The 2023 FIBA Basketball World Cup is set to begin this Friday, Aug. 25. Over the next several weeks, 32 teams represented by players from all over the world will take the floor to compete for the Naismith Trophy.
Many of the teams feature NBA talent, but sometimes, just having a stacked squad isn’t enough to get the job done.
Here are the latest 2023 FIBA World Cup odds, futures bets, and opening lines.
FIBA World Cup Betting Odds 2023
Caesars Sportsbook provides basketball odds for the 2023 FIBA World Cup betting data used in this article, which are current as of Tuesday, Aug. 22, at 3 p.m. ET.
Here’s how the top teams slot in their chances to win the FIBA tournament:
- United States (-140)
- Canada (+700)
- France (+750)
- Australia (+900)
- Spain (+1200)
- Serbia (+1200)
- Germany (+1500)
- Slovenia (+1800)
- Greece (+4000)
- Italy (+5000)
- Dominican Republic (+8000)
All remaining teams have odds of (+10000) or longer.
What Are the FIBA World Cup Group Odds?
Note: Each team’s odds of winning their respective group are shown.
Group A
- Italy (-150)
- Dominican Republic (+130)
- Philippines (+1400)
- Angola (+7500)
Group B
- Serbia (-2000)
- Puerto Rico (+1300)
- China (+2200)
- South Sudan (+2200)
Group C
- United States (-2500)
- Greece (+700)
- New Zealand (+5000)
- Jordan (+6600)
Group D
- Lithuania (-300)
- Montenegro (+300)
- Mexico (+1000)
- Egypt (+5000)
Group E
- Australia (-200)
- Germany (+180)
- Finland (+1500)
- Japan (+3000)
Group F
- Slovenia (-3000)
- Georgia (+1200)
- Venezuela (+2000)
- Cape Verde (+3500)
Group G
- Spain (-700)
- Brazil (+375)
- Iran (+5000)
- Ivory Coast (+5000)
Group H
- Canada (-130)
- France (+100)
- Latvia (+1800)
- Lebanon (+10000)
Who Will Win The 2023 FIBA World Cup?
United States (-140)
Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The United States is heavily favored to win the FIBA World Cup, and it’s not hard to see why. The roster is made up entirely of active NBA players, and some of the league’s brightest young stars will be on display.
This includes Paolo Banchero, Anthony Edwards, Tyrese Haliburton, Brandon Ingram, and Jaren Jackson Jr., among others. In short, there’s a lot to like about how this team was put together.
This group hasn’t been together for long, but considering their collective talent, they should be able to overcome any chemistry concerns. There will be challengers, but at this stage, the United States is the clear choice to win the 2023 FIBA World Cup, making this my basketball bet of the day.
FIBA World Cup Favorites 2023
Canada (+700)
Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units
Canada will presumably be the United States’ top challenger in the FIBA World Cup. Headlined by First Team All-NBA guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Canadian team brings plenty of talent and determination to the table.
Beyond Gilgeous-Alexander, Canada also features several other NBA players, including RJ Barrett, Dillon Brooks, Luguentz Dort, Kelly Olynyk, Dwight Powell, and more. Also cracking the roster is 7-foot-4 center Zach Edey, the 2023 Naismith College Player of the Year.
With SGA at the helm, Canada has the star power it needs to contend for the FIBA World Cup title. They should be considered a genuine threat to the United States and any other team vying for the Naismith Trophy.
France (+750)
Caesars Sportsbook
France has a pretty stellar big three between Rudy Gobert, Evan Fournier, and Nicolas Batum. This group has also been quite competitive in the past few FIBA World Cups, earning a third-place ranking in 2014 and 2019.
Gobert has had a particularly impressive international career, earning two bronze medals at the FIBA World Cup and a silver at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics. Fournier and Batum have been there every step of the way as well, and although they’ve never been teammates in the NBA, they have a long history of playing together.
With that said, this is an aging roster, and it lacks the top-tier talent it’ll take to defeat the likes of the United States and Canada. I don’t doubt that France will have a strong campaign, but at this price, I’d rather bet on a different team to take home the top prize.
FIBA World Cup Contenders 2023
Australia (+900)
Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
The Australian squad is looking like a potential sleeper pick at (+900). The Boomers earned fourth at the 2019 FIBA World Cup — their highest finish to date — and their roster is looking more talented than ever.
Dyson Daniels, Dante Exum, Josh Giddey, Josh Green, Joe Ingles, and Matisse Thybulle are just some of the players representing Australia in the tournament. There’s also Patty Mills, a lethal three-point shooter who helped Australia earn bronze at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.
At (+900), this squad may be worth a small wager. This is an interesting team with versatile players at each position, which could spell trouble for opponents.
Spain (+1200)
Caesars Sportsbook
Spain won the 2019 FIBA World Cup, but this roster doesn’t quite resemble the one that hoisted the Naismith Trophy. Ricky Rubio and Marc Gasol are no longer playing, which leaves big shoes for the remaining players to fill.
Nonetheless, Spain will still be a tough out. Juancho Hernangómez and Willy Hernangómez have been in the NBA for close to a decade, Santi Aldama and Usman Garuba are on the rise, and Rudy Fernández is a two-time FIBA World Cup gold medalist.
There are better bets available at this price tag, but it’s never a bad idea to back the defending champions. Just know that Spain is a borderline sleeper for a reason.
FIBA World Cup Sleepers 2023
Germany (+1500)
Caesars Sportsbook
Germany’s squad is headlined by an up-and-coming star in Franz Wagner, a 22-year-old wing who just averaged 18.6 points per game for the Orlando Magic in his second NBA season. He’s been lighting it up in exhibition play, including recording a double-double against the United States.
There’s a considerable amount of depth here, too, including Moritz Wagner, Dennis Schröder, Isaac Bonga, and Daniel Theis, all of whom have NBA experience.
Germany hasn’t medaled at the FIBA World Cup since 2002, but this team has serious potential. I don’t believe this is their year, although the (+1500) odds are appealing.
Slovenia (+1800)
Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.1 Units
Only two All-NBA players are participating in the 2023 FIBA World Cup: Canada’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Slovenia’s Luka Dončić. With one of the world’s greatest talents — and NBA MVP candidate — on the roster, Slovenia is an intriguing play at (+1800).
With that said, Dončić is just about the only reason why Slovenia is even in the conversation. With Dončić sidelined, the United States decimated Slovenia in exhibition play on Aug. 12, winning 92-62.
Slovenia finished fourth at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, so there’s a good chance they outplay their (+1800) price tag. Whether they can win the whole thing or not will likely come down to how well Dončić plays, but I know better than to bet against him.
