Patrick Mahomes AFC Championship Game Props 2022 | Prop Bets For Bengals vs Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs (14-5) are vying for their third straight Super Bowl appearance when they host the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday.

This game is a rematch of Kansas City’s Week 17 meeting with the Bengals when Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs lost 34-31. in a wildly entertaining game at Paul Brown Stadium. It was Kansas City’s only loss since Week 7.

Mahomes and the Chiefs are rolling, averaging more than 31 points per game over their past 12, and 42 points per game in the playoffs.

Let’s dive in to find out which player props for Mahomes are worth betting in the rematch against Cincinnati this week.

All NFL gameday odds are current as of 3 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 26. 

Patrick Mahomes AFC Championship Prop Bets

Over 290.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM

Wager: 1 Unit

Mahomes had only 259 passing yards in the teams’ first meeting, but betting on him to not hit his prop passing total in a playoff game is a fool’s errand. The all-everything QB is averaging more than 310 yards per game in his career and 391 yards over two postseason games this season.

The Bengals surrendered the seventh-most passing yards in the NFL this year (4,806), but have been better this postseason, allowed 247.5 yards per game through the air.

Still, the AFC Championship Game will be Mahomes’ third-straight rematch in the playoffs, and he  easily surpassed his previous game total against Pittsburgh and Buffalo. Expect him to do it again.

Player Prop

-115

Patrick Mahomes: OVER 290.5 Pass Yds vs Bengals

CIN @ KC | 01/30, 3:00 PM ET

BetMGM Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,000 Risk-Free
Bet MGM Logo

Bet $20, Payout $37


Best Bengals vs Chiefs Player Prop Bets

Check out the best NFC Championship player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool, including projections to help you make the best decisions.

Click “Place Bet” to unlock the associated sportsbook’s welcome offer and place your bet. Select the game you want to highlight, including Bengals vs Chiefs prop picks.

Learn more about NFL prop bets and the best sportsbooks for prop betting.


Over 29.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

Mahomes only had 25 rushing yards when these two teams met in Week 17, and the Bengals only surrendered 252 rushing yards to quarterbacks this season — the 10th fewest in the NFL.

But Mahomes has suddenly been part of Kansas City’s running attack in the playoffs, where he’s averaging 49 yards per game and is coming off a seven-carry, 69-yard performance in the Chiefs’ OT win over Buffalo.

Expect Mahomes to surpass 30 yards on the ground Sunday to cash this NFL bet of the day.

Player Prop

-110

Patrick Mahomes: OVER 29.5 Rush Yds vs Bengals

CIN @ KC | 01/30, 3:00 PM ET

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,001 Free Bet + Free NBA Jersey
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $38

Over 2.5 Touchdowns (+125) at Fox Bet

Wager: 1 Unit

The Bengals pass defense is very bend-but-don’t-break. Cincinnati allowed the sixth-most passing yards, but only surrendered the 17th-most passing TDs (26) during the regular season.

In the playoffs, Cincinnati’s pass defense has allowed just two passing TDs to Ryan Tannehill and Derek Carr in wins over Tennessee and Las Vegas.


Check out more of our Bengals vs Chiefs Predictions


But Mahomes is no ordinary quarterback. He has thrown at least two touchdowns in seven straight games and is averaging four TDs per game through two playoff contests.

You can bet he’ll be targeting the matchup against Cincinnati cornerback Eli Apple, who Pro Football Focus gives just a 60.2 ranking, and rates as the 75th-best out of 122 corners in the NFL.

Player Prop

+125

Patrick Mahomes: OVER 2.5 TDs vs Bengals

CIN @ KC | 01/30, 3:00 PM ET

FOX Bet Welcome OfferGet Up To $500 Risk-Free
Fox Bet Logo

Bet $20, Payout $45

Over 37.5 Yards Longest Pass Play (-115) at BetMGM

Wager: 0.5 Units

Mahomes has topped a 38-yard play in eight straight games, including a 53-yard play to Mecole Hardman the last time they played Cincinnati.

The Bengals defense has limited big passing plays in its two playoff wins, but Mahomes and the Chiefs have carved up defenses with long airstrikes this postseason and should be able to again Sunday.

Player Prop

-115

Patrick Mahomes: OVER 37.5 Yds Long Pass Play vs Bengals

CIN @ KC | 01/30, 3:00 PM ET

BetMGM Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,000 Risk-Free
Bet MGM Logo

Bet $20, Payout $37

Related articles

Promotions

Welcome offer Caesars Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,001 First Bet Match + Free NBA Jersey

5 stars
Welcome offer FOX Bet promotion

Get Up To $500 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer BetMGM Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,000 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Betway Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Risk-Free

5 stars

Schedule & Odds

Top Offers

NFL Betting News

  • Early money slightly leaning towards the over in the 49ers-Rams matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting good two-way action on the over/under for the NFC Championship Game matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 46 points has attracted 55% of the bets and 60% of the money thus far. Much moreso than the AFC Championship Game, the betting splits on the point spread and total in this game are much more evenly split, so the sportsbook does not have too much liability on either at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Los Angeles's -170 moneyline odds have attracted 60% of the bets and 70% of the money.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early bettors give slight lean to the Rams over the 49ers

    Based on the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook, the favored Los Angeles Rams are getting slightly more betting attention in their matchup with the San Francisco 49ers.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Los Angeles's -3.5 point spread has received 65% of the bets and 61% of the handle thus far. Bettors are clearly torn in this matchup considering the Rams have arguably been playing better football through the first two playoff games, while the 49ers have won six consecutive games against the Rams, including a thrilling Week 18 overtime victory in Los Angeles.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page

  • Early money more than 4/1 on the over in the Bengals-Chiefs matchup

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's over/under in the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the over of 54.5 points has attracted 75% of the bets and 85% of the money thus far. At this point, the sportsbook has big liability to the Chiefs point spread and the over in this matchup, as their most ideal scenario would be a Bengals cover in a low-scoring game at the moment. From a moneyline perspective, Kansas City's -335 moneyline odds have attracted 58% of the bets and 61% of the money.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • Early money 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Bengals

    DraftKings Sportsbook is reporting one-sided betting action for Sunday's matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, as the majority of the action is backing the favored Chiefs.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, Kansas City's -7 point spread has received 61% of the bets and 76% of the handle thus far. Cincinnati is shaping up to be the biggest need of any side or any total this weekend, as the public seems to be enamored with the Chiefs after their thrilling Divisional Round win over Buffalo.

    CIN vs. KC Game Page

  • 49ers-Rams over/under reaches lowest number of the week

    After another line movement, the over/under for the NFC Championship matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has reached its lowest total of the week.

    Betting Impact:
    Per DraftKings, the 49ers-Rams over/under on Sunday night was posted at 47.5 points. It was quickly bet down to 46.5 in less than 24 hours. However, it has once again moved toward the under, and now currently sits at 46 points. Given that there has not yet been buyback on the over, it is extremely unlikely we see the total get back to anywhere close to the 47.5 points it opened at.

    SF vs. LAR Game Page