Oregon vs Oklahoma Predictions | Alamo Bowl 2021 CFB Pick of the Day
The Alamo Bowl is expected to feature a great matchup this year, with Oregon taking on Oklahoma. Oregon was the runner-up for the PAC-12 Championship, while Oklahoma finished 10-2 after losing to Oklahoma State in its final game of the regular season.
The Ducks went 10-3 overall and picked up a huge win against the Ohio State Buckeyes along the way. They also lost to the Utah Utes twice over their final three games, which was the difference in the Pac-12 crown going the other way.
Oklahoma lost Lincoln Riley to USC, who took the job right after the loss against Oklahoma State. Bob Stoops will be coaching in the Alamo Bowl, with Brent Venables taking over as the full-time head coach next season.
Which of these great teams will come out on top here?
All NCAAF gameday odds and lines are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook and are current as of 12:00 p.m. ET on Monday, December 20.
Oregon vs. Oklahoma Prediction
Oklahoma will be starting Caleb Williams in this one after it ranked No. 23 in total offense throughout the regular season. Williams took over for Spencer Rattler, who has since transferred to South Carolina.
Williams finished with 1,670 yards along with 18 touchdowns and four interceptions during the regular season. He was also the biggest reason why the team had a chance against Oklahoma State, going for 252 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions.
In addition to Williams, this team has explosive playmakers in the backfield. Kennedy Brooks was one of the best backs in the nation this year and finished the regular season with 1,111 yards and 10 touchdowns on 184 carries.
Moreover, at receiver, Marvin Mims leads the way after finishing with 648 yards and four touchdowns on 30 receptions.
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On the other side, Oregon is talented on offense, but not as much in the passing game. The Ducks finished the regular season with the No. 23 rushing offense, averaging 203.2 yards on the ground per game.
They have the Sooners beat in that department, as Travis Dye also was one of the best backs in the nation this year. He had 1,118 yards and 15 touchdowns on 193 carries.
Quarterback Anthony Brown was also a strong rusher and had 637 yards during the regular season with nine touchdowns. The Ducks also had two other players rush for 400+ yards (CJ Verdell, Byron Cardwell).
This game is going to be really close, but in the end, I have the Sooners doing just enough in the passing game to win by less than a touchdown.
Alamo Bowl Prediction: Oklahoma 35, Oregon 30
Alamo Bowl Best Bets
Best Bet: Oklahoma -4.5 (-110) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
I like my chances here with Oklahoma. Despite not being at the top of the nation in a lot of categories, this is still a good team with a lot of great players.
Williams will get a chance to impress Venables, even though the latter won’t be coaching in this one. I like their passing game and they’re also one of the few teams that can stand up to Oregon in the running game.
Oregon also isn’t even in the top 50 in the country this season for total defense. The Ducks rank No. 59, which is pretty woeful.
I think it’s going to be hard for that unit to stop all of the weapons that OU has. Take Oklahoma here.
Oklahoma To Cover -4.5 Spread vs Oregon
Bet $20, Payout $38
Best Bet: Over 61 Total Points (-110) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
Considering how many high-scoring games both teams have been in this season, this one almost feels too easy. Both the Sooners and Ducks can score points at will, and with how their defenses have played against some top competition, I have a hard time taking the Under.
As I noted above, Dye and Brooks have been virtually equal this season in terms of yards and have both gashed the opposition on a weekly basis.
I think OU will be a bit better in the passing game, but Dye and co. should still be able to have a good day against a Sooners defense that ranked No. 23 in the country.
Roll with the Over here and make this your NCAAF bet of the day.
Oregon vs Oklahoma: Over 61 Total Points
Bet $20, Payout $38