AFC West Odds 2024

Last Updated: Jun 30, 2023

Last season, the Denver Broncos were a massive disappointment, the Los Angeles Chargers dealt with injuries, and the Las Vegas Raiders fell short of expectations. What was supposed to be a competitive division ended up with the Kansas City Chiefs again running away with it.

We should see improvement from this division in 2023, but the question becomes, can any of these teams realistically challenge the Kansas City Chiefs for the AFC West crown?

Let’s dig into the latest AFC West winner odds to make a prediction and pick out our favorite sleeper bet.

AFC West Winner Betting Odds 2023

Note: These AFC West betting odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Friday, June 30, at 10 a.m. ET. Be careful, as many of these NFL odds may shift as we get closer to the 2023 NFL season.

  • Kansas City Chiefs (-165)
  • Los Angeles Chargers (+350)
  • Denver Broncos (+550)
  • Las Vegas Raiders (+1200)

Keep track of pro football futures this offseason with our NFL futures odds comparison tool:

The AFC West is headlined by the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs, who will remain front-runners as long as Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are in the fold.

The market is bullish on the Broncos following the trade for head coach Sean Payton. They’re projected to duke it out with the Chargers for second place in the division. Los Angeles should see better results with a healthier Justin Herbert, who played through injuries last year.

The Las Vegas Raiders are the clear-cut worst team in the division. Replacing Derek Carr with Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback feels like a lateral move. While they added Jakobi Meyers, they traded away Darren Waller. This is like reshuffling the chairs on the Titanic.

AFC West Winner Best Bet

Kansas City Chiefs (-165) | DraftKings Sportsbook

The Chiefs remain the best bet in the division. The wide receiver group is lacking, yet Mahomes has been able to make it work with an average group of pass-catchers.

Kansas City replaced tackle Orlando Brown Jr. by signing Jawaan Taylor, who is moving to the blindside after playing right tackle with Jacksonville. Taylor is an improving pass-blocker, so he’s a shrewd signing by the Chiefs.

The worst-case scenario feels like second place in the division. That’s what happens when you have a starting quarterback who is on track to be one of the best of all-time.

AFC West Winner Sleeper Pick

Los Angeles Chargers (+340) | DraftKings Sportsbook

The Chargers remain a threat to the Chiefs’ throne because Herbert is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. We saw suppressed production from him last season because he was dealing with a myriad of injuries. Look for him to get back on track in 2023.

It will also help if the team can add some speed at wide receiver. While Keenan Allen and Mike Williams form a nice duo, it’s great they added Quentin Johnston to help bolster what’s already a strength of this team.

The defense remains stacked with playmakers like Joey Bosa and Derwin James, so they have the potential to become one of the better units in the NFL. While Denver will be better this year, I prefer rolling with the Chargers due to their superior quarterback and more well-rounded roster.

AFC West Winner By Year

YearAFC West WinnerRecord
2013Denver Broncos13-3
2014Denver Broncos12-4
2015Denver Broncos12-4
2016Kansas City Chiefs12-4
2017Kansas City Chiefs10-6
2018Kansas City Chiefs12-4
2019Kansas City Chiefs12-4
2020Kansas City Chiefs14-2
2021Kansas City Chiefs12-5
2022Kansas City Chiefs14-3


Matt De Lima

Matt is a sports content editor at The Game Day with more than 10 years experience in the fantasy and betting spaces. He is a two-time Fantasy Sports Writing Association award finalist with previous experience working for Sports Illustrated, Full Time Fantasy, FFToolbox, 4for4, and RotoExperts. Born and raised in California, Matt now calls southern Maryland home. He is a Virginia Tech alumnus and a life-long 49ers, Lakers, and Dodgers fan.

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