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Bucks vs Heat Prop Bets

Last Updated: Apr 26, 2023

Miami’s heroic comeback in Game 4 leaves Milwaukee on the brink of elimination heading into Wednesday night’s matchup.

Jimmy Butler’s record-breaking Game 4 means the Heat need just one win in three games to advance to the second round.

Will the East’s No. 8 seed pull off the biggest upset of the playoffs? Or will Giannis Antetokoumpo and the Bucks get back to their brand of basketball?

Let’s dive into the best Bucks vs Heat props for Game 5.

Bucks vs Heat Game 5 Player Prop Odds

Use our NBA odds to locate the best ways to bet on playoff prop bets:

Bucks vs Heat Game 5 Player Props

Jimmy Butler: Under 29.5 Points (-120) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Butler’s excellence in this series should not be disregarded. The 33-year-old wing has scored 146 points after four games, 79 more than the next highest, Bam Adebayo (67).

With Milwaukee’s season essentially on the line, you can expect a concerted effort to try and slow down public enemy number one. The reinsertion of Antetokounmpo, a former Defensive Player of the Year, gives head coach Mike Budenholzer another option for Butler’s primary defender.

I expect the Bucks to throw everything at him and hold him Under 29.5 points, making this my NBA bet of the day.

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Over 0.5 Threes (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

The Greek Freak is widely known as one of the most dominant inside players in the game. The series took a turn the minute the two-time MVP went down in Game 1.

With the once title-favorites considered underdogs to advance to the second round, you can expect the team’s best player to leave it all on the floor going forward.

In Antetokounmpo’s last two elimination games, he’s taken a combined 10 threes shooting at a 30% clip. With every team sagging off the superstar forward, you can expect several open looks throughout the game.

Bucks vs Heat Game 5 Team Props

Heat: Over 103.5 Points (-120) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Oddsmakers having Miami at such a low point total should come as a surprise based on what we’ve seen in this series.

The Heat currently own the highest offensive rating (120.9) of all 16 playoff teams this postseason. Milwaukee’s home-court advantage was not enough to affect the red-hot squad in Games 1 and 2, as they shot a combined 56.6% from the field.

Bucks: Win by 3-6 Points (+475) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Milwaukee’s win margin is something to consider.

Game 5’s 13-point comeback by Miami is telling of the fight this team exerts. Having the Heat as 11-point underdogs seems outrageous given how well Erik Spoelstra’s squad has played all series.

While I am giving the Bucks the slight edge in this matchup, Miami has appeared unstoppable scoring the ball and could take things down to the wire.

The 3- to 6-point margin is a happy medium for the 11-point spread on this game.


Bucks vs Heat Game 4 Props Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks will look to even up their first-round series after dropping Game 3 in Miami. Jimmy Butler led his squad to an inspiring victory on Saturday evening, tallying up his second 30-point effort in the process.

With Giannis Antetokounmpo’s availability still up in the air, it will be up to All-Star teammates Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton, plus Brook Lopez, to pick up the slack offensively.

With everything laid out, let’s dive into Bucks vs Heat props for Game 4.

Bucks vs Heat Game 4 Player Prop Odds

Use our NBA odds to locate the best ways to bet on playoff prop bets:

Bucks vs Heat Game 4 Player Props

Jrue Holiday: Over 4.5 First-Quarter Points (-165) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 3 Units

Whether Antetokounmpo gives Game 4 a shot or not, I am expecting Holiday to come out with a sense of urgency in Game 4.

The Bucks will look to avoid heading back home down 3-1, and the aggressiveness that Holiday brings from the opening tip will be a big help in doing so.

Holiday averaged 4.9 points in the first quarter during the regular season, and is up to 6.3 points during this first-round series, making this my NBA bet of the day.

Jimmy Butler: Over 40.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

“Playoff Jimmy” has lived up to the nickname three games into this series. Although Miami’s star is listed as questionable for Game 4, head coach Erik Spoelstra already confirmed the 33-year-old swingman plans to give it a go.

Butler has been dominant all series, averaging 30 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 6.0 assists per game. He also has the highest player efficiency rating (32.4) of anyone playing over 30 minutes per game in the playoffs this season.

Spoelstra will need everything and more from Butler with both Tyler Herro and Victor Oladipo set to miss extended time.

