Packers Futures Odds with Aaron Rodgers Returning | Super Bowl, NFC, Division Lines
@TeamHeaneyAfter what felt like 10 Wisconsin winters’ worth of bitter-cold drama for Green Bay Packers fans, Aaron Rodgers is returning for 2022 and beyond.
The two sides reportedly agreed to a four-year, $200 million deal Tuesday, ensuring the future Hall of Fame quarterback finishes his career with the team that drafted him. He’s also now the highest-paid player in NFL history.
This assures he’ll be under center and likely means elite wide receiver and connection partner Davante Adams will also return to Green Bay despite being a free agent — whether it be via franchise tag or a long-term deal worked out.
Now that Rodgers is back with the Pack, do Green Bay’s Super Bowl 57 hopes get stronger? What are the Packers’ best bets for 2022-2023?
Note: These Packers futures bet odds are current as of Tuesday, March 8, at noon ET. Be careful, as many of these NFL odds might shift as sportsbooks look to adjust after this expected Rodgers-Packers reunion.
Packers Super Bowl 57 Odds with Rodgers
Packers To Win Super Bowl (+1000) at BetMGM
Being that the Pack ranks as the No.3 favorites, these odds have already likely baked in that Rodgers and (perhaps) Adams would not be leaving, and they might only become shorter — not great news for NFL bettors looking for value. The sportsbooks were not too easily manipulated by the torrent of Twitter gossip and Rodgers’ headline-grabbing appearances on The Pat McAfee Show.
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So, confidence in the Pack would be business as usual as a top favorite in the NFC. Matt LaFleur guided the Packers to back-to-back NFC Championship Games in his first two years as head coach, but the Pack lost to the San Francisco 49ers in the Divisional Round in January.
Marcus Mosher believes the continuity Rodgers will bring back to Green Bay is the key to the Pack reaching the Super Bowl under LaFleur:
“It was expected. But it was the move that everyone was waiting on to kick things into action with other quarterbacks in free agency and the Packers’ next moves in general. I dont see how the Packers arent the favorite to win the Super Bowl this year, and they should have (-125) odds to win the NFC.”
Adam Kramer is also bullish on the Rodgers-Packers reunion:
“Aaron Rodgers’ new contract with the Green Bay certainly solidifies the Packers as a prohibitive favorite in the NFC North, even with other pieces still to follow. Even at (-225), in some places, it’s hard to make a case for another team in that division. I also feel like Green Bay has tremendous value at 9/1 to win the Super Bowl. Despite the previous, public failures of the past two years, the path to get there—not to mention get homefield advantage at Lambeau Field—is incredibly favorable. And all it takes is one season for the breakthrough to finally take place.”
prop bet
+1000
Packers: Win Super Bowl 57
Bet $20, Payout $220
Want reasons not to bet on a Super Bowl win? Green Bay will continue hovering around the final eight teams in the playoffs, but as one of our featured writers Anthony Cervino said, this is far from a perfect team:
“They haven’t gotten the job done in the three past years. Now, could lose significant pieces in free agency. I guess [a Packers Super Bowl bet is] worth a sprinkle, but unless they get him another weapon at WR/TE, I don’t see them winning.”
As Cervino writes in our NFL Free Agency Tracker, the Pack could also lose a difference-maker on defense in pass-rusher De’Vondre Campbell, which could leave them scrambling to plug a defensive hole.
Packers NFC Championship Odds with Rodgers
Packers To Win NFC Championship (+450) at Caesars
Caesars lists the Pack as the co-favorite to come out of the NFC, alongside the defending Super Bowl champions, the Los Angeles Rams.
The Rams might have bigger issues keeping their club together after free agency than the Packers; they might lose key players like WR Robert Woods and EDGE rusher Von Miller. Plus, upcoming free agent Odell Beckham Jr. will be recovering from a torn ACL; he was a key reason for Los Angeles reaching and winning the Super Bowl, and if Woods and OBJ leave, the receiving corps is decimated.
TWO HUNDRED MILLION DOLLARS pic.twitter.com/izepX5TonD
— The Game Day NFL (@TheGameDayNFL) March 8, 2022
The Pack still has enough juice, assuming Adams returns for this coming season one way or another, and cohesion from Rodgers’ experience with this crew, to finally reach the NFL Championship Game. Though free agency might pad other rosters to challenge them, this is a great chance to pluck them at decent odds that leave a little room for ROI.
Packers NFC North Division Odds with Rodgers
Packers To Win NFC North Championship (-180) at Caesars
Those short odds are hardly a surprise. Before this news, speculators might’ve grabbed futures for the intriguing but flawed trio behind the Pack in the Chicago Bears, Detroit Lions, and Minnesota Vikings.
A path to the division title for any of those underdogs looks much bleaker. The best way to make any sensible return on investment from this Packers NFC North bet would be to plug it into a parlay.
Aaron Rodgers 2022 Prop Bets
NFL player prop bets are hard to find this early in the offseason and will be provided. We’ll be publishing Aaron Rodgers prop bets after they’re posted, which we’re guessing will be soon after the NFL Draft.
Still, Rodgers should expect to be in fine shape to meet most of his prop baselines in a healthy season, though the Pack would help his chances by building a deeper, more consistent group of pass-catches to supplement Adams’ alpha status.
