The Cincinnati Bengals head to Los Angeles to continue their magical postseason run in the Super Bowl. They’ll need to try to slow down the Rams’ pass rush with their running game.
That means running back Joe Mixon will be a key factor for Cincinnati’s offense.
Let’s take a look to see which player props stand out for Mixon against the Rams in this matchup.
All NFL gameday odds are current as of 10 a.m. ET on Thursday, February 10.
Joe Mixon Super Bowl Prop Bets
Under 12.5 Yards Longest Reception (-120) at Caesars
Wager: 1.2 Units
Joe Mixon has been a difference-maker in the passing game throughout these playoffs, combining for 13 catches and 106 yards in three games. His longest reception was at least 18 yards in each of those games, so the Over on this prop is 3-0 this postseason.
However, 12.5 yards is still a high bar for a running back to clear. This is because most running back targets come from behind the line of scrimmage, making it difficult for them to get double-digit yardage on any one reception.
We also need to consider that the Bengals continue to use backup Samaje Perine in the passing game. Perine racked up three catches for 43 yards against the Chiefs in the AFC Championship.
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Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at Caesars
Wager: 1.1 Units
The Bengals desperately need to establish a running game to slow down the Rams’ pass rush, as their pass protection is unlikely to hold up against such a formidable unit. This means that Mixon is likely to see his fair share of usage, especially in the early stages of the game.
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Mixon has totaled 52 carries in three games during these playoffs, an average of 17.3 attempts per game. If we give him a conservative projection of 17 carries at about 3.8 yards per attempt, that would be 65 rushing yards.
The risk here is that the game gets out of hand and the Bengals are forced to air it out. However, Cincinnati is only a four-point underdog, making that an unlikely outcome.