Week 7 of the CFB season is finally here. Just like the fall leaves that are dropping, Kevin Davis, Professor of Props, is dropping props in his CFB Week 7 props article.
From first-half bets to alt spreads, there are many great props to choose from.
Check out his five favorite CFB props for this weekend below.
Note: College football odds are current as of Thursday, Oct. 13, and are courtesy of the sportsbooks listed.
Central Michigan vs Akron Prop
Akron First Half +7.5 (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
Both Central Michigan and Akron have 1-5 records, with their only wins coming against FCS programs. Between both teams, it’s hard to figure out who is worse, but at home, Akron is a +13.5 underdog.
This is where there is a prop betting opportunity in the first half with backing the Zips to cover a +7.5 spread.
If you have been reading my column all season, then you would know that I am a broken record. For first- and second-half spreads, seven is the most frequent margin of victory. For the first halves specifically, 11% of them are decided by exactly seven points.
If an underdog is at +7.5 for the first half or a favorite is at -6.5, this is important to look at.
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Akron is certainly a worse team than CMU, but not enough to merit such a lopsided spread. Recently, they have played better in conference play as their offense starts to gel.
I like Akron to cover in the first half, as long as their spread stays at +7.5 or better.
Kansas vs Oklahoma Props
Kansas Team Total Over 26.5 Points (-120) at Betway
WAGER: 1.5 Units
Kansas quarterback Jalon Daniels is doubtful for this weekend’s game at Oklahoma, but I like Kansas anyway. The Jayhawks have exceeded expectations this season, and I believe that they will continue to do so mainly because of their offense.
That is why I like Kansas to score at least 27 points against Oklahoma.
Daniels’ replacement, Jason Bean, was thrown into the fire last weekend against a tough TCU team. In relief of Daniels, Beam threw for 262 passing yards, four passing touchdowns, and only one interception.
Bean shouldn’t have trouble against a Sooners defense that has recently been torn to shreds. Oklahoma allowed 55 points to TCU and 41 points against Kansas State.
With a full week to prepare for starting against Oklahoma, Bean and Kansas should score at least 30 points this weekend, and I would bet the team total Over up to 28 points.
Miami (Ohio) vs Bowling Green Prop
Miami (Ohio) -13.5 (+190) at BetRivers
WAGER: 2 Units
Last week in this column, I was all over Buffalo’s alt line against Bowling Green. This weekend, I am tapping the anti-Bowling Green well again by betting on Miami (Ohio) to cover a -13.5 (+190) alt line against Bowling Green.
Offensively, BGSU is one-dimensional in its reliance on the pass. They are 22nd in the FBS in passing play percentage as they pass on 57.1% of offensive plays. Unfortunately for the Falcons, they should have trouble flying against a tough Miami defense.
In their last game against the most aggressive MAC passing attack in Kent State, Miami (Ohio) limited the opposing quarterback to only a 57.5% completion percentage. Against Buffalo two weeks ago, the opposing QB threw for only 188 passing yards and one passing touchdown.
Miami (Ohio) isn’t that aggressive offensively, but they could cover their -13.5 alt-line with a strong defensive performance.
Connecticut vs Ball State Prop
Either Team by 7 or Less +195 at PointsBet Sportsbook
WAGER: 1.5 Units
In what is expected to be a low-scoring game between UConn and Ball State, I like the winner to win by seven points or less. If you look at both teams’ recent games against equally-matched opponents, it is easy to see why this game should be close despite Ball State being favored by 9.5 points.
The Cardinals beat Central Michigan by only one point last week. The week before, Ball State defeated Northern Illinois in overtime by six points.
UConn, who is the underdog, is starting to be less of an FBS doormat than they have been before this year. They beat Fresno State, 19-14, with the latter being 22.5-point favorites. They also beat FIU on the road last weekend, 33-12.
In a game with a point total of 47.5, UConn should keep the game close. That is why I like either team to win by a touchdown or less.
Maryland vs Indiana Prop
Maryland 1st Half Spread -6.5 (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Maryland has quietly been one of the most improved FBS teams this season. They have impressive wins against SMU and Michigan State, as well as narrow losses against Michigan and Purdue.
For this Saturday, Caesars has them as a -6.5 (-115) first-half favorite when most books have them at the key number of -7.
Last year, Indiana didn’t win a single Big Ten game, and this season, they haven’t fared much better. They beat Illinois, 23-20, in a game that they should have lost, but also lost to Nebraska and Michigan.
Recently, the Hoosiers have struggled to defend the pass, which presents an opportunity for Maryland QB Taulia Tagovailoa. The Terps should cover in the first half, and I would bet their spread up to -7 (+100).
