NFL Divisional Round Line Movement | How Playoff Odds Changed During The Week

Eight teams remain in the 2022 NFL Playoffs as we get set for the Divisional Round, which kicks off on Saturday afternoon.

After first-round byes, the Green Bay Packers and Tennessee Titans will see their first action of the postseason, joined by the six teams that advanced from Super Wild Card Weekend.

With spots in the AFC and NFC Championship Games on the line, the stakes have been raised for this four-game slate and NFL bettors everywhere are investing in their favorite sides and totals.

Here’s the latest line movement and sharp action that we’ve been tracking.

All NFL Divisional Round odds and lines are current as of 11:30 a.m. ET on Friday, January 21, and provided by TwinSpires Sportsbook (unless otherwise specified).

Bengals vs Titans Line Movement

Bengals vs TitansOpening Lines (1/17)Latest Lines (1/21)
MoneylineBengals (+145), Titans (-180)Bengals (+155), Titans (-190)
SpreadBengals +3.5 (-114), Titans -3.5 (-106)Bengals +3.5 (-110), Titans -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under47 Over (-114)/Under (-107)47.5 Over (-108)/Under (-113)
Implied ScoreTitans 25.25, Bengals 21.75Titans 25.5, Bengals 22

This AFC Divisional Round showcase between the Bengals and Titans hasn’t seen much movement on the spread over the course of the week.


Sportsbook Play of the Day

Before making your NFL Divisional Round betting picks, you should know that TwinSpires Sportsbook is one of the best around. Take advantage of TwinSpires’ outstanding welcome bonus, which gives you a risk-free bet of up to $1,000 when you sign up and bet.

Read Anthony Cervino’s TwinSpires Sportsbook review for more insight and get your welcome bonus below, or continue reading this analysis for our best NFL Divisional Round tipster picks.

TwinSpires Sportsbook

TwinSpires Sportsbook

  • Competitive Odds

  • Aggressive Offers & Promotions

  • Variety of Betting Markets

Get Up To $1000 FREE

Risk-Free Bonus

No code requiredGet bonus

New Customers Only, 21+. T&C’s Apply.


As of Thursday night, 54% of the bets were on Cincinnati to cover +3.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, but 58% of the money was on Tennessee as a short home favorite.

The total initially opened at 47 points and has been bet up to 47.5 as the Titans are expected to have their full complement of offensive weapons back healthy, including running back Derrick Henry.

In concordance with the line movement, the Over is currently attracting 67% of the bets and 71% of the money.

49ers vs Packers Line Movement

49ers vs PackersOpening Lines (1/17)Latest Lines (1/21)
Moneyline49ers (+190), Packers (-240)49ers (+200), Packers (-250)
Spread49ers +5.5 (-110), Packers -5.5 (-110)49ers +5.5 (-109), Packers -5.5 (-112)
Over/Under47.5 (-110)47 Over (-113)/Under (-108)
Implied ScorePackers 26.5, 49ers 21Packers 26.25, 49ers 20.75

While this line also doesn’t look a whole lot different from the opener, we have occasionally seen Packers money come in and push this line to +6, which then triggers 49ers buyback at the key number.

At DraftKings, 72% of bets and 75% of the money is backing Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay to win and cover the spread at home.

While the Over is garnering 61% of the bets at DraftKings, it seems like the sharp money is on the Under as it represents 47% of the handle on the total.

BEST BET: Over 47 Total Points (-113) at TwinSpires

These two teams combined for 58 points in their Week 3 meeting during the regular season, which Green Bay won on a last-second field goal 30-28.

In fact, four of the last five meetings between these two teams (all since 2018) have seen 50-plus points scored and all five games saw at least one team reach the 30-point threshold.

San Francisco has had a lot of success running the ball against Green Bay in these recent meetings, and I’m expecting Kyle Shanahan‘s scheme to have success again.

