Week 11 of the college football season was one of the most frustrating Saturdays we’ve seen since beginning this weekly CFB Parlays column. All three of last week’s cards were busted by one leg, which was tough to take.
With a few weeks remaining in the college football season, I have three cards for you to consider for Week 12. They offer fantastic value – and maybe the gambling gods will smile down on us.
This slate features rivalries, schools chasing conference championships, and several pursuits of a sixth win to become bowl eligible, which should boost the excitement for CFB Week 12 best bets.
Best CFB Parlay This Week
We lost our Best CFB Parlay for Week 11 when I was foolish enough to believe Rutgers could score against Iowa. That wasn’t a wise play for a card of this nature or even a good bet at all. We’re still profiting from this section, and there’s optimism that we can return to our winning ways.
We’re going back to the Big Ten for Week 12, targeting three matchups at odds that currently pay out $584 on a $100 bet.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Best Parlay Record: 6-6 (+$470.48)
CFB Week 12 Parlay (+584)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
- Ohio State -27.5 (-112)
- Michigan -19 (-110)
- Purdue @ Northwestern Over 46.5 (-110)
The Ohio State offense is starting to hum with Heisman Trophy contender Marvin Harrison Jr. getting fed the ball. Look for the Buckeyes to hang a big number on the Golden Gophers in their final home game of the season.
“Michigan vs. Everybody” means that Maryland is going to get punished on Saturday afternoon. The Wolverines have covered the spread in six of their previous seven meetings with the Terps, and the extra motivation provided by the sign-stealing scandal has turned a good Michigan team into a beast.
Finally, Purdue is beginning to put points on the board, but the team has surrendered 30+ points in each of its previous four matchups. Northwestern has a sneaky-good offense and can mitigate a horrible season with a big offensive output on Senior Day.
CFB Week 12 Long Shot Parlay Bet
We missed our CFB Week 11 Long Shot Parlay Bet and lost the $25 stake when Minnesota took one on the chin. That cost us a +868 beauty because both underdogs hit.
I’ve assembled four wagers I plan to make individually for our CFB Week 12 Long Shot Parlay Bet. I like them so much, and once I saw them put together in the betting slip, I knew I had to take a shot on this one.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Long Shot Parlay 2023 Record: 2-10 (+$70.28)
CFB Week 12 Long Shot Parlay (+874)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
- Coastal Carolina -4 (-112)
- UNLV +3 (-110)
- Iowa ML (-142)
- West Virginia -6.5 (-112)
UNLV is 9-1 ATS and boasts one of the best scoring offenses in the college game. The Running Rebels face an Air Force team that has a 2-2-0 ATS record at home.
Iowa has proven they’re no fluke. They are 5-1 straight up at home, and Illinois will have difficulty scoring against the stingy Hawkeyes defense.
Coastal Carolina is 8-2 ATS this season, and on the other side is an Army squad with a 3-6-1 ATS record (1-4-0 ATS at West Point). The Chanticleers can score points and allow 150 rushing yards per game.
West Virginia is 4-1-0 ATS at home and faces a Cincinnati team that hasn’t found life easy in the Big 12. The Bearcats are 2-2-0 ATS as the away team, but I expect the Mountaineers to step up defensively at home.
CFB Week 12 Same-Game Parlay Pick
We missed our CFB Week 11 Same-Game Parlay Pick because I underestimated Miami and Florida State failed to cover the spread. We still have a small profit in this section, and here’s hoping Saturday night’s Washington vs. Oregon State matchup will give us a nice finish to the day.
Phil Naessens TGD CFB Same-Game Parlay Pick 2023 Record: 2-10 (+$35.90)
CFB Week 12 SGP Washington vs. Oregon State (+340)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.1 Units
- Over 63 (-108)
- Washington +2.5 (-110)
- Michael Penix Jr Over 2.5 TD passes (+130)
It’s the big offense of Washington meeting the robust defense of Oregon State. Outscoring teams is what the Huskies do, but the improved Beavers have scored at least 24 points in each of their past five games. This could become a shootout and should shatter the Over 63.5.
Washington is 2-2-0 ATS as the visiting side, while Oregon State owns a 4-1-0 ATS record at home. The Huskies’ offense is too good, and Heisman Trophy contender Michael Penix Jr. has thrown three or more scoring strikes in six contests this season.
