Week 9 is not quite the spectacular game last week was between the Green Bay Packers and Arizona Cardinals.
However, we do have a 3-5 Colts team that appears better than their record would indicate, as well as a Jets team that’s coming off their biggest game of the year, winning 34-31 over the Bengals with their backup quarterback Mike White.
Let’s take a dive into the game prop bets for Thursday Night Football.
Please note that all odds and lines are current as of 6:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 3.
Jets vs Colts Game Prop Bets to Make This Week
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Jets vs Colts Prop Bets: NFL Week 9 Prop Betting Picks
Mike White Passing Attempts Over 36.5 (-130) at Caesars
Wager: 1.5 Units
Mike White is coming off of an impressive game, recording 400-plus passing yard and three touchdowns in his first career start.
The most interesting aspect of it all is who he went up against and how efficient he was throwing the football. White completed 82.2% of his 45 attempts against a Cincinnati defense that ranked among the top five in the NFL.
While White is a bit of a wild card following an uninspiring game against the Patriots and then a breakout game against the Bengals, this wager doesn’t mean he has to do anything other than throw the football.
White should have no issue going over 36.5 attempts as the Colts are the best DVOA run defense in the league right now and will likely lead the Jets to abandon the run early on.
With the emergence of rookie Michael Carter as a pass catcher out of the backfield, one could assume this could be a dump-off style game for White leading to more attempts. White threw 32 times in the Patriots game and 45 in the Bengals game.
Considering the circumstances, I expect White to air it out early and often against the Colts.
Michael Carter Over 35.5 Total Receiving Yards (-105) at Caesars
Wager: 2 Units
This one is pretty easy for me.
While Carter hasn’t been dominant the whole year and has only had two big-time receiving games out of the backfield, it’s worth noting that both of those came with Mike White at quarterback.
As previously stated, the Colts defense has been terrific against the run this year and rank first in DVOA run defense. With that said, the Jets can’t afford to just abandon the run completely, so they will likely try to use screens out of the backfield to keep the defense honest.
Carter has had back-to-back games of at least eight receptions and 65+ yards. White will need Carter if the Jets want any chance of upsetting the Colts in primetime.
You could also take the over on Carter’s receptions at 4.0, though the odds are better with the 35.5 total reception yards.
Total First Half Points Under 23.5 (-115) at Caesars
Wager: 1 Unit
This might seem like a risky bet considering how well the Colts and Jets have played lately.
However, the Jets tend to start slow and average 4.9 first-half points per game. The Colts, on the other hand, average 10.4 first-half points per game. Both teams combined would average 15.3 points in the first half, which wouldn’t clear.
Anything can happen, but this year the Colts simply get off to solid starts while the Jets take time to get going. I expect the Jets to get off to yet another slow start and the Colts to score two touchdowns as the two fail to get Over 23.5 total at the half.
Colts First Half Spread -6 (-110) at Caesars
Wager: 1.25 Units
This is along the same lines as the first half spread. The Colts get off to solid starts and are playing one of the worst first half teams in the league. Due to this, I think the Colts are a safe bet here to cover the first half spread of -6.