prescott played a full game in his last start against them back in October of 2020 — that was the game in which he suffered his season-ending ankle injury — the Cowboys would have blown that one open too.
Three of those 7+ point Cowboys’ victories occurred in Dallas, where the upcoming Week 5 matchup is being played.
Double Result DAL/DAL (-165) at Caesars Sportsbook
While the Giants will try to put up a fight, the Cowboys should and will likely dominate this football game at home.
The Cowboys are on a three-game winning streak. They won a hard-fought battle against the Chargers in Week 2 to kick off the streak, but have been dominant in each of the past two games against the Eagles and Panthers.
While the Eagles are on the Giants’ level of inferiority, the Panthers were undefeated at the time of their dismantling at the hands of the Cowboys, showing that Dallas is equipped to handle their business — especially in games that they should control on paper.
Look for the Cowboys to enter halftime with the lead and never look back.