Bucks vs Heat Game 4 Team Props

Heat: Over 105.5 Points (-125) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Milwaukee’s defense has taken a steep, unexpected, dropoff so far in this series. The Bucks finished the regular season ranked fourth in defensive efficiency, but after three games against Miami, they currently hold the worst defensive rating of all playoff teams.

While I do not expect Miami’s hot shooting to continue forever, I do believe that this 105.5-point total is far too low for what we have seen through three games.

Bucks: Win By 3-6 Points (+370) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Judging by how underwhelming Mike Budenholzer’s squad came out in Game 3, predicting a close victory with Antetokounmpo still questionable may seem outlandish. However, the NBA’s top-seeded team is far better than what they have shown thus far in this series.

The 2021 Champions will feel a sense of urgency with the possibility of going down 3-1 being very real. Whether the Greek Freak is able to give things a go or not will likely have a large influence on how big the margin may actually be.

However, with Miami’s recent dominance, I am giving the Bucks a slight edge no matter who takes the floor on Monday evening.


Bucks vs Heat Game 3 Props Preview

Miami could not follow up its valiant Game 1 performance on Wednesday night. With the series headed to Miami for a pivotal Game 3, it will be interesting to see what adjustments both squads make after each allowing hot shooting nights.

Milwaukee could again be without its two-time MVP, Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is still battling the lower back injury sustained in Game 1.

While his availability is still up in the air, if Jrue Holiday and the rest of the squad carry over the hot shooting from Game 2, the Bucks will have no problem taking back home-court advantage on Saturday.

Now that the stage is set, let’s get into the Bucks vs Heat best props for Game 3 of the first round.

Bucks vs Heat Game 3 Player Prop Odds

Use our NBA odds to locate the best ways to bet on playoff prop bets:

Bucks vs Heat Game 3 Player Props

Gabe Vincent: Over 11.5 Points (-120) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Oddsmakers continue to sleep on Gabe Vincent and the matchup issues he has caused Milwaukee all year, making this, once again, my NBA pick of the day.

After a 16-point outing on Wednesday, Vincent is now averaging 15.5 PPG in this series, and 15.8 in six games this season.

The 26-year-old guard has also been a slightly better shooter at home this year, with a 1.4% boost in field-goal percentage when playing at the Kaseya Center in South Florida. Until Milwaukee proves it can stop him, there is no reason to deviate away from something as consistent as this.

Grayson Allen Under 2.5 Three Pointers (-185) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Grayson Allen, a 39.9% three-point shooter for the year, struggled to shoot the ball on the road during the regular season. Allen’s three-point percentage went from 44.1% at home to 35.1% in away games.

In his last playoff series against the Boston Celtics, Allen averaged just 30% from beyond the arc on the road. Many shooters struggle to carry over the boost they get from the home crowd when they head into a hostile environment.

Allen could of course get hot, but the numbers from the last two seasons suggest otherwise.

Bucks vs Heat Game 3 Team Props

Over 108.5 First-Half Points (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1.5 Units

Neither team has played any defense in the first half of either game this series. After a 123-point showing in Game 1 and 136 in Game 2, the teams are averaging 129.5 first-half points two games in.

If the hot shooting carries over to South Florida, this should cash easily.

Bucks Win by 6+ Points (-105) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

For the best value of the day, I’m rolling with the 6+ winning margin for the Bucks. It is hard to believe that the dominance shown in Game 2 won’t carry over, especially should Antetokounmpo play.

Miami has shot the ball drastically over its averages for the season, and it’s only a matter of time before they come back to Earth.

After Wednesday’s big win, it is evident that Milwaukee has this Heat defense figured out. If they can find a way to bring the defensive intensity that had them within the top five in defensive rating during the regular season, they should blow this one out of the water.


Bucks vs Heat Game 2 Props Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks are set to host the Miami Heat for a Game 2 showdown on Wednesday evening.

Miami defied the odds when it upset Khris Middleton and the Bucks on their home floor over the weekend. Jimmy Butler did it all for the Heat, racking up 35 points and 11 assists in the winning effort.

Both squads are expected to miss significant pieces, with Tyler Herro ruled out for Miami after breaking multiple fingers in his shooting hand, while Milwaukee could be without two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is doubtful for Wednesday’s game as he deals with a lower back contusion.

