The Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers have combined to play four highly competitive and entertaining games thus far in the Eastern Conference Semifinals.
After Toronto eked out a narrow 2-1 victory on the road, this series now shifts back to Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, providing hockey fans with various opportunities to place prospective wagers on both team and player props.
Without further ado, let’s dive in and examine some of my favorite prop bets ahead of a crucial Game 5 matchup between the Maple Leafs and Panthers.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Player Prop Odds • Game 5
Compare the best Stanley Cup playoff player prop lines below with our NHL odds:
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Player Props • Game 5
John Tavares: Anytime Goal Scorer (+150) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
Despite being held pointless in this series, Maple Leafs captain John Tavares is poised for a breakout game, and it may appear as early as Game 5.
Tavares ranks second on Toronto in a variety of offensive metrics which include: Expected Goals, Expected Goals Per 60 Minutes, Shots on Goal Per 60 Minutes, and High Danger Expected Goals (per Money Puck). The looks and opportunities have been there - the bounces simply haven’t.
I like this wager because the advanced statistics tell a different story than his current on-ice production and his team carries a 60.6% implied-win probability on home ice.
Look for Tavares to get on the scoresheet in Game 5, making this half-unit wager my NHL bet of the day.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Team Props • Game 5
Maple Leafs: 1st Period Moneyline (+145) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
After dropping both Games 1 and 2 on home ice, Toronto will look to get off to an early start in Game 5 in front of their crowd.
Although he was fantastic in Game 4, Maple Leafs netminder Joseph Woll would greatly benefit from an early lead, something the Maple Leafs haven’t been able to provide him with so far in this series.
- Read Domenic’s Maple Leafs vs Panthers predictions and best bets.
Toronto ranks third in the postseason in Score Adjusted Shot Attempts (Corsi %), which signifies that they’re around the front of the opposition’s goal, but just haven’t been able to capitalize with much regularity.
Look for the Maple Leafs to come out flying on Friday, winning both the first period and ultimately forcing Game 6 back in Sunrise.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Game 4 Prop Tips
The 2023 NHL postseason has been nothing short of spectacular thus far.
In addition to the on-ice entertainment, speed, emotion, and drama, the Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers have combined for three competitive games in their best-of-seven series.
Let’s dive in and meet some of my favorite player and team prop bets ahead of Game 4 between the Maple Leafs and Panthers.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Player Prop Odds • Game 4
Compare the best Stanley Cup playoff player prop lines below:
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Player Props • Game 4
Gustav Forsling: Over 0.5 Points (+135) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
After a career-year in 2022-23 that saw him notch 13 goals and 41 points, Panthers defenseman Gustav Forsling has continued his stellar play in the Stanley Cup Playoffs.
The team leader in ice-time (25:06), Forsling ranks second among Panthers defenseman in various offensive metrics, including Goals Above Expected, Expected Goals Per 60 Minutes, and Shooting Percentage (per Money Puck), trailing only teammate Brandon Montour in the aforementioned categories.
Given his usage in all-situations, combined with Florida’s high-powered offense, this is an excellent wager for one of Florida’s most talented and offensive-minded blue-liners.
At plus money, Forsling to register a single-point on a half-unit wager is my top FLA-TOR bet.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Team Props • Game 4
Panthers Over 3.5 Team Total Goals (+120) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
On the road and facing elimination is not exactly an ideal spot for a rookie netminder to make his first career playoff start, but that’s exactly what’s happening to Maple Leafs’ goaltender Joseph Woll.
After coming in relief of the injured Ilya Samsonov in Game 3, Woll stopped 21 of 24 shots faced, posting an .857 save percentage in 42 minutes of action.
He’ll also be up against a high-octane Cats club who ranks second in the postseason in Expected Goals, third in High Danger Shots For, and fourth in Shooting Percentage on All Shot Attempts (per Money Puck).
Given the underlying value of this bet at +135, this one’s simply too good to pass up. Look for the Cats to score early and often in Game 4, en route to the final four.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Game 3 Prop Tips
The Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers have combined for two very entertaining hockey games thus far in Round 2 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.
With the total once again set at 6.5, there’s plenty of opportunity to place wagers on a plethora of both team and player props ahead of what’s been a terrific series thus far.
Let’s take a closer look at some of my favorite Game 3 prop bets between the Maple Leafs and Panthers.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Player Prop Odds • Game 3
Compare the best Stanley Cup playoff player prop lines below:
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Player Props • Game 3
Brandon Montour: Over 0.5 Power-Play Points (+200) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
After a colossal 2022-23 NHL campaign that saw him amass 73 points, Panthers defenseman Brandon Montour has continued his dominance into the postseason.
Largely a bottom-pairing blue-liner until this season, Montour has become one of the most important players on the Panthers and a huge factor for their success thus far this Spring.
On Sunday, Montour will quarterback Florida’s first-unit power-play alongside the likes of Sam Reinhart, Matthew Tkachuk, Sam Bennett, and Aleksander Barkov.
Metrically speaking, Montour ranks fourth on the Panthers in Expected Goals, first in Goals Above Expected, and third in Shooting Percentage (per Money Puck). This is a player who’s at the very top of his game and consistently around the puck in all situations, so we’ll take the bet boost on the power play.
