The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13-4) take on the Los Angeles Rams (12-5) in a game that projects to be close.
The Bucs are likely to get Leonard Fournette back this week, which should help out Tom Brady.
Let’s dive in to find out which player props look good for Brady against the Rams this week.
Please note that all NFL gameday lines are current as of 9:30 a.m. EST on Friday, January 21.
Tom Brady Divisional Prop Bets
OVER 292.5 Passing Yards (-111) at BetMGM
Wager: 1.1 Units
Tom Brady threw for 271 yards against the Eagles last week, but that was influenced by the game script, since the Bucs totally controlled that game and did not need to air it out.
The future Hall-of-Famer will need to air it out at a higher rate in a tough game against the Los Angeles Rams. While the Rams have a tough pass defense, ranking sixth in Pass DVOA, they’ve given up 260.9 passing yards per game, the ninth-most in the NFL.
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Running back Leonard Fournette is expected to return to the lineup. The veteran running back racked up 69 catches in only 14 games this year, acting as a safety outlet out of the backfield for Brady. Fournette’s return will be a boon for this passing game.
This game has the potential to turn into a shootout with a game total of 48.5 points, which bodes well for the Over on Brady’s passing yards prop.
Check out more of our Rams vs Buccaneers Predictions
OVER 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+140) at BetMGM
Wager: 1 Unit
Brady fell short of this prop against the Eagles last week, throwing for two touchdowns, but that was because of two rare rushing touchdowns by Giovani Bernard and Ke’Shawn Vaughn. Brady led the league with 43 passing touchdowns this year, so three or more scores is always in play.
- Read more of our NFL Divisional Round Player Prop Bets
There’s a decent chance that the Bucs are playing from behind at some point in this game, as the Rams are a formidable opponent with a prolific offense and stout defense. This type of game script would force Brady to pass at a higher rate, opening up the opportunity for more passing touchdowns.
The value at +140 is too good to pass up with Brady in this spot for our NFL bet of the day.
