AFC West Odds 2023

Frank AmmiranteSenior Sports Writer
Last Updated: Mar 17, 2023

The AFC West was expected to be the toughest division in the NFL heading into the 2022 season, but the Denver Broncos were a massive disappointment, the Los Angeles Chargers dealt with injuries, and the Las Vegas Raiders fell short of expectations.

We should see improvement from this division in 2023, but the question becomes, can any of these teams challenge the Kansas City Chiefs for the AFC West crown?

Let’s dig into the latest AFC West winner odds to make a prediction and pick out our favorite sleeper bet.

AFC West Winner Betting Odds 2023

Note: These AFC West betting odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Friday, March 17, at 2 p.m. ET. Be careful, as many of these NFL odds may shift as we get closer to the 2023 NFL season.

  • Kansas City Chiefs (-130)
  • Los Angeles Chargers (+350)
  • Denver Broncos (+350)
  • Las Vegas Raiders (+1300)

Keep track of pro football futures this offseason with our NFL futures odds comparison tool:

The AFC West is headlined by the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs, who will remain front-runners as long as Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are in the fold.

The market is bullish on the Broncos following the trade for head coach Sean Payton. They’re projected to duke it out with the Chargers for second place in the division. Los Angeles should see better results with a healthier Justin Herbert, who played through injuries last year.

The Las Vegas Raiders are the clear-cut worst team in the division. Replacing Derek Carr with Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback feels like a lateral move. While they added Jakobi Meyers, they traded away Darren Waller. This is like reshuffling the chairs on the Titanic.

AFC West Winner Best Bet

Kansas City Chiefs (-130) | DraftKings Sportsbook

The Chiefs remain the best bet in the division because they still have reasonable odds. They already lost JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman will also soon depart in free agency, but Mahomes has been able to make it work with an average group of pass-catchers.

Kansas City replaced tackle Orlando Brown Jr. by signing Jawaan Taylor, who is moving to the blindside after playing right tackle with Jacksonville. Taylor is an improving pass-blocker, so he’s a smart signing by the Chiefs.

We can expect them to continue to improve the team through the NFL Draft as well. The worst-case scenario feels like second place in the division. That’s what happens when you have a starting quarterback who is on track to be one of the best of all-time.

AFC West Winner Sleeper Pick

Los Angeles Chargers (+350) | DraftKings Sportsbook

The Chargers remain a threat to the Chiefs’ throne because Herbert is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. We saw suppressed production from him last season because he was dealing with a myriad of injuries. Look for him to get back on track in 2023.

It will also help if the team can add some speed at wide receiver. While Keenan Allen and Mike Williams form a nice duo, it would help if they had a player who could take the top off an opposing defense. I expect Los Angeles to address this need through the draft.

The defense remains stacked with playmakers like Joey Bosa and Derwin James, so they have the potential to become one of the best units in the NFL. While Denver will be better this year, I prefer rolling with the Chargers due to their superior quarterback and more well-rounded roster.

AFC West Winner By Year

YearAFC West WinnerRecord
2013Denver Broncos13-3
2014Denver Broncos12-4
2015Denver Broncos12-4
2016Kansas City Chiefs12-4
2017Kansas City Chiefs10-6
2018Kansas City Chiefs12-4
2019Kansas City Chiefs12-4
2020Kansas City Chiefs14-2
2021Kansas City Chiefs12-5
2022Kansas City Chiefs14-3


Frank Ammirante

Frank Ammirante is a Senior Sports Writer at The Game Day. Previously, he wrote for 4for4 Football and RotoBaller. Frank is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association while maintaining an active presence within the community. He has competed in industry contests like the Scott Fish Bowl, The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, and more. Frank will be making his debut in Tout Wars this year. He's got a diverse sporting background, but specializes in football and baseball.

Related articles


Welcome offer
Caesars Sportsbook

1st Bet on Caesars up to $1,250 + 2,000 in Rewards & Tier Credits

5 stars
Welcome offer
DraftKings Sportsbook

Bet $5 & Get $200 in Bonus Bets

5 stars
Welcome offer
bet365 Sportsbook

Bet $1 & Get $200 FREE

5 stars
Welcome offer
FanDuel Sportsbook

Get $1,000 No Sweat First Bet

5 stars
Welcome offer
BetMGM Sportsbook

Get up to a $1,000 First Bet Offer Bonus

5 stars
Welcome offer
Tipico Sportsbook

Get Up to a $100 Bonus

5 stars
Welcome offer
BetRivers Sportsbook

Get up to $500 2nd Chance Free Bet

5 stars
Welcome offer
WynnBET Sportsbook

Bet $100 & Get a $50 Free Bet + a $50 Casino Bonus

5 stars
Welcome offer

Get Up To $50 First Bet on FOXBet

5 stars