For this wager to cash, Montour needs to register a single point on the power play. Given its value, combined with Florida’s lethal man advantage, this one’s way too good to pass up. Thus, Montour registering a power-play point on a half-unit wager is Game 3’s top hockey wager.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Team Props • Game 3
Maple Leafs: Cover -0.5 1st Period Puck Line (+165) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 units
After jumping out to a 2-0 lead in Game 2, the Maple Leafs quickly fell apart, spurred on by some sloppy play to start the second period, which ultimately cost them the game.
On Sunday, I expect the Maple Leafs to come out flying in what’s become a must-win game.
The 2022-23 regular season saw Toronto rank third in hockey in Goal Percentage, fifth in Expected Goals, and third in Score Adjusted Expected Goals (per Money Puck). Unlike other teams, the Leafs have the ability to outscore their opponents and play their way back into games which bodes well for them ahead of a critical Game 3 matchup.
Take the Leafs to win the first period at an excellent price point.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Game 2 Prop Tips
After a fast-paced and highly-skilled series opener, it’s time for Game 2 between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers.
In addition to the on-ice entertainment, there’s also a wide variety of both team and player props that hockey fans can place prospective wagers on.
Let’s meet some of my favorite prop bets between the Maple Leafs and Panthers ahead of Game 2.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Player Prop Odds • Game 2
Compare the best Stanley Cup playoff player prop lines below:
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Player Props • Game 2
William Nylander: Over 3.5 SOG (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
Maple Leafs forward William Nylander did everything but score in Game 1, firing off seven shots on goal in 19:18 worth of ice time.
A point-per-game player thus far in these playoffs, Nylander’s line, which includes Calle Järnkrok and John Tavares, combined for a spectacular 74% Expected-Goals Percentage. Nylander alone leads Toronto in Expected Goals per 60 Minutes and Shots on Goal per 60 Minutes (via Money Puck).
Given Nylander’s propensity for high-danger scoring opportunities, combined with Toronto’s whopping 61.9% implied win probability as heavy favorites, this is an ideal smash spot for one of Toronto’s most offensively gifted forwards.
For this reason, we’ll target Nylander’s shot prop as my NHL bet of the day.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Team Props • Game 2
Maple Leafs: Over 3.5 Team Total Goals (-130) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Although Game 1 ended in a 4-2 Panthers victory, the advanced metrics department read a different narrative.
Toronto outshot Florida 36-28 in the series opener and logged a whopping 5.8 Expected-Goals in all situations in comparison to the Panthers’ 2.78. Toronto also held a 62.8% “Deserved to Win O’Meter” score. This denotes that if this game was played 1000 times over, Toronto should be expected to win at a whopping 62.8% rate (via Money Puck).
As a team, the Panthers also rank second-worst in the postseason in Expected-Goals Against and have allowed three or more goals against in seven of their eight playoff games.
For all of Florida’s early playoff success, this is a team that struggles to keep the puck out of their net.
Look for Toronto to flourish offensively en route to a comfortable Game 2 victory.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Game 1 Prop Picks
Round 2 in the 2023 Stanley Cup Playoffs gets underway on Tuesday evening with the Toronto Maple Leafs hosting the Florida Panthers.
With that comes a golden opportunity to place wagers on potential team and player props in what promises to be a terrific matchup between two high-flying offensive juggernauts.
Here are my favorite Game 1 prop bets between the Maple Leafs and Panthers.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Player Prop Odds • Game 1
Compare the best Stanley Cup playoff player prop lines with our hockey lines:
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Player Props • Game 1
Sam Bennett: Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-120) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
Panthers centerman Sam Bennett has enjoyed an excellent postseason thus far, tallying three goals, five points, and a whopping 20 shots on goal (3.33/game) in 18:41 worth of ice time through six games.
The Toronto, Ontario native has become a key, and rather unexpected piece of Florida’s offense, ranking second on the Cats in both Expected Shooting Percentage on Unblocked Shots and On-ice Shot Attempts Percentage (Corsi), per Money Puck.
When you target a player prop, in-game factors such as linemates, ice time, and overall usage are paramount. Bennett checks all of those boxes ahead of Game 1.
Thus, Bennett exceeding his shot prop on a half-unit wager is my featured hockey pick.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Team Props • Game 1
Maple Leafs Over 3.5 Total Goals (-125) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
The Maple Leafs’ success as a team is built on their ability to score goals. The 2022-23 regular season saw Toronto rank in the top five in a wide range of offensive metrics, including Expected Goals Percentage, Expected Goals For, and Expected Goals For Per 60 Minutes (per Money Puck).
If there’s one knock against the Panthers, it’s their inability to keep the puck out of their net and limit high-danger scoring chances, ranking sixth in the postseason in Expected Goals Against.
Panthers netminder Sergei Bobrovsky has also struggled thus far in these playoffs, allowing 17 goals against to go along with an abysmal 3.94 Goals-Against-Average and .891 Save Percentage.
Take the Leafs Over 3.5 total team goals at a decent price point.
