The Seattle Seahawks (2-2) head into the Big Easy to take on the New Orleans Saints (1-3) in a Week 5 NFC clash. Seattle comes off a wild 48-45 road win over the Lions that saw Geno Smith put together his best game yet as a starter.
New Orleans fell to the Vikings in London, 28-25, without Jameis Winston (back/hip/ankle), Michael Thomas (foot), and Alvin Kamara (ribs).
With the stage set, let’s dive into our Seattle vs New Orleans best bets, predictions, and betting tips.
Seahawks vs Saints Odds
Both the spread and total as of Tuesday stand out as the week begins.
The Saints’ 5.5-point projected advantage is notable given their record and the fact there is no guarantee any of their three injured stars will be available for this game. Additionally, the Seahawks have been competitive in all but one of their four games.
Then, the total of 45.5 points seems somewhat muted considering Andy Dalton was still able to put together a very credible performance in Winston’s stead against the Vikings and the veteran combination of Latavius Murray and Mark Ingram did a fine job filling in for Kamara.
Seahawks vs Saints Implied Totals
Saints 25.5, Seahawks 20
Oddsmakers clearly see the Seahawks’ defense as a liability after it gave up a ton of yards and points to the Lions, considering the Saints are projected for nearly four touchdowns here despite the uncertainty surrounding two of their most explosive playmakers in Thomas and Kamara.
Seahawks vs Saints Pick of the Day
Read more on this Seahawks vs Saints bet below.
Seahawks vs Saints Prediction
Saints 27, Seahawks 23
The Saints could well elect to keep Winston on the sideline for at least another week given his long list of bumps and bruises, and considering how well Dalton acquitted himself in his place. There arguably isn’t much of a difference between the two signal-callers, and if Dalton can get at least one of Kamara or Thomas back in the fold this week, the offense could run even more efficiently.
One of the silver linings in Thomas’ year-long absence in 2021 is that it gave complementary options such as Tre’Quan Smith and Marquez Callaway valuable reps that can now pay off if they’re forced to step up again. It also certainly doesn’t hurt that rookie Chris Olave has quickly taken to facing NFL DBs, already producing a 21-335-1 line through four games.
The matchup against the Seahawks’ secondary bodes well for whoever is available, considering Seattle is allowing 274 passing yards per game and 14.8 yards per catch to receivers.
The same holds true for the ground game, where New Orleans has plenty of capable depth with Murray and Ingram. The ‘Hawks are also highly vulnerable against the run, allowing 154 rushing yards per game and 5.4 RB yards per carry.
The ability to keep things balanced will help either Winston or Dalton immensely, considering each can be prone to turnovers to varying degrees.
However, Seattle should be able to keep up in its own right, considering how competent Smith has been (77.3 percent completion rate, 6:2 TD:INT).
New Orleans remains tough against the pass with just 203.5 passing yards allowed per game and a tiny 58 percent completion rate surrendered, but as Justin Jefferson demonstrated in Week 4 with a 10-for-147 line on 13 targets, they can certainly falter against top receivers, which the Seahawks happen to have two of in DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.
The fact the Saints have proven a bit more vulnerable than usual against the run early (124.8 RYPG allowed) could also come into play here and allow the ‘Hawks to keep it close. Rashaad Penny has proven his stellar finish to 2021 was no fluke with six yards per rush on his first 49 carries.
Seahawks vs Saints Bet Tips
Here are some Seahawks vs Saints betting trends to consider before placing your bets:
- The Saints are 1-3 against the spread, including 0-1 at home.
- The Seahawks are 2-2 against the spread, including 1-1 on the road.
- Seattle is 29-23-3 ATS as a road underdog since Pete Carroll‘s arrival in 2010.
- New Orleans is only 17-20 as a home favorite in the last five seasons heading into 2022 despite the presence of Drew Brees and Sean Payton for a large swath of that sample.
Seahawks vs Saints Best Bets
Seahawks +5.5 (-108) at FanDuel Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
As detailed previously, the Seahawks have the balance on offense to keep pace with the Saints, which haven’t shown an ability to separate from anyone irrespective of who’s been at quarterback or available at the skill positions. This is a fairly large number, and Carroll knows how to keep his team close as a road underdog.
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PARLAY: Seahawks +6.5 & Over 45.5 Total Points (+212) at FanDuel Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
To give us even a bit more breathing room on the spread, I like the idea of teasing it up to 6.5 and keeping it with the total to put together this parlay at a great price. My belief is that Seattle can keep matters competitive and its own suspect defense should play big parts in giving this prop a good chance to hit.
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