NFL Divisional Round Line Movement | How Playoff Odds Changed During The Week
Eight teams remain in the 2022 NFL Playoffs as we get set for the Divisional Round, which kicks off on Saturday afternoon.
After first-round byes, the Green Bay Packers and Tennessee Titans will see their first action of the postseason, joined by the six teams that advanced from Super Wild Card Weekend.
With spots in the AFC and NFC Championship Games on the line, the stakes have been raised for this four-game slate and NFL bettors everywhere are investing in their favorite sides and totals.
Here’s the latest line movement and sharp action that we’ve been tracking.
All NFL Divisional Round odds and lines are current as of 11:30 a.m. ET on Friday, January 21, and provided by TwinSpires Sportsbook (unless otherwise specified).
Bengals vs Titans Line Movement
|Bengals vs Titans||Opening Lines (1/17)||Latest Lines (1/21)|
|Moneyline||Bengals (+145), Titans (-180)||Bengals (+155), Titans (-190)|
|Spread||Bengals +3.5 (-114), Titans -3.5 (-106)||Bengals +3.5 (-110), Titans -3.5 (-110)|
|Over/Under||47 Over (-114)/Under (-107)||47.5 Over (-108)/Under (-113)|
|Implied Score||Titans 25.25, Bengals 21.75||Titans 25.5, Bengals 22|
This AFC Divisional Round showcase between the Bengals and Titans hasn’t seen much movement on the spread over the course of the week.
Sportsbook Play of the Day
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As of Thursday night, 54% of the bets were on Cincinnati to cover +3.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, but 58% of the money was on Tennessee as a short home favorite.
The total initially opened at 47 points and has been bet up to 47.5 as the Titans are expected to have their full complement of offensive weapons back healthy, including running back Derrick Henry.
In concordance with the line movement, the Over is currently attracting 67% of the bets and 71% of the money.
- See our Bengals vs Titans prediction.
49ers vs Packers Line Movement
|49ers vs Packers||Opening Lines (1/17)||Latest Lines (1/21)|
|Moneyline||49ers (+190), Packers (-240)||49ers (+200), Packers (-250)|
|Spread||49ers +5.5 (-110), Packers -5.5 (-110)||49ers +5.5 (-109), Packers -5.5 (-112)|
|Over/Under||47.5 (-110)||47 Over (-113)/Under (-108)|
|Implied Score||Packers 26.5, 49ers 21||Packers 26.25, 49ers 20.75|
While this line also doesn’t look a whole lot different from the opener, we have occasionally seen Packers money come in and push this line to +6, which then triggers 49ers buyback at the key number.
At DraftKings, 72% of bets and 75% of the money is backing Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay to win and cover the spread at home.
While the Over is garnering 61% of the bets at DraftKings, it seems like the sharp money is on the Under as it represents 47% of the handle on the total.
- Find our 49ers vs Packers pick.
BEST BET: Over 47 Total Points (-113) at TwinSpires
These two teams combined for 58 points in their Week 3 meeting during the regular season, which Green Bay won on a last-second field goal 30-28.
In fact, four of the last five meetings between these two teams (all since 2018) have seen 50-plus points scored and all five games saw at least one team reach the 30-point threshold.
San Francisco has had a lot of success running the ball against Green Bay in these recent meetings, and I’m expecting Kyle Shanahan‘s scheme to have success again.
As we know, Rodgers is certainly capable of lighting up the scoreboard, so expect this game to turn into a sneaky shootout.
49ers @ Packers: OVER 47 Points
SF @ GB | 01/22, 9:15 PM ET
Bet $20, Payout $38
Rams vs Buccaneers Line Movement
|Rams vs Buccaneers||Opening Lines (1/17)||Latest Lines (1/21)|
|Moneyline||Rams (+128), Buccaneers (-157)||Rams (+120), Buccaneers (-148)|
|Spread||Rams +3 (-117), Buccaneers -3 (-105)||Rams +2.5 (-103), Buccaneers -2.5 (-118)|
|Over/Under||48.5 (-110)||48 Over (-113)/Under (-108)|
|Implied Score||Buccaneers 25.75, Rams 22.75||Buccaneers 25.25, Rams 22.75|
The Rams’ lopsided win over the Cardinals on Monday Night Football has influenced the betting public as Los Angeles is now only a 2.5-point road underdog against the defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers.
As of Thursday night, the Rams are getting 54% of the bets and 58% of the money at DraftKings, despite having to travel across the country on a short week.
DraftKings has also tracked some sharp action on the Under, despite 75% of the bets coming in on the Over.
BEST BET: Buccaneers -2.5 (-118) at TwinSpires
I don’t think I can bet against Tom Brady at home in the playoffs as a favorite of less than three points.
That hook is just too tempting, and this line is an overreaction to the Rams’ beatdown of a Cardinals team that had dropped off significantly during the final weeks of the regular season.
The Rams certainly have a path to victory, especially if Von Miller and Aaron Donald wreak havoc on the Buccaneers offensive line, but I trust Brady, Rob Gronkowski and Co. to get the job done at home.
- Check out our full Rams vs Buccaneers betting analysis.
Bills vs Chiefs Line Movement
|Bills vs Chiefs||Opening Lines (1/17)||Latest Lines (1/21)|
|Moneyline||Bills (+112), Chiefs (-136)||Bills (+108), Chiefs (-130)|
|Spread||Bills +2.5 (-112), Chiefs -2.5 (-109)||Bills +2 (-108), Chiefs -2 (-113)|
|Over/Under||54.5 Over (-114)/Under (-107)||54 (-110)|
|Implied Score||Chiefs 28.5, Bills 26||Chiefs 28, Bills 26|
The shortest spread of the week saw the Chiefs open as 2.5-point favorites against the Bills in a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game, but that margin has been narrowed even further during the week.
- Find out the Bills vs Chiefs best bets.
Buffalo is currently getting 50% of the bets and 54% of the money, despite being the road underdog in Kansas City.
The total for this contest has dipped half a point from the open at 54.5, which is somewhat surprising given how potent these two offenses are.
The two most recent meetings between Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes finished with totals of 58 points (Week 5) and 62 points (2020 AFC Championship).