It might not have the same luster as Burrow vs Tua in 2019, but plenty will be on the line when the Alabama Crimson Tide travel on the road to Death Valley to take on the LSU Tigers.
Alabama is ranked sixth in the first College Football Playoff rankings after a loss to Tennessee a couple of weeks ago, but they bounced back with a 30-6 win over Mississippi State last week.
LSU opened the season with a loss to Florida State but appears to have turned a corner by winning six of their last seven. The only loss coming on the road to No. 2 Tennessee, as well.
The LSU Tigers were a surprise appearance in the top 10 of the first College Football Playoff rankings, setting up another top-10 matchup between these longtime conference foes.
This matchup will likely decide who represents the SEC West in the SEC Championship this season.
Continue reading for Alabama vs LSU predictions, tips, and best bets.
Alabama vs LSU Odds
Even going on the road to Baton Rouge, Alabama is nearly a two-touchdown favorite with the line set at -13.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Wednesday, Nov. 2, at noon ET.
The total is on the lower side, especially for a game with Alabama in it, and is set at 58.
Alabama vs LSU Implied Totals
Alabama 35.75, LSU 22.25
This implied score at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Wednesday, Nov. 2, at noon ET.
Oddsmakers are expecting the Crimson Tide to walk into Tiger Stadium and easily handle the LSU.
The lower total is surprising for two high-powered offenses that have had their fair share of issues on the defensive side of the ball.
Alabama vs LSU Pick of the Day
Read more about this Alabama vs LSU bet below.
Alabama vs LSU Prediction
Alabama 35, LSU 31
Alabama is the king of the SEC West. They’ve represented the division in six of the last eight SEC Championships, and have won all six of those appearances.
And there is no reason to see that stopping this season.
LSU has played well in the first year under Brian Kelly, but they just don’t have the firepower on offense to keep pace with Alabama.
LSU has managed to score 45 points in back-to-back weeks, but they rely heavily on Jayden Daniels to spark any offensive momentum.
The junior who transferred in from Arizona State has taken a huge step forward, completing 70% of his passes for 1,812 yards and 12 touchdowns. He’s also LSU’s leading rusher with 524 yards and nine rushing touchdowns.
On the other side of the field is reigning Heisman Trophy winner Bryce Young. Young has struggled with injuries this season and a repeat is nearly impossible, but he is still extremely capable at the position.
Alabama may not have the flash of previous years at skill positions, but they’re still one of the best offenses in the SEC - ranking fifth in total offense and second in scoring offense.
The difference maker in this game is the Alabama defense.
After allowing 52 points - the most the program has allowed since 1907 - to Tennessee; the Crimson Tide held Mississippi State to just six points and 293 yards.
If the elite version of Alabama’s defense shows up, it’s going to be a struggle for LSU to get anything going. But, the elite version has seldomly shown up this season, and when the Tide’s defense isn’t locked in, it has been a disaster.
Alabama vs LSU Bet Tips
Consider these Alabama vs LSU betting trends before placing your bets:
- Alabama is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games against LSU.
- Alabama is 4-2 ATS in its last six games.
- LSU is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games.
- The total has gone Under in four of LSU’s last six games.
- The total has gone Under in 8 of LSU’s last 12 games against Alabama.
Alabama vs LSU Best Bets
Total Points Over 57.5 (-110)
Even if Alabama’s defense plays better - granted, it’d be hard to play worse - than it did against Tennessee, LSU is still able to score points and hang around in this game.
Alabama is a high-powered offense and should have no problems scoring points of their own.
This is a back-and-forth game with ample points to take this total Over.
LSU +13.5 (-115)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Although I believe that Alabama gets the win in this game, this is too many points for LSU at home in the biggest game on the schedule.
Kelly has had this game circled since leaving Notre Dame for LSU, and the Tigers have played well in the last two weeks.
They have momentum, they’re plenty motivated, and they have the talent. This is a close game until the end and LSU keeps it within double-digits to cover the spread.
Alabama vs LSU Props
LSU Team Total Over 22.5 Points (-110)
WAGER: 1 Unit
LSU has really figured it out on the offensive side of the ball in the last two weeks.
With a dynamic quarterback leading the charge, Alabama struggles to keep the Tigers’ offense in check, just as they did against Hendon Hooker and Tennessee.
Alabama vs LSU Same Game Parlay
Alabama vs LSU Parlay (+200)
WAGER: 1 Unit
- LSU +14.5
- Total Points Over 55.5
If you believe that LSU is going to be able to score against the Alabama defense, this is a great Same Game Parlay for you.
You get LSU +14.5, which gives you some breathing room and moves the spread beyond two touchdowns. It also drops the total down a couple of points to below 56 points, which is another key football number.