With the stage set for Wednesday’s matchup, let’s take a look at some of the best value props for Game 2 of Bucks vs Heat.

Bucks vs Heat Game 2 Player Prop Odds

Use our NBA odds to locate the best ways to bet on playoff prop bets:

Bucks vs Heat Game 2 Player Props

Gabe Vincent Over 9.5 Points (-125) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Vincent should have no problem surpassing the 9.5-point total set for Game 2.

The sharp-shooting guard finished Sunday’s contest with 15 points on 83.3% shooting, and he’s averaged 10.8 per game as a starter this season — including 16.0 in four regular-season meetings with Milwaukee.

If Vincent simply reaches his averages, this NBA pick of the day will cash with ease.

Khris Middleton Over 23.5 Points (-105) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Middleton put forth one of his best performances of the season in Sunday’s loss, registering 33 points on 60% shooting from the field.

You can expect the three-time All-Star to take on a more significant offensive load with Antetokounmpo unlikely to play Wednesday night.

While Middleton only averaged 15.6 points as a starter this season, the 10-year vet has proven to be an elite scoring option when healthy, logging at least 20 points per game in four of his last six years in Milwaukee.

Bucks vs Heat Game 2 Team Props

Bucks Under 113.5 Points (-120) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

Miami’s defense proved to cause problems against the high-powered Bucks offense. This became even more evident after Mike Budenholzer‘s side lost Antetokounmpo early in the first half.

While the Bucks could certainly get hot from beyond the arc — they shot nearly 37% from deep during the regular season — the lack of Antetokounmpo’s inside presence will surely play a role in Miami staying home on shooters.

Heat +3.5 First Half (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Milwaukee was dominated in the first half of Game 1 to the tune of a 13-point deficit. With the Bucks being such a high-volume three-point shooting team, cold starts to games have allowed opponents to quickly build a lead within the first 24 minutes.

Budenholzer’s squad averaged 58.5 points in the first half this season and 56.2 in games Antetokounmpo missed. The Heat should be able to keep things close and possibly win the half outright if they manage to jump out to another hot start.


Bucks vs Heat Game 1 Props Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat will meet in the NBA Playoffs for the third time in four years when the two take the court on Sunday.

The Bucks finished the regular season atop the NBA standings with a 58-24 record. The Heat secured the eighth seed behind a 31-point effort by Max Strus in the final play-in game.

The two met four times this season, splitting the series 2-2. MVP candidate Giannis Antetokounmpo sat out in both Bucks’ losses.

Bucks vs Heat Game 1 Player Prop Odds

In addition to our prop tips below, use our NBA odds to find the best playoff prop bets:

Bucks vs Heat Game 1 Player Props

Bam Adebayo: Under 17.5 Points (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

It’s no secret that Adebayo has struggled offensively as of late. In fact, since the All-Star break, Adebayo is under his average in every major statistical category.

Asking him to score Over 17.5 points seems oddly high, especially considering his opponent. The two-time All-Star will battle against a frontcourt primarily made up of former Defensive Player of the Year Antetokounmpo, DPOY candidate Brook Lopez, and Sixth Man of the Year candidate Bobby Portis.

It’s also important to note that Adebayo has failed to reach 17 points in a contest in the last four games he’s played in.

Bobby Portis: Over 6.5 Rebounds (-130) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

The Bucks have received a steady contribution off the bench all season from Portis. He is one of the three finalists for the Sixth Man of the Year award and with good reason.

Apart from the scoring punch and stout defense the 28-year-old forward provides, Portis also finished the season averaging 9.6 rebounds per game. In the three games he played against Miami, he logged 8.3 per game.

Portis’ knack for the ball, along with Miami’s 26th-ranked field goal percentage, is a recipe for a good game on the glass.

Bucks vs Heat Game 1 Team Props

Bucks Two-Pointers Made: Over 26.5 (-125) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

The Bucks finished fourth in three-pointers attempted per game during the regular season. With the defensive intensity expected to rise, it’s not hard to imagine Milwaukee pounding it inside, especially with how small Miami plays.

Milwaukee averaged 27.9 two-point field goals made per game during the regular season. The Bucks also employ arguably the best inside player within the association in Antetokounmpo. Milwaukee surpassed the 26.5 two-point field goal mark in both of their wins against Miami this season.

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