Saint Mary’s is back in the NCAA tournament after failing to qualify last season. They finished second in the West Coast Conference behind tourney favorite Gonzaga.
Saint Mary’s is one of the few teams to beat Gonzaga this year. This team is led by 6-foot-10 forward Matthias Tass, who averages 12.6 points per game.
The Gaels will take on Indiana, who won their play-in game against Wyoming. The Hoosiers went to the semifinals in the Big Ten Tournament and have former NBA coach Mike Woodson at the helm. They also have a star in forward Trayce Jackson-Davis, who logged 29 points against Wyoming.
This is bound to be an interesting matchup for sure. The classic 12-5 matchup always seems to bring upsets, and we project this to be a close game that could to down to the wire.
Saint Mary’s vs Indiana Odds
Saint Mary’s vs Indiana odds are provided by BetRivers and current as of Wednesday, March 16th at 11:00 AM.
- Moneyline: Saint Mary’s (-152), Indiana (+128)
- ATS: Saint Mary’s -3 (-112), Indiana (-109)
- Over/Under: Over 126 (-112) / Under 126 (-108)
- Implied Score: Saint Mary’s 64.5, Indiana 61.5
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Saint Mary’s vs Indiana Prediction
Saint Mary’s ranked 16th in KenPom, finishing 63rd on offense and ninth on defense. Indiana placed 36th in KenPom thanks to a stout defense that ranked 21st.
The Hoosiers could cause some problems for the Gaels. Jackson-Davis is playing terrific basketball of late, averaging over 25 points during their conference tourney run.
Whenever you’re looking at a potential upset, you want a team with a player who can single-handedly change the outcome of a game. Jackson-Davis fits the bill with how well he’s playing right now.
Saint Mary’s vs Indiana Score Pick
Saint Mary’s 62, Indiana 61
I have a feeling that this game is going to be headed for an exciting finish, coming down to the final possession.
- Print your 2022 March Madness bracket.
However, Saint Mary’s gets the nod in my book. Perhaps we’ll even see a buzzer-beater here?
Saint Mary’s vs Indiana Best Bets
Indiana +3 (-109) Point Spread at BetRivers
Wager: 1 Unit
While I think Saint Mary’s will win the game, I’m much more comfortable with taking the points on Indiana in this one. This is a battle-tested team with their best scorer playing at a high level right now.
It wouldn’t surprise me to see the Hoosiers win outright, but let’s take the points.
UNDER 126 Total Points (-108) at BetRivers
Wager: 1 Unit
Indiana really struggled from beyond the arc against Wyoming, shooting 2-for-13 (15%). They also missed their free throws, going 12-for-20 (60%) from the charity stripe.
This reflects their season totals from three-point range (33.5%) and free throws (69.6%). We’ll bet on those struggles continuing, leading to an Under.