As we know, Rodgers is certainly capable of lighting up the scoreboard, so expect this game to turn into a sneaky shootout.

over-under

-113

49ers @ Packers: OVER 47 Points

SF @ GB | 01/22, 9:15 PM ET

TwinSpires Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,000 Risk-Free

Bet $20, Payout $38

Rams vs Buccaneers Line Movement

Rams vs BuccaneersOpening Lines (1/17)Latest Lines (1/21)
MoneylineRams (+128), Buccaneers (-157)Rams (+120), Buccaneers (-148)
SpreadRams +3 (-117), Buccaneers -3 (-105)Rams +2.5 (-103), Buccaneers -2.5 (-118)
Over/Under48.5 (-110)48 Over (-113)/Under (-108)
Implied ScoreBuccaneers 25.75, Rams 22.75Buccaneers 25.25, Rams 22.75

The Rams’ lopsided win over the Cardinals on Monday Night Football has influenced the betting public as Los Angeles is now only a 2.5-point road underdog against the defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers.

As of Thursday night, the Rams are getting 54% of the bets and 58% of the money at DraftKings, despite having to travel across the country on a short week.

DraftKings has also tracked some sharp action on the Under, despite 75% of the bets coming in on the Over.

Matthew Stafford, QB, Los Angeles Rams

After picking up his first career playoff win last week, can Matthew Stafford lead the Rams to a road win over Tom Brady and the Buccaneers? (Image: USA TODAY Sports)


BEST BET: Buccaneers -2.5 (-118) at TwinSpires

I don’t think I can bet against Tom Brady at home in the playoffs as a favorite of less than three points.

That hook is just too tempting, and this line is an overreaction to the Rams’ beatdown of a Cardinals team that had dropped off significantly during the final weeks of the regular season.

The Rams certainly have a path to victory, especially if Von Miller and Aaron Donald wreak havoc on the Buccaneers offensive line, but I trust Brady, Rob Gronkowski and Co. to get the job done at home.

Bills vs Chiefs Line Movement

Bills vs ChiefsOpening Lines (1/17)Latest Lines (1/21)
MoneylineBills (+112), Chiefs (-136)Bills (+108), Chiefs (-130)
SpreadBills +2.5 (-112), Chiefs -2.5 (-109)Bills +2 (-108), Chiefs -2 (-113)
Over/Under54.5 Over (-114)/Under (-107)54 (-110)
Implied ScoreChiefs 28.5, Bills 26Chiefs 28, Bills 26

The shortest spread of the week saw the Chiefs open as 2.5-point favorites against the Bills in a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game, but that margin has been narrowed even further during the week.

Buffalo is currently getting 50% of the bets and 54% of the money, despite being the road underdog in Kansas City.

The total for this contest has dipped half a point from the open at 54.5, which is somewhat surprising given how potent these two offenses are.

The two most recent meetings between Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes finished with totals of 58 points (Week 5) and 62 points (2020 AFC Championship).

Related articles

Promotions

Welcome offer Caesars Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,500 FREE

5 stars
Welcome offer BetMGM Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,000 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer BetRivers Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Betway Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Risk Free Bet

5 stars

Schedule & Odds

Top Offers

NBA Betting News

  • Celtics +300 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are +300 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics are +300 ahead of their home date with the Warriors for Game 6. We will see a considerable odds shift if the Celtics can win Game 6 on their homecourt. Boston was +310 after Game 5.

  • Celtics vs. Warriors over/under listed at 210

    The over/under for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 210, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210, down from the 210.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Warriors -400 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -400 to win the NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Golden State now sits at a prohibitive -400 to win the NBA Championship. For comparison, Stephen Curry MVP is -360. Andrew Wiggins, the dark horse to steal the award with a big close-out game, sits at +2000.

  • Celtics +310 to win NBA Championship

    The Boston Celtics are +310 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Celtics peaked as high as high as -230 prior to Game 3 and now sit at an attractive +310. Boston entered the season at +4000. The odds could swing wildly again if Boston wins Game 6.

  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under listed at 210.5

    The over/under for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics is listed at 210.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 210.5, down from the 212.5 it opened at. 72 percent of the public action has come on the over.