After earning the No. 1 seed in the NFC this season, the Green Bay Packers will host the San Francisco 49ers in Saturday’s NFC Divisional matchup.
The main force behind Green Bay’s success this year was Aaron Rodgers, who delivered another MVP-caliber campaign in his 17th NFL season. While he turned 38 last month, Rodgers is still among the very best quarterbacks in the NFL.
How will he fare against a rugged 49ers defense this weekend? Let’s dive in to explore which prop bets you should target for Rodgers.
Please note that all NFL gameday odds are current as of 4 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 20.
Aaron Rodgers Divisional Prop Bets
OVER 263.5 Passing Yards (-110) at BetMGM
Wager: 1 Unit
Given that Rodgers threw for 261 yards against the 49ers in Week 3 and averaged 257.2 passing yards per game this season, this line is spot on. While one could go either way here, I like the Over for a few reasons.
For starters, Rodgers’ passing numbers are a bit deflated due to his atrocious season-opener against the New Orleans Saints as well as his incomplete regular-season finale, when he was pulled early against the Detroit Lions. If you exclude those two outings, he averaged a more robust 274.6 passing yards per game.
Rodgers was even better in the second half, averaging 297.6 passing yards per game from Weeks 10-17. In those seven games, he cleared this line six times.
While the Under may be tempting given the weather and San Francisco’s stingy secondary, Rodgers has proved he can carve up any defense whenever he wants to. Don’t bet against him doing that again here at home.
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UNDER 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (-225) at BetMGM
Wager: 1 Unit
While I think the yardage will be there for Rodgers, I’m not sure the touchdowns will be.
In his 16 games this year, Rodgers threw fewer than three touchdowns 10 times. His most common number was two, which he achieved eight times, including Week 3’s contest against San Francisco.
- Read more of our NFL Divisional Round Player Prop Bets
After scoring nine rushing touchdowns between them during the regular season, Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon are likely going to notch at least one TD on the ground. That limits Rodgers’ ceiling somewhat, especially if this ends up being a lower-scoring game.
I’m intrigued by the value (+160) on the Over here, but the Under seems like the safer play for our NFL bet of the day.
Check out more of our 49ers vs Packers Predictions
UNDER 0.5 Interceptions (-250) at BetMGM
Wager: 2 Units
If you’re looking for an easy bet, take the Under on Rodgers’ interceptions. He threw just four picks all year, two of which came during Week 1. He also hasn’t thrown an interception since Week 10 and has just one pick over his last 11 games.
Given the juice on this, you’ll either need to pony up to make it worth your while or include it as a leg in your parlay.